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50

DCBO

💻 Technology

Docebo Inc.

Conservative #578Aggressive #390Moderate RiskModerate 68
Market Cap
$494M
P/E Ratio
21.9
Sector avg: 87.8
Rev Growth
20.0%
Sector avg: 14.8%
Earnings Growth
841.4%
Profit Margin
9.5%
Sector avg: -110.0%
Debt/Equity
0.06

Why This Score

DCBO scores 49.7 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 47.3% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.06) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 15-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.

Net penalties of -16.5 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, DCBO would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score49.7
Fundamental Score57.2
ML Score82.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
79.7
6 Month
89.1
Primary
1 Year
93.8

Quality Assessment

F
Earnings Grade
Weak fundamentals or significant quality concerns

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
50
Basing
Sentiment (2.5%)
50
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
31
Grade Dlow volume, low dollar volume
Base
47.2
SHAP
+2.3
Factors
+1.7
Divergence
-1.5
Final
49.7
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)78.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)35.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)75.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+4.6% to +9.6%
Medium-term
+7.5% to +15.2%
Long-term
+11.7% to +22.2%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 82

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+89.7%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score50.0/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage1 — Basing
12M Momentum-0.4%
6M Momentum-0.4%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-1.7%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.96)
Relative Strength vs Sector-44.5%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (4.7)
Momentum Quality-0.248
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
9%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P73
Revenue growth vs Technology peers
Sector PE Rank
P54
Valuation vs Technology peers
Sector FCF Rank
P61
Free cash flow vs Technology peers
Growth Deviation
+0.2σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 82 relative to sector peers82/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 88th percentileP88
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +2.4pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (82.0) + 9% ML (88.2) + SHAP(+2.4) = 84.9
Factor quality: +1.7pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 8.6%. Max drawdown 39% (-12.0 pts). Price momentum -41% (-7.2 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: -20.0 points ($0.5B market cap)-20.0 pts
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade F: assessed. Score adjusted by -30 pointsGrade F
Quality concern: Earnings growth (841%) massively exceeds revenue growth (20.0%) — earnings spike likely non-recurring; Earnings/revenue growth ratio of 42x — earnings quality suspect; High accrual ratio (-29.4%) — earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Technology — Rank #137 of 289 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
DCBO49.721.920.0%9.5%$494M
MPWR84.891.721.2%81.0%$57.1B
ZM84.218.03.1%21.7%$27.7B
NVDA80.645.2114.2%55.8%$4.5T
CRUS79.719.16.0%17.5%$7.4B
ASML77.848.115.6%29.4%$546.0B
IDCC77.431.8-4.0%48.8%$9.7B
CSCO77.127.65.3%18.0%$303.6B
RMBS75.548.320.7%32.3%$11.0B
DBX75.313.91.9%17.7%$6.4B
FSLR75.017.326.7%30.7%$24.2B
SIMO74.79.210.2%13.8%$4.5B
ADI74.374.116.9%20.6%$165.1B
AAPL72.533.16.4%27.0%$3.9T
OLED72.527.012.4%34.3%$5.9B
AMAT72.336.44.4%24.7%$281.7B
Sector Average47.487.814.8%-110.0%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

No analyst sentiment data available for DCBO.

Why This Stock

TechnologyP/E ratio of 21.9Revenue growth 20.0%Earnings quality grade FValuation below sector median (P/E 21.9)

Tradability FilterGrade D — 31/100Score impact: -19.3pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor — it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
27
132K avg/day
Dollar Vol
15
$2M/day
Float
25
12M shares
Mkt Cap
27
$494M
Range
100
146% spread
Composite Liquidity Score31/100
FDCBA
low volumelow dollar volumelow floatsmall cap

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$37.21$92.7585.5%Wide
2022$23.40$68.0397.6%Wide
2023$29.40$52.8857.1%Wide
2024$33.81$56.4150.1%Wide
2025$20.20$45.8277.6%Wide
3-Year Range
94.5%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
42.9%
Outstanding Shares
29M
Bid-Ask Spread
146.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.