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TEAM

๐Ÿ’ป Technology

Atlassian Corporation

Conservative #1173Aggressive #1116High RiskLow 15MLโ†‘ 43pt
$73.19+2.82%
Day High$73.55
Day Low$67.88
Volume6.2M
Mkt Cap$19.3B
52W Low $6852W High $296
Market Cap
$22.3B
P/E Ratio
15.3
Sector avg: 87.8
Rev Growth
19.7%
Sector avg: 14.8%
Earnings Growth
14.6%
Profit Margin
-4.9%
Sector avg: -110.0%
Debt/Equity
0.92

Why This Score

TEAM scores 27.6 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Risk Factors
  • Above-average volatility (12.4%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Minor adjustments (0.0 points) applied. TEAM's rank of #1173 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score27.6
Fundamental Score26.2
ML Score13.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
75.4
6 Month
84.3
Primary
1 Year
88.7

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
57
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
69
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
94
Grade A
Base
28.6
SHAP
+2.1
Factors
+1.9
Divergence
-5.0
Final
27.6
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

60AVG
Value85
Quality40
Growth75
Stability60
Investment40

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)50.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)25.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)81.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+6.2% to +11.7%
Medium-term
+9.4% to +17.7%
Long-term
+14.3% to +25.6%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 13

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score68.5/100
Target Upside+168.1%
Coverage42 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score57.4/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 โ€” Declining
12M Momentum-0.7%
6M Momentum-0.5%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-17.8%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.75)
Relative Strength vs Sector-73.9%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality-0.260
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
15%
Moderate โ€” watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P73
Revenue growth vs Technology peers
Sector PE Rank
P65
Valuation vs Technology peers
Sector FCF Rank
P86
Free cash flow vs Technology peers
Growth Deviation
+0.2ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 48 relative to sector peers48/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 91th percentileP91
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +2.4pt (features align with model priorities)โ€”
Blend: 91% fund (48.5) + 9% ML (91.3) + SHAP(+2.4) = 54.8โ€”
Factor quality: +2.1pt (multi-factor composite)โ€”
Market cap adjustment: +2.0 points ($22.3B market cap)+2.0 pts
Conviction penalty: -3.4pt (conviction=15)โ€”
Divergence penalty: -5.0pt (ML 43pt higher)โ€”
Risk Factors
Risk assessment: high. Annualized volatility 12.4%. Max drawdown 63% (-12.0 pts). Price momentum -70% (-10.0 pts)High
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -5 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (-28.4%) โ€” earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Technology โ€” Rank #257 of 289 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
TEAM27.615.319.7%-4.9%$22.3B
MPWR84.891.721.2%81.0%$57.1B
ZM84.218.03.1%21.7%$27.7B
NVDA80.645.2114.2%55.8%$4.5T
CRUS79.719.16.0%17.5%$7.4B
ASML77.848.115.6%29.4%$546.0B
IDCC77.431.8-4.0%48.8%$9.7B
CSCO77.127.65.3%18.0%$303.6B
RMBS75.548.320.7%32.3%$11.0B
DBX75.313.91.9%17.7%$6.4B
FSLR75.017.326.7%30.7%$24.2B
SIMO74.79.210.2%13.8%$4.5B
ADI74.374.116.9%20.6%$165.1B
AAPL72.533.16.4%27.0%$3.9T
OLED72.527.012.4%34.3%$5.9B
AMAT72.336.44.4%24.7%$281.7B
Sector Average47.487.814.8%-110.0%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy42 analysts
Buy: 31Hold: 11
Price Target
$187consensus
Low $105Median $170High $290
+156.0% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Atlassian Corporation, through its subsidiaries, designs, develops, licenses, and maintains various software products worldwide. Its product portfolio includes Jira Software and Jira Work Management, a project management system that connects technical and business teams so they can better plan, organize, track and manage their work and projects; Confluence, a connected workspace that organizes knowledge across all teams to move work forward; and Trello, a collaboration and organization product that captures and adds structure to fluid and fast-forming work for teams. The company also offers Jira Service Management, an intuitive and flexible service desk product for creating and managing service experiences for various service team providers, such as IT, legal, and HR teams; and Jira Align, an Atlassian's enterprise agility solution designed to help businesses to adapt and respond dynamic business conditions with a focus on value-creation. In addition, it provides Bitbucket, an enterprise-ready Git solution that enables professional dev teams to manage, collaborate, and deploy quality code; Atlassian Access, an enterprise-wide product for enhanced security and centralized administration that works across every Atlassian cloud product; and Jira Product, a prioritization and road mapping tool. Further, the company's portfolio includes Atlas, a teamwork directory; Bamboo, a continuous delivery pipeline; Crowd, a single sign-on; Crucible, a collaborative code review; Fisheye, a search, track, and visualize code change software; and Compass, a developer experience platform. Additionally, it offers Opsgenie, an on-call and alert management software; Sourcetree, a free git client for windows and mac; Statuspage that communicates real-time status to users; Beacon, an intelligent threat detection software; and Atlassian Access that enhance data security and governance for Atlassian Cloud products. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia.

CEO
Michael Cannon-Brookes
Employees
12,157
Beta
0.88
Industry
Software - Application
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
16.1
Oversold
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-75.3%
High: $295.91
From 52W Low
+7.9%
Low: $67.85
Moving Averages
10-Day
$79.30
Below
20-Day
$93.40
Below
50-Day
$126.70
Below
200-Day
$165.70
Below
60-Day Support
$67.85
60-Day Resistance
$166.48
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 โ€” DecliningScore: 0/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-55.8%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-15.7%
Falling
Volume Ratio
1.58x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%
Recent Gap Down

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2025Q3 2025
Revenue$1.6B$1.4B$1.4B$1.4B
Gross Profit$1.3B$1.2B$1.1B$1.1B
Operating Income$-49M$-96M$-28M$-12M
Net Income$-43M$-52M$-24M$-71M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.16$-0.20$-0.09$-0.27
Gross Margin85.0%82.0%83.1%83.8%
Operating Margin-3.1%-6.7%-2.1%-0.9%
Net Margin-2.7%-3.6%-1.7%-5.2%

Why This Stock

TechnologyP/E ratio of 15.3Revenue growth 19.7%

Tradability FilterGrade A โ€” 94/100Score impact: -7.1pt

Volume
100
4.1M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$280M/day
Float
80
0K shares
Mkt Cap
84
$22.3B
Range
100
333% spread
Composite Liquidity Score94/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$198.80$483.1383.4%Wide
2022$113.86$380.63107.9%Wide
2023$116.40$248.0072.2%Wide
2024$135.29$287.9772.1%Wide
2025$139.70$326.0080%Wide
3-Year Range
94.8%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
333.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.