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DCTH

๐Ÿฅ Healthcare

Delcath Systems, Inc.

Conservative #984Aggressive #959Moderate RiskFโ†‘ 18pt
$9.00-11.85%
Day High$9.80
Day Low$8.86
Volume1.2M
Mkt Cap$312M
52W Low $852W High $18
Market Cap
$311M
P/E Ratio
297.0
Sector avg: 41.9
Rev Growth
1701.7%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
44.7%
Profit Margin
1.5%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.01

Why This Score

DCTH scores 35.1 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.01) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 5-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Elevated valuation at 297.0x earnings โ€” requires sustained growth to justify the premium.
  • Above-average volatility (13.2%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-8.0 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score35.1
Fundamental Score46.2
ML Score11.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
47.2
6 Month
52.7
Primary
1 Year
55.5

Quality Assessment

D
Quality Grade
Below average quality โ€” weak profitability or high leverage
1 quality flag detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (-1007.0%) โ€” earnings quality concern

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
56
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
66
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
53
Grade Csmall cap
Base
34.1
SHAP
+2.9
Factors
+1.1
Divergence
-3.0
Final
35.1
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

55AVG
Value28
Quality27
Growth100
Stability65
Investment57

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)54.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)38.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)81.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-3.2% to +1.0%
Medium-term
-4.4% to +1.8%
Long-term
-5.6% to +2.6%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 11

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score65.9/100
Target Upside+156.4%
Coverage11 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score56.4/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 โ€” Declining
12M Momentum-0.3%
6M Momentum-0.2%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-18.8%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.45)
Relative Strength vs Sector-58.7%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (2.6)
Momentum Quality-0.197
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
0%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P98
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P0
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P75
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
+1.2ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 46 relative to sector peers46/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 11th percentileP11
Blended score: 80% fundamental (46) + 20% ML (11) = 39.239.2
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 43% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade D
SHAP feature alignment: +2.9pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Divergence penalty: -3.0pt (ML 35pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (-1007.0%) โ€” earnings quality concernFlag
Liquidity penalty: -5.0pt (grade C)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare โ€” Rank #160 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
DCTH35.1297.01701.7%1.5%$311M
INCY89.915.821.2%25.0%$19.6B
GMAB86.113.122.8%36.4%$17.9B
CPRX83.713.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
ASND78.316.698.0%-31.7%$13.8B
EXEL78.315.17.0%33.7%$11.9B
VRTX78.232.18.9%32.9%$121.8B
NBIX75.126.521.4%16.7%$13.1B
RPRX75.025.15.1%32.4%$19.3B
HOLX74.831.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
AMGN74.226.010.0%21.0%$204.8B
ARGX73.735.178.6%38.0%$47.4B
REGN73.019.41.0%31.4%$80.2B
ALKS72.916.5-6.4%23.9%$5.0B
ISRG72.761.720.5%28.4%$180.9B
KRYS71.541.4473.0%30.7%$7.9B
Sector Average36.641.9161.5%-3292.7%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy11 analysts
Buy: 8Hold: 2Sell: 1
Price Target
$24consensus
Low $19Median $24High $30
+166.7% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Delcath Systems, Inc., an interventional oncology company, focuses on the treatment of primary and metastatic liver cancers in the United States and Europe. The company's lead product candidate is HEPZATO KIT, a melphalan for injection/hepatic delivery system to administer high-dose chemotherapy to the liver while controlling systemic exposure and associated side effects. Its clinical development program for HEPZATO is the FOCUS clinical trial for patients with metastatic hepatic dominant Uveal Melanoma to investigate objective response rate in metastatic uveal melanoma. It also provides HEPZATO as a stand-alone medical device under the CHEMOSAT Hepatic Delivery System trade name for Melphalan or CHEMOSAT for medical centers to treat a range of liver cancers in Europe. Delcath Systems, Inc. was incorporated in 1988 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

CEO
Gerard J. Michel
Employees
96
Beta
0.36
Industry
Medical - Devices
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
50.7
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-50.6%
High: $18.23
From 52W Low
+10.8%
Low: $8.12
Moving Averages
10-Day
$9.60
Below
20-Day
$9.60
Below
50-Day
$10.00
Below
200-Day
$11.30
Below
60-Day Support
$8.86
60-Day Resistance
$11.15
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 โ€” DecliningScore: 2/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-20.4%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-7.24%
Falling
Volume Ratio
0.98x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%
Recent Gap Down

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$0$21M$24M$20M
Gross Profit$18M$18M$21M$17M
Operating Income$-2M$-388,000$3M$642,000
Net Income$-2M$830,000$3M$1M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.05$0.02$0.07$0.03
Gross MarginN/A87.2%86.3%85.6%
Operating MarginN/A-1.9%10.7%3.2%
Net MarginN/A4.0%11.2%5.4%

Why This Stock

HealthcareRevenue growth 1701.7%

Tradability FilterGrade C โ€” 53/100Score impact: -5.2pt

Volume
81
516K avg/day
Dollar Vol
50
$5M/day
Float
20
0K shares
Mkt Cap
14
$311M
Range
100
125% spread
Composite Liquidity Score53/100
FDCBA
small cap

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$7.00$20.7699.1%Wide
2022$2.34$8.25111.6%Wide
2023$2.25$7.99112.1%Wide
2024$3.70$13.30112.9%Wide
2025$8.12$18.2376.7%Wide
3-Year Range
156.1%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
125.0%
Institutional Tradable
Limited

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.