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HUT

🏦 Financial Services

Hut 8 Corp.

Conservative #383Aggressive #1Moderate RiskModerate 62F↑ 19pt
$55.30-6.57%
Day High$61.82
Day Low$54.92
Volume6.5M
Mkt Cap$6.0B
52W Low $1052W High $66
Market Cap
$5.8B
P/E Ratio
27.8
Sector avg: 49.4
Rev Growth
674.4%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
616.6%
Profit Margin
50.5%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
0.35

Why This Score

HUT scores 56.8 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 34.7% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • High net margin of 50.5%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
  • ML model assigns a high-conviction signal (100/100), indicating strong pattern recognition across 82 features.
Risk Factors
  • Momentum reversion risk: Extreme momentum (265%) increases mean-reversion probability. 5-point penalty applied.
  • Procyclicality: Late-cycle macro signals reduce confidence in extreme-momentum names. 2-point additional penalty.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (18.2%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -24.1 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, HUT would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score56.8
Fundamental Score71.3
ML Score100.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
35.8
6 Month
40.0
Primary
1 Year
42.1

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns
Speculative Classification
Crypto/BTC mining company — earnings are macro-trade dependent, not fundamental. Better suited as a tactical position sized around BTC conviction.
Conservative score reduced by 15 points.

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4.4%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
78
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
73
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
94
Grade A
Base
55.1
SHAP
+3.1
Factors
+0.7
Divergence
-2.1
Final
56.8
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

69AVG
Value55
Quality95
Growth90
Stability75
Investment30

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)89.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)88.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)88.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-7.3% to -2.6%
Medium-term
-9.9% to -2.9%
Long-term
-12.5% to -3.3%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 100

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score73.2/100
Target Upside+28.9%
Coverage14 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score77.6/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+2.7%
6M Momentum+1.0%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+163.7%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.38)
Relative Strength vs Sector+256.4%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+2.356
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
0%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P100
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P19
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P38
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
+3.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 64 relative to sector peers64/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 46th percentileP46
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +3.1pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (64.4) + 9% ML (45.6) + SHAP(+3.1) = 65.8—
Factor quality: +0.7pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 18.2%. Max drawdown 11% (-1.3 pts)Moderate
Momentum mean-reversion: -6.0pt (265% 12m momentum)—
Market cap adjustment: +0.5 points ($5.8B market cap)+0.5 pts
Divergence penalty: -1.2pt (fund 19pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -23 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (26.8%) — earnings quality concern; HUT has ~85% correlation with Bitcoin. Revenue and earnings are primarily driven by Bitcoin price, not operational improvement. Score reflects Bitcoin momentum, not company-specific alpha.Flag

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services — Rank #112 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
HUT56.827.8674.4%50.5%$5.8B
CME84.927.29.9%57.5%$109.0B
CINF82.310.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
ACT82.08.92.4%54.6%$6.0B
SEIC80.914.010.7%27.3%$9.6B
TROW79.310.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
FHB78.311.83.2%24.2%$3.3B
MCHB77.70.0123.7%23.2%$3.4B
TRMK75.611.934.8%19.3%$2.7B
BCAL74.39.926.2%27.1%$613M
NMIH73.97.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
FFIN73.218.811.7%30.7%$4.8B
TW73.130.018.9%39.6%$24.8B
VCTR73.118.38.8%32.3%$4.9B
VLY72.412.5-2.2%17.1%$7.5B
QQQX72.310.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
Sector Average45.849.413.4%-2.8%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy14 analysts
Buy: 13Hold: 1
Price Target
$70consensus
Low $55Median $70High $85
+26.8% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Hut 8 Corp Hut 8 Corp. is a vertically integrated operator of large-scale energy infrastructure and Bitcoin miners. The Company acquires, designs, builds, manages, and operates data centers that power compute-intensive workloads such as Bitcoin mining, high performance computing, and artificial intelligence.

CEO
Asher Kevin Genoot
Employees
222
Beta
4.65
Industry
Financial - Capital Markets
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
51.3
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-16.3%
High: $66.07
From 52W Low
+450.8%
Low: $10.04
Moving Averages
10-Day
$54.20
Above
20-Day
$55.10
Above
50-Day
$53.50
Above
200-Day
$35.70
Above
60-Day Support
$34.18
60-Day Resistance
$66.07
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 90/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+54.9%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+47.3%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.74x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$88M$84M$41M$22M
Gross Profit$141M$51M$20M$3M
Operating Income$-435M$73M$188M$-148M
Net Income$-280M$51M$137M$-134M
EPS (Diluted)$-2.45$0.43$1.18$-1.30
Gross Margin159.1%61.3%47.3%14.5%
Operating Margin-491.4%87.0%454.9%-676.8%
Net Margin-316.6%60.6%332.5%-613.7%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesRevenue growth 674.4%Profit margin 50.5%

Tradability FilterGrade A — 94/100Score impact: -13.4pt

Volume
100
5.9M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$321M/day
Float
95
88M shares
Mkt Cap
70
$5.8B
Range
100
558% spread
Composite Liquidity Score94/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$15.75$82.85136.1%Wide
2022$3.90$41.70165.8%Wide
2023$4.06$22.75139.4%Wide
2024$6.18$31.95135.2%Wide
2025$10.04$57.29140.4%Wide
3-Year Range
173.5%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
81.5%
Outstanding Shares
108M
Bid-Ask Spread
558.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.