Back to Dashboard
36

MLKN

🛍️ Consumer Cyclical

MillerKnoll, Inc.

Conservative #965Aggressive #1112Moderate RiskML↑ 25pt
$20.83-0.05%
Day High$21.18
Day Low$20.73
Volume0.3M
Mkt Cap$1.4B
52W Low $1452W High $23
Market Cap
$1.5B
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
1.1%
Sector avg: 6.3%
Earnings Growth
-144.8%
Profit Margin
-0.7%
Sector avg: -6.5%
Debt/Equity
1.71

Why This Score

MLKN scores 35.8 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Above-average volatility (11.3%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 1.71) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Minor adjustments (-2.0 points) applied. MLKN's rank of #965 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score35.8
Fundamental Score35.1
ML Score34.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
62.2
6 Month
69.5
Primary
1 Year
73.2

Quality Assessment

F
Quality Grade
Low quality — significant fundamental weaknesses
1 quality flag detected — see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (404.7%) — earnings quality concern

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
20
Topping
Sentiment (2.5%)
43
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
54
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
78
Grade B
Base
32.9
SHAP
+1.9
Factors
+1.0
Final
35.8
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

44AVG
Value50
Quality19
Growth21
Stability60
Investment71

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)34.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)68.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)62.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+0.9% to +5.4%
Medium-term
+2.2% to +9.2%
Long-term
+3.5% to +12.9%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 34

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score54.2/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage6 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score42.5/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage3 — Topping
12M Momentum+0.1%
6M Momentum+0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+0.2%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.97)
Relative Strength vs Sector+4.4%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.5)
Momentum Quality+0.041
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
12%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P35
Revenue growth vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Sector PE Rank
P43
Valuation vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Sector FCF Rank
P45
Free cash flow vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Growth Deviation
-0.2σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 35 relative to sector peers35/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 34th percentileP34
Blended score: 80% fundamental (35) + 20% ML (34) = 34.934.9
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 25% → 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade F: quality flags triggered — see details below. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade F
SHAP feature alignment: +1.9pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Risk Factors
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (404.7%) — earnings quality concernFlag
Liquidity penalty: -2.0pt (grade B)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Consumer Cyclical — Rank #87 of 114 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
MLKN35.8N/A1.1%-0.7%$1.5B
MAR76.937.24.3%9.9%$93.0B
ULTA75.526.20.8%10.6%$31.0B
ABNB75.530.110.3%20.5%$81.8B
ORLY73.132.55.7%14.3%$77.0B
HAS73.016.7-17.3%9.3%$14.1B
GTX71.611.83.1%8.6%$4.0B
ROST71.530.73.7%9.9%$66.4B
DPZ71.121.95.1%12.4%$13.7B
CART69.719.911.0%13.5%$9.9B
EBAY69.618.31.7%19.3%$39.7B
GNTX68.314.30.6%17.5%$5.2B
MCRI66.217.24.4%18.6%$1.8B
CASY65.541.07.3%3.4%$25.2B
AMZN65.527.712.4%10.8%$2.2T
TXRH65.227.616.0%8.1%$12.2B
Sector Average47.436.96.3%-6.5%—

Company Overviewvia FMP

MillerKnoll, Inc. researches, designs, manufactures, and distributes interior furnishings worldwide. The company operates in four segments: Americas Contract, International Contract, Global Retail, and Knoll. It offers office furniture products under the Aeron, Mirra, Sayl, Embody, Layout Studio, Imagine Desking System, Ratio, Cosm, Tone, and Generation by Knoll names; and other seating and storage products and ergonomic accessories under the About A Chair, Palissade, Eero Saarinen designs, Barcelona, and the Flo monitor arm names. The company also offers office seating, office furniture systems, other freestanding furniture elements, textiles, leather, felt, home furnishings and related services, casegoods, storage products, as well as residential, education, and healthcare furniture solutions. As of May 28, 2022, the company operated 70 retail studios including 35 operates under the DWR brand, 7 under the HAY brand, 22 Herman Miller stores, 2 Muuto stores, 3 Knoll stores, and a multi-brand Chicago store. Its products are used in institutional, health/science, and residential and other environments; transportation terminals; and industrial and educational settings. The company markets its products through its sales staff, and independent dealers and retailers, as well as e-commerce websites. The company was formerly known as Herman Miller, Inc. and changed its name to MillerKnoll, Inc. in November 2021. MillerKnoll, Inc. was incorporated in 1905 and is headquartered in Zeeland, Michigan.

CEO
Andrea R. Owen
Employees
10,200
Beta
1.31
Industry
Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
40.4
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-10.1%
High: $23.18
From 52W Low
+51.3%
Low: $13.77
Moving Averages
10-Day
$21.60
Below
20-Day
$21.50
Below
50-Day
$19.90
Above
200-Day
$18.50
Above
60-Day Support
$15.5
60-Day Resistance
$23.18
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 3 — ToppingScore: 30/100

Stock is losing momentum near highs. The 200-day SMA is flattening or beginning to turn. Historically, this stage precedes distribution.

Exercise caution; tighten risk management
Price vs 200 SMA
+12.6%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+0.83%
Flattening
Volume Ratio
0.75x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
47
Confidence: 70%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2025Q3 2025
Revenue$955M$956M$962M$876M
Gross Profit$372M$368M$377M$332M
Operating Income$50M$54M$55M$-82M
Net Income$24M$20M$-57M$-13M
EPS (Diluted)$0.35$0.29$-0.84$-0.19
Gross Margin39.0%38.5%39.2%37.9%
Operating Margin5.2%5.6%5.7%-9.4%
Net Margin2.5%2.1%-5.9%-1.4%

Why This Stock

Consumer CyclicalValuation below sector median

Tradability FilterGrade B — 78/100Score impact: -21.6pt

Volume
87
669K avg/day
Dollar Vol
69
$15M/day
Float
87
68M shares
Mkt Cap
50
$1.5B
Range
94
68% spread
Composite Liquidity Score78/100
FDCBA
Free Float
98.5%
Outstanding Shares
69M
Bid-Ask Spread
68.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.