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53

GIII

🛍️ Consumer Cyclical

G-III Apparel Group, Ltd.

Conservative #555Aggressive #802Low Risk
$31.77+1.86%
Day High$31.83
Day Low$31.09
Volume0.3M
Mkt Cap$1.3B
52W Low $2052W High $35
Market Cap
$1.3B
P/E Ratio
9.1
Sector avg: 36.9
Rev Growth
2.7%
Sector avg: 6.3%
Earnings Growth
9.9%
Profit Margin
4.9%
Sector avg: -6.5%
Debt/Equity
0.16

Why This Score

GIII scores 52.8 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Attractively valued at 9.1x earnings, below the market average.
  • Positive but moderate momentum (12%) — steady appreciation without overheating.
  • High conviction (100/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.

Moderate penalties (-3.3 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score52.8
Fundamental Score53.3
ML Score47.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
75.2
6 Month
84.1
Primary
1 Year
88.5

Quality Assessment

D
Quality Grade
Below average quality — weak profitability or high leverage

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
43
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
69
Grade B
Base
48.8
SHAP
+1.6
Factors
+0.8
Conviction
+1.6
Final
52.8
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

67AVG
Value89
Quality38
Growth50
Stability77
Investment82

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)57.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)72.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)61.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+11.1% to +17.2%
Medium-term
+16.4% to +25.6%
Long-term
+24.4% to +37.0%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 47

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score43.1/100
News Volume0 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.1%
6M Momentum+0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-0.3%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.98)
Relative Strength vs Sector+10.6%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (1.2)
Momentum Quality+0.090
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
53%
High risk — cheap + stagnating
Sector RevGr Rank
P42
Revenue growth vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Sector PE Rank
P96
Valuation vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Sector FCF Rank
P95
Free cash flow vs Consumer Cyclical peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged
Value trap warning: This stock scores in the top quartile for value trap risk. The combination of below-sector-median revenue growth, low PE, and high free cash flow yield suggests the market is pricing in stagnation. The ML model's sector-relative features (trained on 30 years of data) reduce this stock's score accordingly.

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 53 relative to sector peers53/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 47th percentileP47
Blended score: 80% fundamental (53) + 20% ML (47) = 52.052.0
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 23% → 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade D
SHAP feature alignment: +1.6pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: +1.6pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Risk Factors
Value trap penalty: -1.3ptValue Trap
Liquidity penalty: -2.0pt (grade B)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Consumer Cyclical — Rank #49 of 114 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
GIII52.89.12.7%4.9%$1.3B
MAR76.937.24.3%9.9%$93.0B
ULTA75.526.20.8%10.6%$31.0B
ABNB75.530.110.3%20.5%$81.8B
ORLY73.132.55.7%14.3%$77.0B
HAS73.016.7-17.3%9.3%$14.1B
GTX71.611.83.1%8.6%$4.0B
ROST71.530.73.7%9.9%$66.4B
DPZ71.121.95.1%12.4%$13.7B
CART69.719.911.0%13.5%$9.9B
EBAY69.618.31.7%19.3%$39.7B
GNTX68.314.30.6%17.5%$5.2B
MCRI66.217.24.4%18.6%$1.8B
CASY65.541.07.3%3.4%$25.2B
AMZN65.527.712.4%10.8%$2.2T
TXRH65.227.616.0%8.1%$12.2B
Sector Average47.436.96.3%-6.5%

Company Overviewvia FMP

G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. designs, sources, and markets women's and men's apparel in the United States and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Wholesale Operations and Retail Operations. Its products include outerwear, dresses, sportswear, swimwear, women's suits, and women's performance wear; and women's handbags, footwear, small leather goods, cold weather accessories, and luggage. The company markets apparel and other products under the proprietary brand names, including DKNY, Donna Karan, Vilebrequin, Eliza J, Jessica Howard, Andrew Marc, Marc New York, Sonia Rykiel, Black Rivet, G-III Sports by Carl Banks, and G-III for Her; and licensed brands, such as Calvin Klein, Tommy Hilfiger, Karl Lagerfeld Paris, Levi's, Guess?, Kenneth Cole, Cole Haan, Vince Camuto, and Dockers. It has licenses with the National Football League, Major League Baseball, National Basketball Association, Major League Baseball, and National Hockey League, as well as approximately 150 U.S. colleges and universities. The company offers its products to department, specialty, and mass merchant retail stores. As of January 31, 2022, it operated 96 Vilebrequin retail stores; 60 DKNY and Karl Lagerfeld Paris stores; and 26 DKNY stores. The company also sells its products online. G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. was founded in 1956 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

CEO
Morris Goldfarb
Employees
3,500
Beta
1.31
Industry
Apparel - Manufacturers
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
64.0
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-8.8%
High: $34.83
From 52W Low
+56.3%
Low: $20.33
Moving Averages
10-Day
$31.10
Above
20-Day
$30.50
Above
50-Day
$30.20
Above
200-Day
$27.20
Above
60-Day Support
$27.89
60-Day Resistance
$34.83
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 73/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+16.8%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+4.55%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.05x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
92
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2025
Revenue$989M$613M$584M$840M
Gross Profit$382M$250M$247M$332M
Operating Income$114M$16M$8M$72M
Net Income$81M$11M$8M$49M
EPS (Diluted)$1.84$0.25$0.17$1.09
Gross Margin38.6%40.8%42.2%39.5%
Operating Margin11.5%2.7%1.5%8.5%
Net Margin8.2%1.8%1.3%5.8%

Why This Stock

Consumer CyclicalP/E ratio of 9.1Valuation below sector median (P/E 9.1)

Tradability FilterGrade B — 69/100Score impact: -10.3pt

Volume
75
453K avg/day
Dollar Vol
68
$14M/day
Float
66
36M shares
Mkt Cap
46
$1.3B
Range
96
71% spread
Composite Liquidity Score69/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$24.98$35.8035.6%Wide
2022$11.60$31.7092.8%Wide
2023$13.59$35.6889.7%Wide
2024$20.66$36.1854.6%Wide
2025$20.33$34.8352.6%Wide
3-Year Range
90.8%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
84.9%
Outstanding Shares
42M
Bid-Ask Spread
71.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.