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51

PWP

🏦 Financial Services

Perella Weinberg Partners

Conservative #523Aggressive #888Moderate RiskLow 18ML↑ 33pt
$19.36+0.41%
Day High$19.47
Day Low$19.02
Volume0.7M
Mkt Cap$1.8B
52W Low $1452W High $26
Market Cap
$1.8B
P/E Ratio
38.3
Sector avg: 49.4
Rev Growth
-14.5%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
154.8%
Profit Margin
4.7%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
N/A

Why This Score

PWP scores 51.4 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E -0.61) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (12.2%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Minor adjustments (-2.4 points) applied. PWP's rank of #523 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score51.4
Fundamental Score56.0
ML Score25.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
68.6
6 Month
76.7
Primary
1 Year
80.7

Quality Assessment

D
Earnings Grade
Weak fundamentals or significant quality concerns

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
50
Basing
Sentiment (2.5%)
41
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
84
Grade A
Base
49.8
SHAP
+2.9
Factors
+1.1
Divergence
-2.4
Final
51.4
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)43.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)55.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)73.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-0.7% to +5.9%
Medium-term
-0.8% to +9.3%
Long-term
-0.6% to +12.9%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 25

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+10.8%
Coverage3 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score40.6/100
News Volume0 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage1 — Basing
12M Momentum-0.1%
6M Momentum-0.0%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-3.5%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.39)
Relative Strength vs Sector-14.7%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.5)
Momentum Quality-0.046
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
4%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P8
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P14
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P35
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
-0.3σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 47 relative to sector peers47/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 81th percentileP81
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +3.7pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (47.3) + 9% ML (78.4) + SHAP(+3.7) = 53.8—
Factor quality: +1.5pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 12.2%. Max drawdown 21% (-5.3 pts). Price momentum -6% (-0.2 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: -8.0 points ($1.8B market cap)-8.0 pts
Conviction penalty: -3.1pt (conviction=18)—
Divergence penalty: -3.5pt (ML 33pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by -23 pointsGrade D
Quality concern: Earnings growth (155%) far exceeds revenue growth (-14.5%) — margin expansion may not be sustainable; Earnings/revenue growth ratio of Infinityx — earnings quality suspectFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services — Rank #157 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
PWP51.438.3-14.5%4.7%$1.8B
CME84.927.29.9%57.5%$109.0B
CINF82.310.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
ACT82.08.92.4%54.6%$6.0B
SEIC80.914.010.7%27.3%$9.6B
TROW79.310.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
FHB78.311.83.2%24.2%$3.3B
MCHB77.70.0123.7%23.2%$3.4B
TRMK75.611.934.8%19.3%$2.7B
BCAL74.39.926.2%27.1%$613M
NMIH73.97.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
FFIN73.218.811.7%30.7%$4.8B
TW73.130.018.9%39.6%$24.8B
VCTR73.118.38.8%32.3%$4.9B
VLY72.412.5-2.2%17.1%$7.5B
QQQX72.310.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
Sector Average45.849.413.4%-2.8%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy3 analysts
Buy: 1Hold: 1Sell: 1
Price Target
$21consensus
Low $21Median $21High $22
+9.8% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Perella Weinberg Partners, an independent investment banking company, provides strategic and financial advice services in the United States and internationally. The company offers advice services related to mission-critical strategic and financial decisions, mergers and acquisition execution, shareholder and defense advisory, capital raising, structure and restructuring, capital markets advisory, energy underwriting, and equity research. It serves public multinational corporations, mid-sized public and private companies, individual entrepreneurs, private and institutional investors, creditor committees, and government institutions in various industries comprising consumer and retail; energy; financial institutions; healthcare; industrials; and technology, media, and telecommunications. The company was founded in 2006 and is based in New York, New York.

CEO
Andrew Bednar
Employees
700
Beta
1.66
Industry
Financial - Capital Markets
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
33.8
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-25.3%
High: $25.93
From 52W Low
+37.1%
Low: $14.12
Moving Averages
10-Day
$20.70
Below
20-Day
$21.70
Below
50-Day
$20.20
Below
200-Day
$19.90
Below
60-Day Support
$17.1
60-Day Resistance
$25.93
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 1 — BasingScore: 40/100

Stock is building a base after a decline. The 200-day moving average is flattening. Watch for a breakout above the 200-day SMA on increased volume.

Monitor for breakout above 200-day SMA on volume
Transition signal: 1→2
Price vs 200 SMA
-2.7%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+1.16%
Flattening
Volume Ratio
0.85x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
3
Confidence: 80%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$219M$165M$155M$212M
Gross Profit$490M$76M$75M$89M
Operating Income$19M$9M$9M$12M
Net Income$9M$6M$3M$17M
EPS (Diluted)$0.14$0.08$0.04$0.24
Gross Margin223.7%46.1%48.3%41.9%
Operating Margin8.5%5.4%5.8%5.5%
Net Margin4.3%3.6%1.8%8.2%

Why This Stock

Financial Services

Tradability FilterGrade A — 84/100Score impact: +16.0pt

Volume
98
939K avg/day
Dollar Vol
76
$18M/day
Float
86
64M shares
Mkt Cap
55
$1.8B
Range
100
84% spread
Composite Liquidity Score84/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$10.06$14.7537.8%Wide
2022$5.47$13.2282.9%Wide
2023$6.80$12.9262.1%Wide
2024$10.73$26.6285.1%Wide
2025$14.12$27.0362.7%Wide
3-Year Range
119.6%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.35x dampening
weinstein basingrevenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
99.6%
Outstanding Shares
64M
Bid-Ask Spread
84.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.