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48

MMSI

🏥 Healthcare

Merit Medical Systems, Inc.

Conservative #613Aggressive #844Low RiskModerate 64ML↑ 18pt
$79.23-3.88%
Day High$84.04
Day Low$78.31
Volume1.2M
Mkt Cap$4.7B
52W Low $7852W High $107
Market Cap
$4.9B
P/E Ratio
41.1
Sector avg: 252.3
Rev Growth
7.9%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
27.5%
Profit Margin
8.0%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.54

Why This Score

MMSI scores 48.2 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Low volatility (5.7% annualized) — well-suited for risk-averse portfolios.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Elevated valuation at 41.1x earnings — requires sustained growth to justify the premium.

Minor adjustments (-1.7 points) applied. MMSI's rank of #613 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score48.2
Fundamental Score51.1
ML Score25.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
78.2
6 Month
87.4
Primary
1 Year
92.0

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
50
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
69
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
80
Grade A
Base
45.9
SHAP
+2.5
Factors
+1.4
Divergence
-1.7
Final
48.2
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)52.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)52.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)80.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+3.1% to +7.9%
Medium-term
+5.3% to +12.6%
Long-term
+8.1% to +18.1%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 25

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score69.2/100
Target Upside+28.7%
Coverage13 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score49.7/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 — Declining
12M Momentum-0.2%
6M Momentum-0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-10.2%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.49)
Relative Strength vs Sector-44.4%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (3.5)
Momentum Quality-0.153
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
5%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P53
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P13
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P80
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 63 relative to sector peers63/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 81th percentileP81
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +3.0pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (63.2) + 9% ML (81.3) + SHAP(+3.0) = 67.8—
Factor quality: +1.7pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 5.7%. Stability bonus of +10.6 points. Max drawdown 23% (-6.1 pts). Price momentum -20% (-3.0 pts)Low
Market cap adjustment: +0.5 points ($4.9B market cap)+0.5 pts
Divergence penalty: -1.1pt (ML 18pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -5 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (-126.0%) — earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare — Rank #91 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
MMSI48.241.17.9%8.0%$4.9B
INCY89.615.821.2%25.0%$20.1B
GMAB85.513.122.8%36.4%$18.5B
CPRX82.213.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
VRTX78.032.18.9%32.9%$126.0B
ASND75.716.698.0%-31.7%$13.3B
NBIX74.726.521.4%16.7%$12.5B
ALKS74.616.5-6.4%23.9%$5.5B
AMGN73.826.010.0%21.0%$199.0B
ARGX73.635.178.6%38.0%$50.9B
HOLX73.331.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
REGN72.719.41.0%31.4%$84.9B
ISRG72.361.720.5%28.4%$172.5B
EXEL71.915.17.0%33.7%$11.7B
KRYS71.041.4473.0%30.7%$8.0B
HALO70.216.822.4%43.7%$9.3B
Sector Average37.1252.3161.5%-3292.7%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy13 analysts
Buy: 11Hold: 1Sell: 1
Price Target
$105consensus
Low $99Median $106High $108
+32.8% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Merit Medical Systems, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and markets single-use medical products for interventional, diagnostic, and therapeutic procedures, primarily in cardiology, radiology, oncology, critical care, and endoscopy. The company operates in two segments, Cardiovascular and Endoscopy. It provides peripheral intervention products for the diagnosis and treatment of diseases in peripheral vessels and organs; and cardiac intervention products, such as access, angiography, electrophysiology and cardiac rhythm management, fluid management, hemodynamic monitoring, hemostasis, and intervention to treat various heart conditions. The company also offers custom procedural solutions that include critical care products, disinfection protection systems, syringes, manifold kits, and trays and packs; coated tubes and wires; and sensor components for microelectromechanical systems. In addition, it provides pulmonary products that consist of laser-cut tracheobronchial stents, over-the-wire and direct visualization delivery systems, and dilation balloons to endoscopically dilate strictures; gastroenterology products; and kits and accessories for endoscopy and bronchoscopy procedures. The company sells its products to hospitals and alternate site-based physicians, technicians, and nurses through direct sales force, distributors, original equipment manufacturer partners, or custom procedure tray manufacturers in the United States and internationally. Merit Medical Systems, Inc. was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in South Jordan, Utah.

CEO
Martha Goldberg Aronson
Employees
7,400
Beta
0.61
Industry
Medical - Instruments & Supplies
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
49.6
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-26.1%
High: $107.27
From 52W Low
+2.1%
Low: $77.62
Moving Averages
10-Day
$81.40
Below
20-Day
$81.10
Below
50-Day
$84.10
Below
200-Day
$87.10
Below
60-Day Support
$77.62
60-Day Resistance
$94.75
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 — DecliningScore: 4/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-9%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-4.85%
Falling
Volume Ratio
1.05x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
32
Confidence: 90%
Key Reversal Detected (2026-02-25)

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$394M$384M$382M$355M
Gross Profit$195M$186M$184M$172M
Operating Income$54M$43M$47M$41M
Net Income$38M$28M$33M$30M
EPS (Diluted)$0.63$0.46$0.54$0.49
Gross Margin49.6%48.5%48.2%48.4%
Operating Margin13.8%11.1%12.3%11.5%
Net Margin9.6%7.2%8.5%8.5%

Why This Stock

Healthcare

Tradability FilterGrade A — 80/100Score impact: +2.8pt

Volume
86
660K avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$54M/day
Float
60
0K shares
Mkt Cap
67
$4.9B
Range
73
38% spread
Composite Liquidity Score80/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 5/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$52.43$73.8533.9%Moderate
2022$50.46$76.1440.6%Wide
2023$62.58$85.6231.1%Moderate
2024$70.70$108.0841.8%Wide
2025$78.12$111.4535.2%Wide
3-Year Range
56.2%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
38.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.