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43

PDFS

💻 Technology

PDF Solutions, Inc.

Conservative #763Aggressive #1003Low RiskModerate 67ML↑ 16pt
$34.67+4.49%
Day High$34.81
Day Low$33.25
Volume0.2M
Mkt Cap$1.4B
52W Low $1652W High $37
Market Cap
$1.3B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
22.0%
Sector avg: 14.8%
Earnings Growth
-115.8%
Profit Margin
-0.3%
Sector avg: -110.0%
Debt/Equity
0.28

Why This Score

PDFS scores 43.1 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 5-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (11.8%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-7.6 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score43.1
Fundamental Score54.4
ML Score22.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
51.7
6 Month
57.8
Primary
1 Year
60.8

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (15794.3%) — earnings quality concern

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
75
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
75
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
57
Grade C
Base
42.9
SHAP
+1.9
Factors
+0.9
Divergence
-2.6
Final
43.1
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)49.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)92.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)87.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-1.5% to +2.6%
Medium-term
-1.7% to +4.6%
Long-term
-1.8% to +6.6%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 22

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score75.0/100
Target Upside+19.6%
Coverage5 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score74.7/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.5%
6M Momentum+0.6%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-15.1%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.77)
Relative Strength vs Sector+46.0%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (4.2)
Momentum Quality+0.456
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
2%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P76
Revenue growth vs Technology peers
Sector PE Rank
P78
Valuation vs Technology peers
Sector FCF Rank
P8
Free cash flow vs Technology peers
Growth Deviation
+0.2σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 45 relative to sector peers45/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 61th percentileP61
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +1.9pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (44.6) + 9% ML (59.2) + SHAP(+1.9) = 47.9—
Factor quality: +0.9pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 11.8%. Max drawdown 8% (-0.0 pts)Low
Market cap adjustment: -8.0 points ($1.3B market cap)-8.0 pts
Divergence penalty: -0.9pt (ML 16pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -5 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (15794.3%) — earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Technology — Rank #170 of 289 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
PDFS43.1N/A22.0%-0.3%$1.3B
MPWR84.891.721.2%81.0%$57.1B
ZM84.218.03.1%21.7%$27.7B
NVDA80.645.2114.2%55.8%$4.5T
CRUS79.719.16.0%17.5%$7.4B
ASML77.848.115.6%29.4%$546.0B
IDCC77.431.8-4.0%48.8%$9.7B
CSCO77.127.65.3%18.0%$303.6B
RMBS75.548.320.7%32.3%$11.0B
DBX75.313.91.9%17.7%$6.4B
FSLR75.017.326.7%30.7%$24.2B
SIMO74.79.210.2%13.8%$4.5B
ADI74.374.116.9%20.6%$165.1B
AAPL72.533.16.4%27.0%$3.9T
OLED72.527.012.4%34.3%$5.9B
AMAT72.336.44.4%24.7%$281.7B
Sector Average47.487.814.8%-110.0%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy5 analysts
Buy: 5
Price Target
$38consensus
Low $38Median $38High $38
+9.6% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

PDF Solutions, Inc. provides proprietary software and physical intellectual property products for integrated circuit designs, electrical measurement hardware tools, proven methodologies, and professional services in the United States, China, Japan, Taiwan, and internationally. The company offers Exensio software products, such as Manufacturing Analytics that stores collected data in a common environment with a consistent view for enabling product engineers to identify and analyze production yield, performance, reliability, and other issues; Process Control that provides failure detection and classification capabilities for monitoring, alarming, and controlling manufacturing tool sets; Test Operations that offers data collection and analysis capabilities; and Assembly Operations that provides device manufacturers with the capability to link assembly and packaging data, including fabrication and characterization data over the product life cycle. It also provides design-for-inspection (DFI) Systems, such as DFI on-chip instruments; eProbe non-contactless E-beam tool; and Characterization Vehicle (CV) system, which includes CV test chips and pdFasTest electrical testers, as well as Exensio characterization software, designed to analyze the measurements collected from DFI on-chip instruments using the eProbe tool. In addition, the company offers Cimetrix software products that enables equipment manufacturers to provide industry standard interfaces on their products; and software-as-a-service, software related services, and characterization services. It sells its technologies and services through direct sales force, service teams, and strategic alliances to integrated device manufacturers, fabless semiconductor companies, foundries, equipment manufacturers, electronics manufacturing suppliers, original device manufacturers, out-sourced semiconductor assembly and test, and system houses. The company was founded in 1991 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.

CEO
John K. Kibarian
Employees
539
Beta
1.56
Industry
Software - Application
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
77.3
Overbought
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-6.3%
High: $36.99
From 52W Low
+117.9%
Low: $15.91
Moving Averages
10-Day
$33.00
Above
20-Day
$31.80
Above
50-Day
$31.50
Above
200-Day
$25.30
Above
60-Day Support
$26.59
60-Day Resistance
$36.99
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 90/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+37%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+14.86%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.12x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$62M$57M$52M$48M
Gross Profit$46M$41M$37M$35M
Operating Income$3M$5M$1M$-4M
Net Income$-48,000$1M$1M$-3M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.00$0.03$0.03$-0.08
Gross Margin74.4%72.3%71.2%72.9%
Operating Margin5.5%8.5%2.2%-7.4%
Net Margin-0.1%2.3%2.2%-6.3%

Why This Stock

TechnologyRevenue growth 22.0%

Tradability FilterGrade C — 57/100Score impact: -10.7pt

Volume
60
300K avg/day
Dollar Vol
59
$9M/day
Float
40
0K shares
Mkt Cap
45
$1.3B
Range
100
132% spread
Composite Liquidity Score57/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$16.44$33.7869.1%Wide
2022$19.34$32.8051.6%Wide
2023$26.12$48.0259.1%Wide
2024$26.94$39.7038.3%Wide
2025$15.91$32.3168%Wide
3-Year Range
100.4%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
132.0%
Institutional Tradable
Limited

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.