Back to Dashboard
59

INVA

🏥 Healthcare

Innoviva, Inc.

Conservative #385Aggressive #831Low RiskML↑ 15pt
$23.54-2.89%
Day High$25.00
Day Low$23.24
Volume1.3M
Mkt Cap$1.5B
52W Low $1752W High $25
Market Cap
$1.6B
P/E Ratio
12.7
Sector avg: 41.9
Rev Growth
15.5%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
-87.0%
Profit Margin
32.8%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.32

Why This Score

INVA scores 59.1 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 16.6% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • High net margin of 32.8%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
  • Attractively valued at 12.7x earnings, below the market average.
  • Positive but moderate momentum (27%) — steady appreciation without overheating.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.

Minor adjustments (-2.7 points) applied. INVA's rank of #385 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score59.1
Fundamental Score61.7
ML Score42.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
74.3
6 Month
83.0
Primary
1 Year
87.4

Quality Assessment

C
Quality Grade
Average quality — moderate profitability or leverage
1 quality flag detected — see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
Pipeline concentration: $1.5B biotech/pharma — likely single-product revenue with binary risk

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
67
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
58
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
71
Grade B
Base
55.8
SHAP
+2.9
Factors
+1.1
Divergence
-0.7
Final
59.1
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

62AVG
Value82
Quality41
Growth36
Stability84
Investment65

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)49.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)80.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)81.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+4.5% to +9.5%
Medium-term
+7.6% to +15.3%
Long-term
+11.2% to +21.7%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 42

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score58.3/100
Target Upside+40.6%
Coverage9 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score67.3/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.3%
6M Momentum+0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+15.6%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.42)
Relative Strength vs Sector+2.3%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (3.0)
Momentum Quality+0.238
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
33%
High risk — cheap + stagnating
Sector RevGr Rank
P63
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P93
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P96
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged
Value trap warning: This stock scores in the top quartile for value trap risk. The combination of below-sector-median revenue growth, low PE, and high free cash flow yield suggests the market is pricing in stagnation. The ML model's sector-relative features (trained on 30 years of data) reduce this stock's score accordingly.

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 62 relative to sector peers62/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 42th percentileP42
Blended score: 80% fundamental (62) + 20% ML (42) = 57.857.8
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 11% → 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade C
SHAP feature alignment: +2.9pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Divergence penalty: -0.7pt (ML 20pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors
Quality concern: Pipeline concentration: $1.5B biotech/pharma — likely single-product revenue with binary riskFlag
Liquidity penalty: -2.0pt (grade B)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare — Rank #50 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
INVA59.112.715.5%32.8%$1.6B
INCY89.915.821.2%25.0%$19.6B
GMAB86.113.122.8%36.4%$17.9B
CPRX83.713.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
ASND78.316.698.0%-31.7%$13.8B
EXEL78.315.17.0%33.7%$11.9B
VRTX78.232.18.9%32.9%$121.8B
NBIX75.126.521.4%16.7%$13.1B
RPRX75.025.15.1%32.4%$19.3B
HOLX74.831.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
AMGN74.226.010.0%21.0%$204.8B
ARGX73.735.178.6%38.0%$47.4B
REGN73.019.41.0%31.4%$80.2B
ALKS72.916.5-6.4%23.9%$5.0B
ISRG72.761.720.5%28.4%$180.9B
KRYS71.541.4473.0%30.7%$7.9B
Sector Average36.641.9161.5%-3292.7%—

Company Overviewvia FMP

Innoviva, Inc. engages in the development and commercialization of pharmaceuticals in the United States and internationally. Its products include RELVAR/BREO ELLIPTA, a once-daily combination medicine consisting of a LABA, vilanterol (VI), an inhaled corticosteroid (ICS), and fluticasone furoate; ANORO ELLIPTA, a once-daily medicine combining a long-acting muscarinic antagonist (LAMA), umeclidinium bromide (UMEC), with a LABA, and VI; and TRELEGY ELLIPTA, a once-daily combination medicine consisting of an ICS, LAMA, and LABA. Innoviva, Inc. has a strategic partnership with Sarissa Capital Management LP. The company has long-acting beta2 agonist (LABA) collaboration agreement with Glaxo Group Limited to develop and commercialize once-daily products for the treatment of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and asthma. The company was formerly known as Theravance, Inc. and changed its name to Innoviva, Inc. in January 2016. Innoviva, Inc. was incorporated in 1996 and is headquartered in Burlingame, California.

CEO
Pavel Raifeld
Employees
127
Beta
0.45
Industry
Biotechnology
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
70.9
Overbought
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-6.4%
High: $25.15
From 52W Low
+42.5%
Low: $16.52
Moving Averages
10-Day
$23.40
Above
20-Day
$22.30
Above
50-Day
$20.80
Above
200-Day
$19.90
Above
60-Day Support
$19
60-Day Resistance
$25.15
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 74/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+18.3%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+4.5%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.02x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
35
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$115M$108M$100M$89M
Gross Profit$56M$82M$90M$80M
Operating Income$219M$35M$-49M$-41M
Net Income$164M$90M$64M$-47M
EPS (Diluted)$1.94$1.08$0.77$-0.74
Gross Margin49.0%76.1%89.4%90.0%
Operating Margin191.4%32.1%-48.6%-46.7%
Net Margin143.2%83.4%63.5%-52.6%

Why This Stock

HealthcareP/E ratio of 12.7Revenue growth 15.5%Profit margin 32.8%Valuation below sector median (P/E 12.7)

Tradability FilterGrade B — 71/100Score impact: +0.3pt

Volume
93
817K avg/day
Dollar Vol
78
$19M/day
Float
40
0K shares
Mkt Cap
50
$1.6B
Range
83
45% spread
Composite Liquidity Score71/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 4/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$10.92$18.9753.9%Wide
2022$11.57$20.7156.6%Wide
2023$10.64$16.4342.8%Wide
2024$14.33$21.2839%Wide
2025$16.52$22.7631.8%Moderate
3-Year Range
72.6%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
45.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.