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50

MRX

๐Ÿฆ Financial Services

Marex Group plc Ordinary Shares

Conservative #617Aggressive #151Moderate RiskMLโ†‘ 29pt
$43.46+0.79%
Day High$44.00
Day Low$42.31
Volume0.6M
Mkt Cap$3.1B
52W Low $2852W High $49
Market Cap
$3.1B
P/E Ratio
15.6
Sector avg: 26.8
Rev Growth
23.1%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
70.3%
Profit Margin
7.2%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
7.69

Why This Score

MRX scores 50.2 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 18.4% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • Positive but moderate momentum (15%) โ€” steady appreciation without overheating.
Risk Factors
  • Above-average volatility (10.4%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 7.69) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Minor adjustments (0.0 points) applied. MRX's rank of #617 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score50.2
Fundamental Score45.3
ML Score50.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
81.0
6 Month
90.5
Primary
1 Year
95.3

Quality Assessment

C
Quality Grade
Average quality โ€” moderate profitability or leverage
2 quality flags detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (-520.0%) โ€” earnings quality concern
Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 7.7x โ€” balance sheet risk

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
65
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
75
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
81
Grade A
Base
46.2
SHAP
+2.9
Factors
+1.1
Final
50.2
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

66AVG
Value75
Quality47
Growth93
Stability51
Investment62

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)62.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)70.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)85.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+7.6% to +13.2%
Medium-term
+12.3% to +20.7%
Long-term
+18.8% to +30.5%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 50

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score75.0/100
Target Upside+27.4%
Coverage5 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score64.5/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+0.1%
6M Momentum+0.2%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-3.3%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.82)
Relative Strength vs Sector+5.8%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (1.4)
Momentum Quality+0.101
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
9%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P81
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P49
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P96
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
+0.3ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 45 relative to sector peers45/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 50th percentileP50
Blended score: 80% fundamental (45) + 20% ML (50) = 46.246.2
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 31% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade C
SHAP feature alignment: +2.9pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Risk Factors
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (-520.0%) โ€” earnings quality concern; Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 7.7x โ€” balance sheet riskFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services โ€” Rank #186 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
MRX50.215.623.1%7.2%$3.1B
CME86.427.29.9%57.5%$114.0B
FHB84.911.83.2%24.2%$3.1B
ACT84.58.92.4%54.6%$6.1B
CINF84.210.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
SEIC82.214.010.7%27.3%$9.9B
TROW79.910.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
QQQX79.710.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
IBOC78.210.67.5%40.1%$4.2B
HWC77.812.2-1.5%24.1%$5.6B
FFIN77.518.811.7%30.7%$4.7B
TRMK77.111.934.8%19.3%$2.6B
NMIH77.17.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
EWBC76.712.74.6%28.3%$15.3B
WSFS76.312.8-3.1%21.1%$3.5B
MCHB76.1N/A123.7%23.2%$3.1B
Sector Average47.526.813.4%-2.8%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy5 analysts
Buy: 5
Price Target
$52consensus
Low $49Median $52High $55
+19.7% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Marex Group plc, a financial services platform provider company, provides liquidity, market access, and infrastructure services to clients in the energy, commodities, and financial markets in the United Kingdom, the United States, and internationally. It operates through Clearing, Agency and Execution, Market Making, and Hedging and Investment Solutions segments. The company offers execution and clearing services in metals, agricultural products, energy and financial futures and options; liquidity and execution services for financial securities through trading desks that cover products, including foreign exchange, equities, fixed income, and others. It also operates as an agent to trade in OTC energy products using knowledge of the energy sector and relationships with clients for oil, power and gas, and shipping and freight products; and provides market-making services across commodities markets, such as metals, agricultural products, and energy markets. In addition, the company offers OTC traded hedging and customized OTC derivatives solutions; and risk management solutions across commodity markets comprising agriculture, metals, energy, and currency markets for trading houses, producers and consumers, and banks and distributors. Further, it engages in the structured notes business, which allows investors to build structured notes across asset classes, including commodities, equities, foreign exchange, and fixed-income products for private banks, independent asset managers, pension funds, and corporates. Additionally, the company offers technology platforms, including Neon, a trading, risk, and data platform; and Agile, a commodity broking platform. Marex Group plc was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

CEO
Ian Theo Lowitt
Employees
2,425
Beta
-0.69
Industry
Financial - Capital Markets
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
62.8
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-11.9%
High: $49.34
From 52W Low
+55.7%
Low: $27.91
Moving Averages
10-Day
$41.90
Above
20-Day
$41.00
Above
50-Day
$40.00
Above
200-Day
$37.20
Above
60-Day Support
$34.85
60-Day Resistance
$44
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 68/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+16.8%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+1.31%
Flattening
Volume Ratio
1.14x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
59
Confidence: 90%

Entry & Exit Zones

Above Entry Zone
$35.37
Stop Entry Now Target
$50.82
Entry Zone
$39.60 โ€“ $41.20
SMA50 pullback zone ($39.6โ€“$41.2)
Exit Target
$49.34
52-week high / +22% target ($49.34)
Stop Level
$36.46
Below SMA200 ($36.46)
Risk / Reward:1 : 2.27Acceptable

Stage 2 uptrend โ€” institutional accumulation phase. SMA50 pullbacks are the highest-probability entry points. Stop below SMA200 preserves capital if trend breaks.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ2 2025Q4 2024Q2 2024Q4 2023
Revenue$500M$2.2B$740M$721M
Gross Profit$194M$996M$291M$721M
Operating Income$101M$437M$391M$-117M
Net Income$77M$115M$103M$51M
EPS (Diluted)$1.91$1.39$1.33$0.72
Gross Margin38.8%46.2%39.3%100.0%
Operating Margin20.2%20.3%52.9%-16.2%
Net Margin15.3%5.3%13.9%7.0%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesP/E ratio of 15.6Revenue growth 23.1%Valuation below sector median (P/E 15.6)

Tradability FilterGrade A โ€” 81/100Score impact: -14.3pt

Volume
83
572K avg/day
Dollar Vol
82
$23M/day
Float
81
51M shares
Mkt Cap
62
$3.1B
Range
98
77% spread
Composite Liquidity Score81/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2024$18.13$32.4556.6%Wide
2025$27.91$49.3455.5%Wide
3-Year Range
92.5%
Narrow Years
0 / 2
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
71.6%
Outstanding Shares
72M
Bid-Ask Spread
77.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.