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47

PGNY

🏥 Healthcare

Progyny, Inc.

Conservative #688Aggressive #994Moderate RiskModerate 60F↑ 20pt
$21.57+1.13%
Day High$21.61
Day Low$21.03
Volume0.6M
Mkt Cap$1.9B
52W Low $1852W High $29
Market Cap
$1.8B
P/E Ratio
31.9
Sector avg: 41.9
Rev Growth
7.2%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
-12.4%
Profit Margin
4.5%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.04

Why This Score

PGNY scores 47.4 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.04) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Above-average volatility (13.7%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Minor adjustments (-0.5 points) applied. PGNY's rank of #688 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score47.4
Fundamental Score48.4
ML Score30.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
44.8
6 Month
50.0
Primary
1 Year
52.7

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (-262.5%) — earnings quality concern

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
62
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
66
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
88
Grade A
Base
44.7
SHAP
+2.4
Factors
+0.8
Divergence
-0.5
Final
47.4
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)47.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)52.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)82.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-6.7% to -2.0%
Medium-term
-9.4% to -2.4%
Long-term
-12.2% to -2.9%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 30

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score66.3/100
Target Upside+51.5%
Coverage20 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score61.5/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 — Declining
12M Momentum-0.1%
6M Momentum-0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+4.4%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.65)
Relative Strength vs Sector-32.6%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.6)
Momentum Quality-0.064
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
6%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P52
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P14
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P93
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 74 relative to sector peers74/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 54th percentileP54
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +2.4pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (74.0) + 9% ML (53.8) + SHAP(+2.4) = 74.6—
Factor quality: +0.8pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 13.7%. Max drawdown 22% (-5.4 pts). Price momentum -8% (-0.6 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: -8.0 points ($1.8B market cap)-8.0 pts
Divergence penalty: -1.5pt (fund 20pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -5 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (-262.5%) — earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare — Rank #98 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
PGNY47.431.97.2%4.5%$1.8B
INCY89.915.821.2%25.0%$19.6B
GMAB86.113.122.8%36.4%$17.9B
CPRX83.713.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
EXEL78.315.17.0%33.7%$11.9B
ASND78.216.698.0%-31.7%$13.8B
VRTX78.232.18.9%32.9%$121.8B
NBIX75.126.521.4%16.7%$13.1B
RPRX75.025.15.1%32.4%$19.3B
HOLX74.831.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
AMGN74.226.010.0%21.0%$204.8B
ARGX73.735.178.6%38.0%$47.4B
REGN73.019.41.0%31.4%$80.2B
ALKS72.916.5-6.4%23.9%$5.0B
ISRG72.761.720.5%28.4%$180.9B
KRYS71.541.4473.0%30.7%$7.9B
Sector Average36.441.9161.5%-3292.7%—

Company Overviewvia FMP

Progyny, Inc., a benefits management company, specializes in fertility and family building benefits solutions for employers in the United States. Its fertility benefits solution includes differentiated benefits plan design, personalized concierge-style member support services, and selective network of fertility specialists. The company also offers Progyny Rx, an integrated pharmacy benefits solution that provides its members with access to the medications needed during their treatment. In addition, it provides surrogacy and adoption reimbursement programs for employers. The company was formerly known as Auxogyn, Inc. and changed its name to Progyny, Inc. in 2015. Progyny, Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

CEO
Peter Anevski
Employees
675
Beta
0.97
Industry
Medical - Healthcare Information Services
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
45.7
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-24.9%
High: $28.75
From 52W Low
+20%
Low: $17.98
Moving Averages
10-Day
$20.90
Above
20-Day
$21.80
Below
50-Day
$24.20
Below
200-Day
$22.80
Below
60-Day Support
$20.02
60-Day Resistance
$28.75
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 — DecliningScore: 22/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Transition signal: 3→4
Price vs 200 SMA
-5.4%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+3.03%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.96x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
16
Confidence: 50%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$313M$333M$324M$298M
Gross Profit$73M$79M$76M$63M
Operating Income$22M$24M$24M$16M
Net Income$14M$17M$15M$11M
EPS (Diluted)$0.15$0.19$0.17$0.12
Gross Margin23.2%23.7%23.4%21.3%
Operating Margin6.9%7.3%7.5%5.3%
Net Margin4.4%5.1%4.6%3.5%

Why This Stock

HealthcareValuation below sector median (P/E 31.9)

Tradability FilterGrade A — 88/100Score impact: +2.1pt

Volume
100
1.4M avg/day
Dollar Vol
87
$30M/day
Float
92
80M shares
Mkt Cap
57
$1.8B
Range
90
60% spread
Composite Liquidity Score88/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$38.61$68.3255.6%Wide
2022$25.67$53.1069.6%Wide
2023$28.03$44.9546.4%Wide
2024$13.39$42.08103.4%Wide
2025$17.01$27.7648%Wide
3-Year Range
108.2%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
92.3%
Outstanding Shares
86M
Bid-Ask Spread
60.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.