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ITRN

💻 Technology

Ituran Location and Control Ltd.

Conservative #154Aggressive #449Low RiskHigh 100
$47.49-1.06%
Day High$49.00
Day Low$47.18
Volume0.1M
Mkt Cap$945M
52W Low $3052W High $50
Market Cap
$970M
P/E Ratio
17.2
Sector avg: 87.8
Rev Growth
5.1%
Sector avg: 14.8%
Earnings Growth
11.5%
Profit Margin
16.2%
Sector avg: -110.0%
Debt/Equity
0.02

Why This Score

ITRN scores 66.7 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 28.5% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.02) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • Positive but moderate momentum (19%) — steady appreciation without overheating.
  • High conviction (100/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 5-point penalty for execution risk.

Moderate penalties (-5.4 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score66.7
Fundamental Score71.5
ML Score54.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
71.4
6 Month
79.8
Primary
1 Year
84.0

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
49
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
56
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
42
Grade Clow volume, low float
Base
63.1
SHAP
+1.9
Factors
+0.6
Conviction
+1.6
Divergence
-0.4
Final
66.7
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)72.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)84.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)64.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+1.3% to +5.8%
Medium-term
+2.9% to +9.8%
Long-term
+4.4% to +13.8%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 54

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score56.3/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage4 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score48.5/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.2%
6M Momentum+0.4%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-24.9%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.44)
Relative Strength vs Sector+15.9%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (2.6)
Momentum Quality+0.166
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
28%
Moderate — watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P32
Revenue growth vs Technology peers
Sector PE Rank
P61
Valuation vs Technology peers
Sector FCF Rank
P67
Free cash flow vs Technology peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged
Value trap warning: This stock scores in the top quartile for value trap risk. The combination of below-sector-median revenue growth, low PE, and high free cash flow yield suggests the market is pricing in stagnation. The ML model's sector-relative features (trained on 30 years of data) reduce this stock's score accordingly.

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 88 relative to sector peers88/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 85th percentileP85
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +4.4pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (87.9) + 9% ML (84.7) + SHAP(+4.4) = 92.0
Factor quality: +1.3pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 7.5%. Max drawdown 15% (-2.7 pts)Low
Market cap adjustment: -15.0 points ($1.0B market cap)-15.0 pts
Conviction bonus: +3.6pt (conviction=100)
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -5 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (-49.4%) — earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Technology — Rank #37 of 289 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
ITRN66.717.25.1%16.2%$970M
MPWR84.891.721.2%81.0%$57.1B
ZM84.218.03.1%21.7%$27.7B
NVDA80.645.2114.2%55.8%$4.5T
CRUS79.719.16.0%17.5%$7.4B
ASML77.848.115.6%29.4%$546.0B
IDCC77.431.8-4.0%48.8%$9.7B
CSCO77.127.65.3%18.0%$303.6B
RMBS75.548.320.7%32.3%$11.0B
DBX75.313.91.9%17.7%$6.4B
FSLR75.017.326.7%30.7%$24.2B
SIMO74.79.210.2%13.8%$4.5B
ADI74.374.116.9%20.6%$165.1B
AAPL72.533.16.4%27.0%$3.9T
OLED72.527.012.4%34.3%$5.9B
AMAT72.336.44.4%24.7%$281.7B
Sector Average47.487.814.8%-110.0%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Hold4 analysts
Buy: 1Hold: 3

Company Overviewvia FMP

Ituran Location and Control Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides location-based telematics services and machine-to-machine telematics products. The company's Telematics services segment provides stolen vehicle recovery and tracking services, which locate, track, and recover stolen vehicles for its subscribers; fleet management services that enable corporate and individual customers to track and manage their vehicles in real time; and locator services that allow customers to protect valuable merchandise and equipment. It also offers on-demand navigation guidance, information, and assistance, including the provision of traffic reports and directions, as well as information on the location of gas stations, car repair shops, post offices, hospitals, and other facilities; and Connected Car, a service platform that includes a back-office application, a telematics device installed in the vehicle, mobile apps for IOS and Android users, and interface using the car infotainment screen, as well as usage based insurance and auto financing. This segment serves insurance companies and agents, car manufacturers, dealers and importers, cooperative sales channels, and private subscribers. Its Telematics Products segment provides Base Site, a radio receiver that includes a processor and a data computation unit to collect and send data to and from transponders, and to control centers; Control Center, a center consisting of software used to collect data from various base sites, conduct location calculations, and transmit location data to various customers and law enforcement agencies; navigation and tracking devices installed in vehicles; and SMART, a portable transmitter installed in vehicles that sends a signal to the base site enabling the location of vehicles, equipment, or an individual. The company was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Azor, Israel.

CEO
Nir Sheratzky
Employees
2,892
Beta
0.69
Industry
Communication Equipment
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
63.8
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-4.5%
High: $49.72
From 52W Low
+58%
Low: $30.06
Moving Averages
10-Day
$47.80
Below
20-Day
$46.70
Above
50-Day
$44.90
Above
200-Day
$39.60
Above
60-Day Support
$39.24
60-Day Resistance
$49.72
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 78/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+19.9%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+6.19%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.6x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
64
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$92M$87M$86M$83M
Gross Profit$46M$43M$42M$41M
Operating Income$20M$18M$19M$18M
Net Income$15M$13M$15M$14M
EPS (Diluted)$0.74$0.68$0.73$0.70
Gross Margin50.3%49.5%48.6%49.6%
Operating Margin21.3%21.2%21.6%21.7%
Net Margin15.9%15.5%16.9%16.7%

Why This Stock

TechnologyP/E ratio of 17.2Profit margin 16.2%Valuation below sector median (P/E 17.2)

Tradability FilterGrade C — 42/100Score impact: -4.6pt

Volume
21
114K avg/day
Dollar Vol
51
$5M/day
Float
37
16M shares
Mkt Cap
39
$970M
Range
93
65% spread
Composite Liquidity Score42/100
FDCBA
low volumelow float

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 6/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$20.13$29.8538.9%Wide
2022$19.73$27.5233%Moderate
2023$20.35$31.0141.5%Wide
2024$24.12$31.6427%Moderate
2025$30.06$45.4340.7%Wide
3-Year Range
76.3%
Narrow Years
1 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
80.3%
Outstanding Shares
20M
Bid-Ask Spread
65.0%
Institutional Tradable
Limited

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.