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39

TPGXL

🏦 Financial Services

TPG Operating Group II, L.P. 6.950% Fixed-Rate Junior Subordinated Notes due 2064

Conservative #875Aggressive #666Low RiskML↑ 38pt
$24.46-2.28%
Day High$24.65
Day Low$24.17
Volume0.1M
Mkt Cap$23.0B
52W Low $2452W High $26
Market Cap
$23.5B
P/E Ratio
41.0
Sector avg: 26.8
Rev Growth
77.9%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
686.0%
Profit Margin
4.4%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
1.45

Why This Score

TPGXL scores 40.2 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 16.1% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • Low volatility (3.0% annualized) — well-suited for risk-averse portfolios.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 25-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Elevated valuation at 41.0x earnings — requires sustained growth to justify the premium.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 1.45) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Net penalties of -30.0 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, TPGXL would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score40.2
Fundamental Score66.2
ML Score66.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
77.0
6 Month
86.1
Primary
1 Year
90.6

Quality Assessment

C
Quality Grade
Average quality — moderate profitability or leverage

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
50
Basing
Sentiment (2.5%)
41
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
0
Grade Fvery low volume, very low dollar volume
Base
36.2
SHAP
+3.0
Factors
+1.0
Final
40.2
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

61AVG
Value40
Quality44
Growth100
Stability76
Investment46

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)61.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)79.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)60.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+1.8% to +6.4%
Medium-term
+3.4% to +10.4%
Long-term
+4.9% to +14.4%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 66

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score40.5/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage1 — Basing
12M Momentum+0.0%
6M Momentum+0.0%
Volatility+0.0%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+2.2%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.54)
Relative Strength vs Sector-4.2%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (1.6)
Momentum Quality+0.045
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
0%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P97
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P11
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P34
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
+1.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 66 relative to sector peers66/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 66th percentileP66
Blended score: 80% fundamental (66) + 20% ML (66) = 66.266.2
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.0%; Drawdown 4% → 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade C
SHAP feature alignment: +3.0pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Risk Factors
Liquidity penalty: -25.0pt (grade F)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services — Rank #247 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
TPGXL40.241.077.9%4.4%$23.5B
CME86.427.29.9%57.5%$114.0B
FHB84.911.83.2%24.2%$3.1B
ACT84.58.92.4%54.6%$6.1B
CINF84.210.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
SEIC82.214.010.7%27.3%$9.9B
TROW79.910.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
QQQX79.710.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
IBOC78.210.67.5%40.1%$4.2B
HWC77.812.2-1.5%24.1%$5.6B
FFIN77.518.811.7%30.7%$4.7B
TRMK77.111.934.8%19.3%$2.6B
NMIH77.17.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
EWBC76.712.74.6%28.3%$15.3B
WSFS76.312.8-3.1%21.1%$3.5B
MCHB76.1N/A123.7%23.2%$3.1B
Sector Average47.526.813.4%-2.8%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

No analyst sentiment data available for TPGXL.

Company Overviewvia FMP

Part of TPG, Inc., TPG Operating Group II LP functions as an investment holding private company. The company is based in Wilmington, DE.

Beta
0.45
Industry
Financial - Conglomerates
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
37.5
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-6.8%
High: $26.25
From 52W Low
+4%
Low: $23.53
Moving Averages
10-Day
$25.00
Below
20-Day
$25.00
Below
50-Day
$25.00
Below
200-Day
$25.40
Below
60-Day Support
$24.17
60-Day Resistance
$25.43
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 1 — BasingScore: 28/100

Stock is building a base after a decline. The 200-day moving average is flattening. Watch for a breakout above the 200-day SMA on increased volume.

Monitor for breakout above 200-day SMA on volume
Transition signal: 1→2
Price vs 200 SMA
-3.7%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+0.12%
Flattening
Volume Ratio
0.88x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
20
Confidence: 80%
Recent Gap Down

Entry & Exit Zones

Below Entry Zone
$22.74
Stop Entry Now Target
$27.04
Entry Zone
$24.89 – $25.91
Near SMA200 base ($24.89–$25.91)
Exit Target
$26.25
Prior high / breakout target ($26.25)
Stop Level
$23.44
60-day low ($23.44)
Risk / Reward:1 : 0.43Tight

Stage 1 base-building — stock is consolidating above long-term support. Entry near SMA200 offers a defined risk level. Wait for volume confirmation before sizing up.

Technical zones only — derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$1.5B$840M$696M$743M
Gross Profit$1.4B$808M$671M$719M
Operating Income$296M$228M$39M$94M
Net Income$77M$49M$15M$25M
EPS (Diluted)$0.50$0.20$-0.05$0.00
Gross Margin97.2%96.2%96.4%96.8%
Operating Margin19.9%27.2%5.7%12.7%
Net Margin5.2%5.9%2.1%3.4%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesRevenue growth 77.9%

Tradability FilterGrade F — 0/100Score impact: -12.4pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor — it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
0
20K avg/day
Dollar Vol
0
$491K/day
Float
0
0K shares
Mkt Cap
0
$23.5B
Range
0
12% spread
Composite Liquidity Score0/100
FDCBA
very low volumevery low dollar volumerange bound

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Range-BoundSideways: 100/100
Range-Bound Stock

This stock has traded in a compressed range for 2 of the last 2 years (3-year range: 13.7%). Range-bound stocks may indicate limited upside potential. A -5pt penalty has been applied.

YearLowHighRangeStatus
2024$25.06$27.007.5%Narrow
2025$23.53$26.2510.9%Narrow
3-Year Range
13.7%
Narrow Years
2 / 2
Sideways Penalty
-5pt

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
range bound

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
12.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.