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SONO

💻 Technology

Sonos, Inc.

Conservative #852Aggressive #1113Moderate RiskModerate 75
$15.40+4.05%
Day High$15.42
Day Low$14.71
Volume1.4M
Mkt Cap$1.9B
52W Low $852W High $20
Market Cap
$1.9B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
-4.9%
Sector avg: 14.8%
Earnings Growth
-60.3%
Profit Margin
-1.2%
Sector avg: -110.0%
Debt/Equity
0.13

Why This Score

SONO scores 40.2 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Positive but moderate momentum (17%) — steady appreciation without overheating.
  • High conviction (75/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Above-average volatility (13.7%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Minor adjustments (-0.7 points) applied. SONO's rank of #852 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score40.2
Fundamental Score41.5
ML Score30.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
62.0
6 Month
69.2
Primary
1 Year
72.9

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (919.0%) — earnings quality concern

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
60
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
58
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
89
Grade A
Base
38.5
SHAP
+0.6
Factors
+1.1
Final
40.2
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)39.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)71.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)80.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-0.5% to +3.8%
Medium-term
-0.1% to +6.4%
Long-term
+0.3% to +9.0%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 30

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score58.3/100
Target Upside+30.8%
Coverage9 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score60.1/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.2%
6M Momentum+0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+5.9%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.66)
Relative Strength vs Sector+13.7%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (1.3)
Momentum Quality+0.134
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
47%
High risk — cheap + stagnating
Sector RevGr Rank
P12
Revenue growth vs Technology peers
Sector PE Rank
P78
Valuation vs Technology peers
Sector FCF Rank
P68
Free cash flow vs Technology peers
Growth Deviation
-0.3σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged
Value trap warning: This stock scores in the top quartile for value trap risk. The combination of below-sector-median revenue growth, low PE, and high free cash flow yield suggests the market is pricing in stagnation. The ML model's sector-relative features (trained on 30 years of data) reduce this stock's score accordingly.

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 60 relative to sector peers60/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 72th percentileP72
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +0.6pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (59.5) + 9% ML (70.1) + SHAP(+0.6) = 61.1
Factor quality: +1.1pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 13.7%. Max drawdown 23% (-5.9 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: -8.0 points ($1.9B market cap)-8.0 pts
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -5 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (919.0%) — earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Technology — Rank #189 of 289 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
SONO40.2N/A-4.9%-1.2%$1.9B
MPWR84.891.721.2%81.0%$57.1B
ZM84.218.03.1%21.7%$27.7B
NVDA80.645.2114.2%55.8%$4.5T
CRUS79.719.16.0%17.5%$7.4B
ASML77.848.115.6%29.4%$546.0B
IDCC77.431.8-4.0%48.8%$9.7B
CSCO77.127.65.3%18.0%$303.6B
RMBS75.548.320.7%32.3%$11.0B
DBX75.313.91.9%17.7%$6.4B
FSLR75.017.326.7%30.7%$24.2B
SIMO74.79.210.2%13.8%$4.5B
ADI74.374.116.9%20.6%$165.1B
AAPL72.533.16.4%27.0%$3.9T
OLED72.527.012.4%34.3%$5.9B
AMAT72.336.44.4%24.7%$281.7B
Sector Average47.487.814.8%-110.0%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy9 analysts
Buy: 4Hold: 4Sell: 1
Price Target
$20consensus
Low $18Median $20High $21
+26.6% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Sonos, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells multi-room audio products in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. The company provides wireless speakers, home theater speakers, components, and accessories. It offers its products through approximately 10,000 third-party retail stores, including custom installers of home audio systems; and e-commerce retailers, as well as through its Website sonos.com. The company was formerly known as Rincon Audio, Inc. and changed its name to Sonos, Inc. in May 2004. Sonos, Inc. was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Santa Barbara, California.

CEO
Thomas Conrad
Employees
1,708
Beta
1.99
Industry
Consumer Electronics
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
48.6
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-22.3%
High: $19.82
From 52W Low
+101.8%
Low: $7.63
Moving Averages
10-Day
$15.60
Below
20-Day
$15.60
Below
50-Day
$16.50
Below
200-Day
$14.40
Above
60-Day Support
$14.12
60-Day Resistance
$19.82
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 75/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+6.9%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+14.56%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.16x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ1 2025Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025
Revenue$546M$288M$345M$260M
Gross Profit$253M$126M$150M$114M
Operating Income$103M$-34M$-3M$-61M
Net Income$94M$-38M$-3M$-70M
EPS (Diluted)$0.75$-0.31$-0.03$-0.58
Gross Margin46.5%43.7%43.4%43.7%
Operating Margin18.9%-12.0%-0.8%-23.6%
Net Margin17.2%-13.1%-1.0%-27.0%

Why This Stock

Technology

Tradability FilterGrade A — 89/100Score impact: -16.9pt

Volume
100
1.7M avg/day
Dollar Vol
84
$26M/day
Float
100
103M shares
Mkt Cap
56
$1.9B
Range
100
160% spread
Composite Liquidity Score89/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$28.29$44.7245%Wide
2022$13.65$31.2278.3%Wide
2023$9.78$21.9876.8%Wide
2024$10.23$19.7663.6%Wide
2025$7.63$19.8288.8%Wide
3-Year Range
96.9%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
slight revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
85.3%
Outstanding Shares
121M
Bid-Ask Spread
160.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.