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55

PATK

🛍️ Consumer Cyclical

Patrick Industries, Inc.

Conservative #460Aggressive #532Low RiskModerate 66ML↑ 17pt
$126.60-1.38%
Day High$129.50
Day Low$124.83
Volume0.3M
Mkt Cap$4.2B
52W Low $7352W High $149
Market Cap
$4.2B
P/E Ratio
32.8
Sector avg: 36.9
Rev Growth
6.3%
Sector avg: 6.3%
Earnings Growth
-2.4%
Profit Margin
3.4%
Sector avg: -6.5%
Debt/Equity
1.39

Why This Score

PATK scores 56.1 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 1.39) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Minor adjustments (-2.0 points) applied. PATK's rank of #460 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score56.1
Fundamental Score53.9
ML Score55.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
65.3
6 Month
73.0
Primary
1 Year
76.8

Quality Assessment

D
Quality Grade
Below average quality — weak profitability or high leverage

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
67
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
64
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
75
Grade B
Base
52.1
SHAP
+3.2
Factors
+0.8
Final
56.1
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

57AVG
Value55
Quality38
Growth45
Stability70
Investment77

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)42.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)89.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)83.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+0.1% to +4.5%
Medium-term
+1.1% to +7.8%
Long-term
+2.1% to +11.1%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 55

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score64.1/100
Target Upside+11.3%
Coverage16 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score67.4/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.6%
6M Momentum+0.3%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+31.7%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.48)
Relative Strength vs Sector+59.5%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+0.552
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
4%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P63
Revenue growth vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Sector PE Rank
P22
Valuation vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Sector FCF Rank
P44
Free cash flow vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Growth Deviation
+0.2σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 54 relative to sector peers54/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 55th percentileP55
Blended score: 80% fundamental (54) + 20% ML (55) = 54.154.1
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 9% → 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade D
SHAP feature alignment: +3.2pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Risk Factors
Liquidity penalty: -2.0pt (grade B)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Consumer Cyclical — Rank #41 of 114 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
PATK56.132.86.3%3.4%$4.2B
MAR76.937.24.3%9.9%$93.0B
ULTA75.526.20.8%10.6%$31.0B
ABNB75.530.110.3%20.5%$81.8B
ORLY73.132.55.7%14.3%$77.0B
HAS73.016.7-17.3%9.3%$14.1B
GTX71.611.83.1%8.6%$4.0B
ROST71.530.73.7%9.9%$66.4B
DPZ71.121.95.1%12.4%$13.7B
CART69.719.911.0%13.5%$9.9B
EBAY69.618.31.7%19.3%$39.7B
GNTX68.314.30.6%17.5%$5.2B
MCRI66.217.24.4%18.6%$1.8B
CASY65.541.07.3%3.4%$25.2B
AMZN65.527.712.4%10.8%$2.2T
TXRH65.227.616.0%8.1%$12.2B
Sector Average47.436.96.3%-6.5%—

Company Overviewvia FMP

Patrick Industries, Inc. manufactures and distributes components, building products, and materials for the recreational vehicle, marine, manufactured housing, and industrial markets in the United States, China, and Canada. Its Manufacturing segment manufactures and sells furniture, shelving, wall, countertop, and cabinet product; cabinet door, fiberglass bath fixture, and tile system; hardwood furniture, vinyl printing, amplifiers, tower speakers, soundbars, and subwoofers; solid surface, granite, and quartz countertop fabrication; aluminum product; fiberglass and plastic components; RV painting; decorative vinyl and paper laminated panels; softwoods lumber; custom cabinet; polymer-based flooring product; dash panels; and other products. This segment also provides wrapped vinyl, paper, and hardwood profile moulding; interior passage doors; air handling products; slide-out trim and fascia; treated, untreated, and laminated plywood; fiberglass and plastic helm systems and components; boat covers, tower, top, and frame; adhesives and sealants; thermoformed shower surrounds; specialty bath, and closet building products; wiring and wire harnesses; aluminum and plastic fuel tanks; CNC molds, composite part, marine hardware; slotwall panels, components; and other products. The company's Distribution segment distributes pre-finished wall and ceiling panel, drywall and finishing product, electronic, audio system component, appliance, marine accessories, wiring product, electrical and plumbing product, fiber reinforced polyester product; cement siding product, raw and processed lumber, interior passage, roofing, laminate, and ceramic flooring product, shower door, furniture, fireplace and surround, interior and exterior lighting product, and other products. This segment also offers transportation and logistics service. The company was founded in 1959 and is headquartered in Elkhart, Indiana.

CEO
Andy L. Nemeth
Employees
10,000
Beta
1.32
Industry
Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
26.6
Oversold
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-14.7%
High: $148.5
From 52W Low
+73.4%
Low: $72.99
Moving Averages
10-Day
$134.90
Below
20-Day
$135.40
Below
50-Day
$125.00
Above
200-Day
$106.90
Above
60-Day Support
$104.86
60-Day Resistance
$148.5
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 67/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+18.4%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+11.89%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.95x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%
Key Reversal Detected (2026-02-12)

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$924M$976M$1.0B$1.0B
Gross Profit$213M$221M$251M$229M
Operating Income$57M$66M$87M$66M
Net Income$29M$35M$32M$38M
EPS (Diluted)$0.83$1.01$0.96$1.11
Gross Margin23.0%22.6%23.9%22.8%
Operating Margin6.2%6.8%8.3%6.5%
Net Margin3.1%3.6%3.1%3.8%

Why This Stock

Consumer CyclicalValuation below sector median (P/E 32.8)

Tradability FilterGrade B — 75/100Score impact: -2.7pt

Volume
62
323K avg/day
Dollar Vol
95
$42M/day
Float
62
32M shares
Mkt Cap
66
$4.2B
Range
100
103% spread
Composite Liquidity Score75/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$45.91$65.8935.7%Wide
2022$27.83$55.4666.3%Wide
2023$39.63$68.3353.2%Wide
2024$60.67$98.9047.9%Wide
2025$72.99$116.7846.2%Wide
3-Year Range
98.7%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
95.7%
Outstanding Shares
33M
Bid-Ask Spread
103.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.