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24

KIDS

๐Ÿฅ Healthcare

OrthoPediatrics Corp.

Conservative #1204Aggressive #1127Moderate RiskFโ†‘ 16pt
$17.79+6.40%
Day High$17.87
Day Low$16.73
Volume0.1M
Mkt Cap$446M
52W Low $1552W High $26
Market Cap
$427M
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
37.6%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
-80.3%
Profit Margin
-20.1%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.28

Why This Score

KIDS scores 24.5 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 15-point penalty for execution risk.

Net penalties of -15.0 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, KIDS would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score24.5
Fundamental Score38.9
ML Score33.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
39.7
6 Month
44.3
Primary
1 Year
46.7

Quality Assessment

F
Quality Grade
Low quality โ€” significant fundamental weaknesses

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
55
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
73
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
38
Grade Dlow volume, low dollar volume
Base
22.7
SHAP
+1.2
Factors
+0.6
Final
24.5
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

39AVG
Value50
Quality0
Growth50
Stability74
Investment19

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)49.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)45.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)82.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-8.3% to -3.4%
Medium-term
-11.3% to -4.0%
Long-term
-14.3% to -4.7%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 33

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score73.1/100
Target Upside+46.0%
Coverage13 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score55.0/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 โ€” Declining
12M Momentum-0.3%
6M Momentum-0.2%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-6.3%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.77)
Relative Strength vs Sector-51.7%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (3.6)
Momentum Quality-0.186
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
1%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P79
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P22
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P30
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 39 relative to sector peers39/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 33th percentileP33
Blended score: 80% fundamental (39) + 20% ML (33) = 37.737.7
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 32% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade F: quality flags triggered โ€” see details below. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade F
SHAP feature alignment: +1.2pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Risk Factors
Liquidity penalty: -15.0pt (grade D)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare โ€” Rank #249 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
KIDS24.5N/A37.6%-20.1%$427M
INCY89.915.821.2%25.0%$19.6B
GMAB86.113.122.8%36.4%$17.9B
CPRX83.713.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
ASND78.316.698.0%-31.7%$13.8B
EXEL78.315.17.0%33.7%$11.9B
VRTX78.232.18.9%32.9%$121.8B
NBIX75.126.521.4%16.7%$13.1B
RPRX75.025.15.1%32.4%$19.3B
HOLX74.831.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
AMGN74.226.010.0%21.0%$204.8B
ARGX73.735.178.6%38.0%$47.4B
REGN73.019.41.0%31.4%$80.2B
ALKS72.916.5-6.4%23.9%$5.0B
ISRG72.761.720.5%28.4%$180.9B
KRYS71.541.4473.0%30.7%$7.9B
Sector Average36.641.9161.5%-3292.7%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy13 analysts
Buy: 12Hold: 1
Price Target
$24consensus
Low $18Median $24High $34
+34.9% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

OrthoPediatrics Corp., a medical device company, designs, develops, and markets anatomically appropriate implants and devices for the treatment of children with orthopedic conditions in the United States and internationally. The company offers trauma and deformity correction products; scoliosis procedures for the treatment of spinal deformity; and sports medicine and other products. Its products comprise PediLoc, PediPlates, cannulated screws, PediFlex nail, PediNail, PediLoc tibia, anterior cruciate ligament reconstruction systems, locking cannulated blades, locking proximal femurs, Spica Tables, RESPONSE Spine systems, Bandloc, Pediguard, Pediatric Nailing Platform, Femur system, Orthex, QuickPack, and ApiFix Mid-C system. The company serves pediatric orthopedic market, as well as pediatric orthopedic surgeons and caregivers. OrthoPediatrics Corp. was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Warsaw, Indiana.

CEO
David R. Bailey
Employees
562
Beta
1.10
Industry
Medical - Devices
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
64.2
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-32.6%
High: $26.4
From 52W Low
+16.4%
Low: $15.28
Moving Averages
10-Day
$16.90
Above
20-Day
$16.90
Above
50-Day
$17.60
Above
200-Day
$19.20
Below
60-Day Support
$15.73
60-Day Resistance
$20.34
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 โ€” DecliningScore: 18/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-7.3%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-8.03%
Falling
Volume Ratio
0.8x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
31
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$62M$61M$61M$52M
Gross Profit$45M$45M$44M$38M
Operating Income$-2M$-5M$-11M$-11M
Net Income$-10M$-12M$-7M$-11M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.43$-0.50$-0.30$-0.46
Gross Margin73.2%73.9%72.1%73.0%
Operating Margin-4.0%-7.9%-17.4%-21.0%
Net Margin-16.4%-19.2%-11.6%-20.3%

Why This Stock

HealthcareRevenue growth 37.6%Valuation below sector median

Tradability FilterGrade D โ€” 38/100Score impact: -29.5pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor โ€” it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
41
173K avg/day
Dollar Vol
23
$3M/day
Float
35
15M shares
Mkt Cap
21
$427M
Range
96
73% spread
Composite Liquidity Score38/100
FDCBA
low volumelow dollar volumelow floatsmall cap

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$43.14$73.9152.6%Wide
2022$35.67$61.2752.8%Wide
2023$23.10$53.5079.4%Wide
2024$21.02$35.9952.5%Wide
2025$15.28$27.6057.5%Wide
3-Year Range
111.1%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
61.7%
Outstanding Shares
25M
Bid-Ask Spread
73.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.