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44

TCMD

🏥 Healthcare

Tactile Systems Technology, Inc.

Conservative #781Aggressive #583Moderate Risk
$29.91+1.01%
Day High$30.06
Day Low$29.13
Volume0.3M
Mkt Cap$671M
52W Low $952W High $38
Market Cap
$641M
P/E Ratio
33.7
Sector avg: 41.9
Rev Growth
12.5%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
12.5%
Profit Margin
5.8%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.07

Why This Score

TCMD scores 44.4 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.07) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • High conviction (79/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 5-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (23.7%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-6.0 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score44.4
Fundamental Score50.9
ML Score29.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
54.0
6 Month
60.4
Primary
1 Year
63.5

Quality Assessment

C
Quality Grade
Average quality — moderate profitability or leverage

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
3.4%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
76
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
61
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
59
Grade C
Base
41.4
SHAP
+2.8
Factors
+1.2
Divergence
-1.0
Final
44.4
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

61AVG
Value58
Quality41
Growth62
Stability64
Investment79

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)54.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)79.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)84.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-1.5% to +2.5%
Medium-term
-1.7% to +4.5%
Long-term
-1.9% to +6.4%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 29

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score61.4/100
Target Upside+36.5%
Coverage11 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score75.7/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.9%
6M Momentum+1.0%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-13.6%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.86)
Relative Strength vs Sector+60.7%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (3.6)
Momentum Quality+0.595
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
4%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P59
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P13
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P84
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 51 relative to sector peers51/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 29th percentileP29
Blended score: 80% fundamental (51) + 20% ML (29) = 46.546.5
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.2%; Drawdown 30% → 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade C
SHAP feature alignment: +2.8pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Divergence penalty: -1.0pt (ML 22pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors
Liquidity penalty: -5.0pt (grade C)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare — Rank #114 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
TCMD44.433.712.5%5.8%$641M
INCY89.915.821.2%25.0%$19.6B
GMAB86.113.122.8%36.4%$17.9B
CPRX83.713.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
ASND78.316.698.0%-31.7%$13.8B
EXEL78.315.17.0%33.7%$11.9B
VRTX78.232.18.9%32.9%$121.8B
NBIX75.126.521.4%16.7%$13.1B
RPRX75.025.15.1%32.4%$19.3B
HOLX74.831.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
AMGN74.226.010.0%21.0%$204.8B
ARGX73.735.178.6%38.0%$47.4B
REGN73.019.41.0%31.4%$80.2B
ALKS72.916.5-6.4%23.9%$5.0B
ISRG72.761.720.5%28.4%$180.9B
KRYS71.541.4473.0%30.7%$7.9B
Sector Average36.641.9161.5%-3292.7%

Company Overviewvia FMP

Tactile Systems Technology, Inc., a medical technology company, engages in the development and provision of medical devices for chronic diseases in the United States. The company offers Flexitouch Plus system, a pneumatic compression device for the treatment of lymphedema; Entre system, a portable pneumatic compression device that is used for the at-home treatment of venous disorders, such as lymphedema and chronic venous insufficiency, including venous leg ulcers; and AffloVest, a portable high frequency chest wall oscillation test for the treatment of retained pulmonary secretions such as bronchiectasis, cystic fibrosis, and various neuromuscular disorders. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.

CEO
Sheri Louise Dodd
Employees
1,037
Beta
0.97
Industry
Medical - Devices
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
58.4
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-20.8%
High: $37.77
From 52W Low
+247.4%
Low: $8.61
Moving Averages
10-Day
$28.80
Above
20-Day
$28.40
Above
50-Day
$29.10
Above
200-Day
$18.20
Above
60-Day Support
$24.54
60-Day Resistance
$37.77
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 100/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+64.3%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+33.1%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.76x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%
Breakout Volume ConfirmedRecent Gap Up

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$104M$86M$79M$61M
Gross Profit$79M$65M$59M$45M
Operating Income$19M$11M$4M$-5M
Net Income$11M$8M$3M$-3M
EPS (Diluted)$0.46$0.36$0.14$-0.13
Gross Margin75.8%75.8%74.5%74.0%
Operating Margin18.1%12.8%5.2%-7.4%
Net Margin10.3%9.6%4.1%-4.9%

Why This Stock

HealthcareRevenue growth 12.5%Valuation below sector median (P/E 33.7)

Tradability FilterGrade C — 59/100Score impact: -13.8pt

Volume
67
374K avg/day
Dollar Vol
61
$11M/day
Float
40
0K shares
Mkt Cap
33
$641M
Range
100
339% spread
Composite Liquidity Score59/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$18.49$61.13107.1%Wide
2022$6.28$21.62110%Wide
2023$9.70$26.1191.7%Wide
2024$11.12$21.1061.9%Wide
2025$8.61$30.24111.4%Wide
3-Year Range
111.4%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
339.0%
Institutional Tradable
Limited

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.