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25

TTWO

📡 Communication Services

Take-Two Interactive Software,

Conservative #1234Aggressive #1300Low RiskMixed 57ML↑ 21pt
$207.31+1.53%
Day High$207.98
Day Low$202.93
Volume2.4M
Mkt Cap$38.4B
52W Low $18952W High $265
Market Cap
$35.9B
P/E Ratio
24.7
Sector avg: 120.6
Rev Growth
5.3%
Sector avg: 15.4%
Earnings Growth
-19.6%
Profit Margin
-79.5%
Sector avg: -115.9%
Debt/Equity
1.92

Why This Score

TTWO scores 25.3 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Risk Factors
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 1.92) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Minor adjustments (-0.9 points) applied. TTWO's rank of #1234 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score25.3
Fundamental Score28.0
ML Score7.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
31.3
6 Month
35.0
Primary
1 Year
36.8

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
62
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
70
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
97
Grade A
Base
23.8
SHAP
+1.8
Factors
+0.6
Divergence
-0.9
Final
25.3
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

56AVG
Value70
Quality40
Growth45
Stability45
Investment80

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)29.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)52.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)83.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-14.0% to -8.3%
Medium-term
-18.2% to -10.1%
Long-term
-22.5% to -11.9%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 7

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score69.6/100
Target Upside+48.3%
Coverage56 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score61.5/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 — Declining
12M Momentum-0.1%
6M Momentum-0.2%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+8.3%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.51)
Relative Strength vs Sector-8.6%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (1.1)
Momentum Quality-0.065
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
3%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P55
Revenue growth vs Communication Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P28
Valuation vs Communication Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P22
Free cash flow vs Communication Services peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 22 relative to sector peers22/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 43th percentileP43
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +1.8pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (21.5) + 9% ML (43.0) + SHAP(+1.8) = 25.2—
Factor quality: +0.6pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 8.2%. Max drawdown 25% (-6.8 pts). Price momentum -9% (-0.7 pts)Low
Market cap adjustment: +2.0 points ($35.9B market cap)+2.0 pts
Divergence penalty: -1.7pt (ML 21pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -8 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (-48.3%) — earnings quality concern; High leverage: D/E ratio of 1.9x — elevated balance sheet riskFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Communication Services — Rank #52 of 63 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
TTWO25.324.75.3%-79.5%$35.9B
GOOGL82.828.315.1%32.8%$3.7T
EA75.175.1-1.3%15.0%$50.2B
MTCH74.512.83.4%15.8%$7.3B
META72.027.222.2%30.1%$1.6T
TIGO69.810.12.5%4.4%$11.0B
BZ65.521.923.6%21.5%$8.1B
NXST65.214.49.6%13.4%$7.0B
SIRI63.69.5-1.6%9.4%$7.2B
CMCSA63.65.9-0.0%16.2%$115.0B
JOYY60.91.9-1.3%83.2%$3.3B
EVER60.610.473.7%8.4%$566M
NFLX59.630.415.9%24.3%$326.1B
TMUS59.322.68.5%12.4%$245.5B
NWS56.712.62.4%12.2%$14.7B
WMG56.451.74.4%5.4%$15.4B
Sector Average42.3120.615.4%-115.9%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy56 analysts
Buy: 44Hold: 12
Price Target
$292consensus
Low $280Median $295High $301
+40.7% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. develops, publishes, and markets interactive entertainment solutions for consumers worldwide. The company offers its products under the Rockstar Games, 2K, Private Division, and T2 Mobile Games names. It develops and publishes action/adventure products under the Grand Theft Auto, Max Payne, Midnight Club, and Red Dead Redemption names; and offers episodes and content, as well as develops brands in other genres, including the LA Noire, Bully, and Manhunt franchises. The company also publishes various entertainment properties across various platforms and a range of genres, such as shooter, action, role-playing, strategy, sports, and family/casual entertainment under the BioShock, Mafia, Sid Meier's Civilization, XCOM series, and Borderlands. In addition, it publishes sports simulation titles comprising NBA 2K series, a basketball video game; the WWE 2K professional wrestling series; and PGA TOUR 2K. Further, the company offers Kerbal Space Program, OlliOlli World, and The Outer Worlds and Ancestors: the Humankind Odyssey under Private Division; and free-to-play mobile games, such as Dragon City, Monster Legends, Two Dots, and Top Eleven. Its products are designed for console gaming systems, including PlayStation 4 and PlayStation 5; Xbox One; the Nintendo's Switch; personal computers; and mobile comprising smartphones and tablets. The company provides its products through physical retail, digital download, online platforms, and cloud streaming services. Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. was incorporated in 1993 and is based in New York, New York.

CEO
Strauss H. Zelnick
Employees
12,371
Beta
0.93
Industry
Electronic Gaming & Multimedia
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
54.4
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-21.7%
High: $264.79
From 52W Low
+9.9%
Low: $188.56
Moving Averages
10-Day
$198.90
Above
20-Day
$206.60
Above
50-Day
$231.60
Below
200-Day
$237.90
Below
60-Day Support
$188.65
60-Day Resistance
$260.04
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 — DecliningScore: 18/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-12.9%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+2.81%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.2x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
19
Confidence: 40%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2025
Revenue$1.7B$1.8B$1.5B$1.6B
Gross Profit$896M$981M$945M$803M
Operating Income$-38M$-98M$22M$-3.8B
Net Income$-93M$-134M$-12M$-3.7B
EPS (Diluted)$-0.50$-0.73$-0.07$-21.08
Gross Margin52.8%55.3%62.8%50.8%
Operating Margin-2.2%-5.5%1.4%-238.7%
Net Margin-5.5%-7.5%-0.8%-235.5%

Why This Stock

Communication ServicesP/E ratio of 24.7

Tradability FilterGrade A — 97/100Score impact: -4.9pt

Volume
100
2.0M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$387M/day
Float
100
171M shares
Mkt Cap
93
$35.9B
Range
80
40% spread
Composite Liquidity Score97/100
FDCBA

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
92.5%
Outstanding Shares
185M
Bid-Ask Spread
40.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.