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28

ALKT

💻 Technology

Alkami Technology, Inc.

Conservative #1161Aggressive #362Moderate RiskML↑ 51pt
$16.37+4.94%
Day High$16.63
Day Low$15.27
Volume2.2M
Mkt Cap$1.7B
52W Low $1552W High $32
Market Cap
$1.8B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
26.1%
Sector avg: 14.8%
Earnings Growth
35.1%
Profit Margin
-10.6%
Sector avg: -110.0%
Debt/Equity
1.08

Why This Score

ALKT scores 28.1 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (13.0%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 1.08) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Net penalties of -13.2 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, ALKT would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score28.1
Fundamental Score26.0
ML Score65.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
76.5
6 Month
85.5
Primary
1 Year
90.0

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
58
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
71
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
86
Grade A
Base
33.8
SHAP
+1.2
Factors
+1.5
Conviction
-4.8
Divergence
-3.6
Final
28.1
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)61.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)30.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)82.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+10.2% to +16.4%
Medium-term
+14.8% to +24.0%
Long-term
+21.3% to +33.9%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 65

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score70.8/100
Target Upside+86.3%
Coverage12 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score58.3/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 — Declining
12M Momentum-0.5%
6M Momentum-0.4%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-10.8%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.77)
Relative Strength vs Sector-50.8%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (3.6)
Momentum Quality-0.255
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
4%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P83
Revenue growth vs Technology peers
Sector PE Rank
P78
Valuation vs Technology peers
Sector FCF Rank
P28
Free cash flow vs Technology peers
Growth Deviation
+0.3σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 46 relative to sector peers46/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 96th percentileP96
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +1.2pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (45.6) + 9% ML (93.8) + SHAP(+1.2) = 51.2—
Factor quality: +1.5pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 13.0%. Max drawdown 46% (-12.0 pts). Price momentum -47% (-8.4 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: -8.0 points ($1.8B market cap)-8.0 pts
Conviction penalty: -4.8pt (conviction=0)—
Divergence penalty: -6.2pt (ML 51pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -5 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (173.9%) — earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Technology — Rank #254 of 289 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
ALKT28.1N/A26.1%-10.6%$1.8B
MPWR84.891.721.2%81.0%$57.1B
ZM84.218.03.1%21.7%$27.7B
NVDA80.645.2114.2%55.8%$4.5T
CRUS79.719.16.0%17.5%$7.4B
ASML77.848.115.6%29.4%$546.0B
IDCC77.431.8-4.0%48.8%$9.7B
CSCO77.127.65.3%18.0%$303.6B
RMBS75.548.320.7%32.3%$11.0B
DBX75.313.91.9%17.7%$6.4B
FSLR75.017.326.7%30.7%$24.2B
SIMO74.79.210.2%13.8%$4.5B
ADI74.374.116.9%20.6%$165.1B
AAPL72.533.16.4%27.0%$3.9T
OLED72.527.012.4%34.3%$5.9B
AMAT72.336.44.4%24.7%$281.7B
Sector Average47.487.814.8%-110.0%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy12 analysts
Buy: 10Hold: 2
Price Target
$24consensus
Low $22Median $24High $26
+46.6% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Alkami Technology, Inc. offers a cloud-based digital banking platform in the United States. The company's platform allows financial institutions to onboard and engage new users, accelerate revenues, and enhance operational efficiency, with the support of a proprietary, cloud-based, multi-tenant architecture. It offers an end- to- end set of software products, which include Alkami Platform, Retail Banking Solutions, Business Banking Solutions, and The Alkami Difference. It serves community, regional, credit unions, and retail and business banking. Alkami Technology, Inc. was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Plano, Texas.

CEO
Alex Shootman
Employees
938
Beta
0.53
Industry
Software - Application
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
39.8
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-48.3%
High: $31.66
From 52W Low
+8.5%
Low: $15.09
Moving Averages
10-Day
$16.30
Above
20-Day
$17.60
Below
50-Day
$20.30
Below
200-Day
$24.00
Below
60-Day Support
$15.09
60-Day Resistance
$24.47
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 — DecliningScore: 12/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-31.8%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-7.66%
Falling
Volume Ratio
1.34x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$121M$113M$112M$98M
Gross Profit$69M$64M$66M$58M
Operating Income$-9M$-13M$-16M$-15M
Net Income$-11M$-15M$-14M$-8M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.11$-0.14$-0.13$-0.08
Gross Margin57.2%56.8%58.6%59.0%
Operating Margin-7.9%-11.4%-14.2%-15.7%
Net Margin-9.5%-13.1%-12.1%-8.0%

Why This Stock

TechnologyRevenue growth 26.1%

Tradability FilterGrade A — 86/100Score impact: -23.7pt

Volume
100
1.5M avg/day
Dollar Vol
83
$24M/day
Float
89
72M shares
Mkt Cap
53
$1.8B
Range
100
107% spread
Composite Liquidity Score86/100
FDCBA

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
68.8%
Outstanding Shares
105M
Bid-Ask Spread
107.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.