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SBET

๐Ÿ›๏ธ Consumer Cyclical

SharpLink Gaming Ltd.

Conservative #1186Aggressive #1199High RiskFโ†‘ 17pt
$6.82-5.41%
Day High$7.00
Day Low$6.67
Volume4.0M
Mkt Cap$1.0B
52W Low $252W High $124
Market Cap
$1.0B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
-26.1%
Sector avg: 6.3%
Earnings Growth
170.9%
Profit Margin
-7.9%
Sector avg: -6.5%
Debt/Equity
N/A

Why This Score

SBET scores 25.3 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.00) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (630.7%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-8.2 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score25.3
Fundamental Score36.1
ML Score3.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
20.9
6 Month
23.4
Primary
1 Year
24.6

Quality Assessment

F
Quality Grade
Low quality โ€” significant fundamental weaknesses
1 quality flag detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (-818.2%) โ€” earnings quality concern
Speculative Classification
Speculative micro-cap โ€” no earnings, sub-$2B market cap, momentum-driven. Position sizing should reflect elevated risk.
Conservative score reduced by 3 points.

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
0.5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
90
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
75
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
91
Grade A
Base
26.5
SHAP
+2.5
Factors
+0.3
Conviction
-1.3
Divergence
-2.7
Final
25.3
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

34AVG
Value50
Quality18
Growth50
Stability28
Investment26

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)50.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)24.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)91.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-16.1% to -6.6%
Medium-term
-21.3% to -7.8%
Long-term
-26.5% to -9.1%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 3

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score75.0/100
Target Upside+191.0%
Coverage1 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score90.0/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 โ€” Declining
12M Momentum+0.5%
6M Momentum-0.6%
Volatility+6.3%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+115.8%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (-0.88)
Relative Strength vs Sector+53.2%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.1)
Momentum Quality+0.048
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
4%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P2
Revenue growth vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Sector PE Rank
P43
Valuation vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Sector FCF Rank
P11
Free cash flow vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Growth Deviation
-1.7ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 36 relative to sector peers36/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 3th percentileP3
Blended score: 80% fundamental (36) + 20% ML (3) = 29.529.5
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 6.3%; Drawdown 91% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade F: quality flags triggered โ€” see details below. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade F
SHAP feature alignment: +2.5pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: -1.3pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Divergence penalty: -2.7pt (ML 33pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (-818.2%) โ€” earnings quality concernFlag
Speculative: SPEC_MICRO (3.0pt penalty)Speculative

Sector Peer Comparison(Consumer Cyclical โ€” Rank #101 of 114 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
SBET25.3N/A-26.1%-7.9%$1.0B
MAR76.937.24.3%9.9%$91.3B
ULTA75.526.20.8%10.6%$30.9B
ABNB75.530.110.3%20.5%$81.6B
ORLY73.132.55.7%14.3%$78.4B
HAS73.016.7-17.3%9.3%$14.0B
GTX71.611.83.1%8.6%$4.1B
ROST71.530.73.7%9.9%$66.4B
DPZ71.121.95.1%12.4%$13.7B
CART69.719.911.0%13.5%$10.0B
EBAY69.618.31.7%19.3%$40.2B
GNTX68.314.30.6%17.5%$5.1B
MCRI66.217.24.4%18.6%$1.7B
CASY65.541.07.3%3.4%$25.3B
AMZN65.527.712.4%10.8%$2.2T
TXRH65.227.616.0%8.1%$12.1B
Sector Average47.436.96.3%-6.5%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy1 analysts
Buy: 1
Price Target
$19consensus
Low $15Median $18High $24
+174.9% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

SharpLink Gaming Ltd. operates as an online technology company that connects sports fans, leagues, and sports websites to sports betting and iGaming content. It operates through Affiliate Marketing Services ย– United States, Sports Gaming Client Services, Enterprise Telecom Expense Management, and Affiliate Marketing Services ย– International segments. The company collects information on potential U.S. domiciled sports bettors, connects them with contextual sports betting content, and converts them to paying sports betting customers, as well as offers sports betting data to sports media publishers. It also provides development, hosting, operations, maintenance, and service of free-to-play games and contests; and solutions for telecommunications expense management, enterprise mobility management, call usage, and accounting software, as well as iGaming and affiliate marketing network, which focuses on delivering quality traffic and player acquisitions, and retention and conversions to global iGaming operator partner worldwide. The company was founded in 2019 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.

CEO
Joseph Chalom
Employees
5
Beta
10.00
Industry
Gambling, Resorts & Casinos
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
46.8
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-94.5%
High: $124.12
From 52W Low
+201.8%
Low: $2.26
Moving Averages
10-Day
$6.80
Above
20-Day
$7.00
Below
50-Day
$8.70
Below
200-Day
$15.60
Below
60-Day Support
$5.98
60-Day Resistance
$12.29
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 โ€” DecliningScore: 15/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-56.3%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+10.99%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.81x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
80
Confidence: 40%
Recent Gap UpRecent Gap Down

Entry & Exit Zones

Avoid
No Entry
โ€”
No entry โ€” active downtrend
Exit Target
โ€”
Exit position if held
Stop Level
โ€”
No stop โ€” exit recommended

Stage 4 downtrend โ€” price is below both SMA50 and SMA200 with a declining 200-day average. Capital preservation takes priority. Do not buy into a downtrend.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$11M$697,291$741,731$823,441
Gross Profit$10M$209,089$131,795$166,286
Operating Income$105M$-103M$-925,544$-1M
Net Income$104M$-103M$-974,901$-902,647
EPS (Diluted)$0.62$-4.27$-1.84$-33.14
Gross Margin96.0%30.0%17.8%20.2%
Operating Margin967.6%-14826.0%-124.8%-130.7%
Net Margin961.6%-14832.1%-131.4%-109.6%

Why This Stock

Consumer Cyclical

Tradability FilterGrade A โ€” 91/100Score impact: -9.8pt

Volume
100
7.9M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$51M/day
Float
100
196M shares
Mkt Cap
39
$1.0B
Range
100
5344% spread
Composite Liquidity Score91/100
FDCBA

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.05x dampening
weinstein decliningsevere revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
131.7%
Outstanding Shares
149M
Bid-Ask Spread
5344.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.