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65

FTNT

💻 Technology

Fortinet, Inc.

Conservative #200Aggressive #337Moderate RiskMixed 57ML↑ 22pt
$77.35+2.82%
Day High$77.60
Day Low$74.35
Volume5.5M
Mkt Cap$59.3B
52W Low $7052W High $111
Market Cap
$61.3B
P/E Ratio
32.1
Sector avg: 87.8
Rev Growth
14.2%
Sector avg: 14.8%
Earnings Growth
6.2%
Profit Margin
27.3%
Sector avg: -110.0%
Debt/Equity
0.81

Why This Score

FTNT scores 64.9 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 123.6% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • High net margin of 27.3%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.

No material penalties applied. FTNT ranks #200 based on its factor profile and ML signal alignment.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score64.9
Fundamental Score60.3
ML Score66.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
76.5
6 Month
85.5
Primary
1 Year
90.0

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
40
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
59
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
99
Grade A
Base
63.1
SHAP
+1.8
Factors
+1.7
Divergence
-1.7
Final
64.9
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)71.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)54.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)75.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+3.4% to +8.3%
Medium-term
+5.8% to +13.2%
Long-term
+8.9% to +19.0%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 66

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score59.3/100
Target Upside+14.2%
Coverage67 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score40.0/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 — Declining
12M Momentum-0.2%
6M Momentum+0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-29.4%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (-0.41)
Relative Strength vs Sector-24.4%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (2.6)
Momentum Quality-0.155
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
7%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P60
Revenue growth vs Technology peers
Sector PE Rank
P38
Valuation vs Technology peers
Sector FCF Rank
P46
Free cash flow vs Technology peers
Growth Deviation
+0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 61 relative to sector peers61/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 83th percentileP83
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +1.8pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (61.0) + 9% ML (82.7) + SHAP(+1.8) = 64.7—
Factor quality: +1.7pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 8.0%. Max drawdown 25% (-7.0 pts). Price momentum -21% (-3.2 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: +3.5 points ($61.3B market cap)+3.5 pts
Divergence penalty: -1.7pt (ML 22pt higher)—
Risk Factors

No risk factors identified.

Sector Peer Comparison(Technology — Rank #53 of 289 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
FTNT64.932.114.2%27.3%$61.3B
MPWR84.891.721.2%81.0%$57.1B
ZM84.218.03.1%21.7%$27.7B
NVDA80.645.2114.2%55.8%$4.5T
CRUS79.719.16.0%17.5%$7.4B
ASML77.848.115.6%29.4%$546.0B
IDCC77.431.8-4.0%48.8%$9.7B
CSCO77.127.65.3%18.0%$303.6B
RMBS75.548.320.7%32.3%$11.0B
DBX75.313.91.9%17.7%$6.4B
FSLR75.017.326.7%30.7%$24.2B
SIMO74.79.210.2%13.8%$4.5B
ADI74.374.116.9%20.6%$165.1B
AAPL72.533.16.4%27.0%$3.9T
OLED72.527.012.4%34.3%$5.9B
AMAT72.336.44.4%24.7%$281.7B
Sector Average47.487.814.8%-110.0%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Hold67 analysts
Buy: 30Hold: 32Sell: 5
Price Target
$86consensus
Low $70Median $88High $95
+10.8% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Fortinet, Inc. provides broad, integrated, and automated cybersecurity solutions in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It offers FortiGate hardware and software licenses that provide various security and networking functions, including firewall, intrusion prevention, anti-malware, virtual private network, application control, web filtering, anti-spam, and wide area network acceleration. The company also provides FortiSwitch product family that offers secure switching solutions for connecting customers their end devices; FortiAP product family, which provides secure wireless networking solutions; FortiExtender, a hardware appliance; FortiAnalyzer product family, which offers centralized network logging, analyzing, and reporting solutions; and FortiManager product family that provides central and scalable management solution for its FortiGate products. It offers FortiWeb product family provides web application firewall solutions; FortiMail product family that secure email gateway solutions; FortiSandbox technology that delivers proactive detection and mitigation services; FortiClient that provides endpoint protection with pattern-based anti-malware, behavior-based exploit protection, web-filtering, and an application firewall; FortiToken and FortiAuthenticator product families for multi-factor authentication to safeguard systems, assets, and data; and FortiEDR/XDR, an endpoint protection solution that provides both comprehensive machine-learning anti-malware execution and real-time post-infection protection. It provides security subscription, technical support, professional, and training services. It sells its security solutions to channel partners and directly to various customers in telecommunications, technology, government, financial services, education, retail, manufacturing, and healthcare industries. It has strategic alliance with Linksys. Fortinet, Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Sunnyvale, California.

CEO
Ken Xie
Employees
14,556
Beta
1.05
Industry
Software - Infrastructure
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
43.9
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-30.5%
High: $111.31
From 52W Low
+10.3%
Low: $70.12
Moving Averages
10-Day
$81.00
Below
20-Day
$81.50
Below
50-Day
$80.30
Below
200-Day
$87.90
Below
60-Day Support
$73.55
60-Day Resistance
$88.6
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 — DecliningScore: 17/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-12%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-6.5%
Falling
Volume Ratio
1.03x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$1.9B$1.7B$1.6B$1.5B
Gross Profit$1.5B$1.4B$1.3B$1.2B
Operating Income$626M$546M$457M$454M
Net Income$506M$474M$440M$433M
EPS (Diluted)$0.68$0.62$0.57$0.56
Gross Margin79.6%81.5%81.5%81.0%
Operating Margin32.8%31.6%28.0%29.5%
Net Margin26.6%27.5%27.0%28.1%

Why This Stock

TechnologyRevenue growth 14.2%Profit margin 27.3%

Tradability FilterGrade A — 99/100Score impact: +8.7pt

Volume
100
6.4M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$486M/day
Float
100
626M shares
Mkt Cap
100
$61.3B
Range
89
59% spread
Composite Liquidity Score99/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$32.23$74.3579%Wide
2022$42.61$72.4251.8%Wide
2023$44.12$81.2459.2%Wide
2024$54.57$100.5959.3%Wide
2025$70.12$114.8248.3%Wide
3-Year Range
89%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
81.6%
Outstanding Shares
766M
Bid-Ask Spread
59.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.