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19

SDGR

🏥 Healthcare

Schrödinger, Inc.

Conservative #1292Aggressive #1386High RiskF↑ 17pt
$12.76+8.14%
Day High$13.36
Day Low$11.89
Volume3.8M
Mkt Cap$940M
52W Low $1152W High $28
Market Cap
$849M
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
-4.2%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
-559.5%
Profit Margin
-68.5%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.35

Why This Score

SDGR scores 19.2 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Above-average volatility (13.6%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Minor adjustments (-2.4 points) applied. SDGR's rank of #1292 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score19.2
Fundamental Score23.9
ML Score6.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
25.4
6 Month
28.4
Primary
1 Year
29.9

Quality Assessment

F
Quality Grade
Low quality — significant fundamental weaknesses

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
57
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
68
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
79
Grade B
Base
18.3
SHAP
+1.2
Factors
+0.1
Divergence
-0.4
Final
19.2
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

32AVG
Value50
Quality0
Growth16
Stability58
Investment36

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)39.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)26.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)81.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-19.1% to -9.2%
Medium-term
-25.2% to -11.1%
Long-term
-31.3% to -13.1%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 6

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score68.2/100
Target Upside+64.4%
Coverage11 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score57.3/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 — Declining
12M Momentum-0.5%
6M Momentum-0.4%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-7.3%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.85)
Relative Strength vs Sector-73.3%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (3.6)
Momentum Quality-0.218
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
10%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P14
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P22
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P53
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 24 relative to sector peers24/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 6th percentileP6
Blended score: 80% fundamental (24) + 20% ML (6) = 20.320.3
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 56% → 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade F: quality flags triggered — see details below. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade F
SHAP feature alignment: +1.2pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Divergence penalty: -0.4pt (ML 18pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors
Liquidity penalty: -2.0pt (grade B)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare — Rank #285 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
SDGR19.2N/A-4.2%-68.5%$849M
INCY89.915.821.2%25.0%$19.6B
GMAB86.113.122.8%36.4%$17.9B
CPRX83.713.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
ASND78.316.698.0%-31.7%$13.8B
EXEL78.315.17.0%33.7%$11.9B
VRTX78.232.18.9%32.9%$121.8B
NBIX75.126.521.4%16.7%$13.1B
RPRX75.025.15.1%32.4%$19.3B
HOLX74.831.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
AMGN74.226.010.0%21.0%$204.8B
ARGX73.735.178.6%38.0%$47.4B
REGN73.019.41.0%31.4%$80.2B
ALKS72.916.5-6.4%23.9%$5.0B
ISRG72.761.720.5%28.4%$180.9B
KRYS71.541.4473.0%30.7%$7.9B
Sector Average36.641.9161.5%-3292.7%

Company Overviewvia FMP

Schrödinger, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides physics-based software platform that enables discovery of novel molecules for drug development and materials applications. The company operates in two segments, Software and Drug Discovery. The Software segment is focused on selling its software for drug discovery in the life sciences industry, as well as to customers in materials science industries. The Drug Discovery segment focuses on building a portfolio of preclinical and clinical programs, internally and through collaborations. The company serves biopharmaceutical and industrial companies, academic institutions, and government laboratories worldwide. Schrödinger, Inc. was incorporated in 1990 and is based in New York, New York.

CEO
Ramy Farid
Employees
891
Beta
1.55
Industry
Medical - Healthcare Information Services
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
48.4
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-53.8%
High: $27.63
From 52W Low
+14.9%
Low: $11.11
Moving Averages
10-Day
$11.70
Above
20-Day
$12.60
Above
50-Day
$15.60
Below
200-Day
$19.10
Below
60-Day Support
$11.11
60-Day Resistance
$19.58
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 — DecliningScore: 10/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-33.2%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-9.68%
Falling
Volume Ratio
1.36x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
82
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$87M$54M$55M$60M
Gross Profit$57M$28M$26M$31M
Operating Income$-17M$-46M$-53M$-51M
Net Income$33M$-33M$-43M$-60M
EPS (Diluted)$0.44$-0.45$-0.59$-0.82
Gross Margin65.7%51.6%47.8%52.3%
Operating Margin-19.7%-84.6%-96.6%-85.5%
Net Margin37.3%-60.4%-78.8%-100.4%

Why This Stock

Healthcare

Tradability FilterGrade B — 79/100Score impact: -19.8pt

Volume
100
1.2M avg/day
Dollar Vol
66
$13M/day
Float
83
59M shares
Mkt Cap
37
$849M
Range
100
149% spread
Composite Liquidity Score79/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$32.70$115.99112%Wide
2022$15.85$37.2580.6%Wide
2023$17.37$59.24109.3%Wide
2024$16.67$36.1373.7%Wide
2025$15.99$28.4756.1%Wide
3-Year Range
115%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.49x dampening
weinstein basingslight revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
79.7%
Outstanding Shares
74M
Bid-Ask Spread
149.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.