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59

SNEX

🏦 Financial Services

StoneX Group Inc.

Conservative #334Aggressive #49Low RiskLow 33ML↑ 34pt
$128.93+0.64%
Day High$128.93
Day Low$128.28
Volume0.0M
Mkt Cap$6.8B
52W Low $6552W High $130
Market Cap
$6.7B
P/E Ratio
19.0
Sector avg: 49.4
Rev Growth
32.5%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
17.3%
Profit Margin
0.2%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
7.79

Why This Score

SNEX scores 58.5 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 7.79) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Minor adjustments (-2.9 points) applied. SNEX's rank of #334 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score58.5
Fundamental Score50.5
ML Score85.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
77.2
6 Month
86.3
Primary
1 Year
90.8

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality
Quality Flags
Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 7.8x — balance sheet risk

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
68
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
75
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
80
Grade A
Base
57.4
SHAP
+3.0
Factors
+1.0
Divergence
-2.9
Final
58.5
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

56AVG
Value70
Quality55
Growth90
Stability35
Investment30

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)47.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)87.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)73.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+8.7% to +14.6%
Medium-term
+13.4% to +22.5%
Long-term
+20.4% to +32.8%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 85

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score75.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage2 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score67.5/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.6%
6M Momentum+0.2%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+33.7%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.42)
Relative Strength vs Sector+49.5%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+0.518
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
4%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P87
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P30
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P98
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
+0.4σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 56 relative to sector peers56/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 90th percentileP90
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +4.3pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (56.3) + 9% ML (87.4) + SHAP(+4.3) = 63.4—
Factor quality: +1.5pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 8.3%. Max drawdown 11% (-1.3 pts)Low
Market cap adjustment: +0.5 points ($6.7B market cap)+0.5 pts
Conviction penalty: -1.6pt (conviction=33)—
Divergence penalty: -3.6pt (ML 34pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade A: strong earnings quality and financial health. Score adjusted by -10 pointsGrade A
Quality concern: Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 7.8x — balance sheet riskFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services — Rank #100 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
SNEX58.519.032.5%0.2%$6.7B
CME84.927.29.9%57.5%$109.0B
CINF82.310.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
ACT82.08.92.4%54.6%$6.0B
SEIC80.914.010.7%27.3%$9.6B
TROW79.310.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
FHB78.311.83.2%24.2%$3.3B
MCHB77.70.0123.7%23.2%$3.4B
TRMK75.611.934.8%19.3%$2.7B
BCAL74.39.926.2%27.1%$613M
NMIH73.97.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
FFIN73.218.811.7%30.7%$4.8B
TW73.130.018.9%39.6%$24.8B
VCTR73.118.38.8%32.3%$4.9B
VLY72.412.5-2.2%17.1%$7.5B
QQQX72.310.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
Sector Average45.849.413.4%-2.8%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy2 analysts
Buy: 2

Company Overviewvia FMP

StoneX Group Inc. operates as a global financial services network that connects companies, organizations, traders, and investors to market ecosystem worldwide. Its Commercial segment provides risk management and hedging, exchange-traded and OTC products execution and clearing, voice brokerage, market intelligence, physical trading, and commodity financing and logistics services. The company's Institutional segment provides equity trading services to institutional clients; and originates, structures, and places debt instruments in capital markets worldwide. Its services cover foreign securities, including unlisted American Depository Receipts, Global Depository Receipts, and foreign ordinary shares. This segment also operates as an institutional dealer in fixed income securities to serve asset managers, commercial bank trust and investment departments, broker-dealers, and insurance companies; engages in asset management business; and offers clearing and execution services in futures exchanges, brokerage foreign exchange services for the financial institutions and professional traders, and OTC products. The company's Retail segment provides trading services and solutions in the global financial markets, including spot foreign exchange, precious metals trading, and contracts for differences; and wealth management and investment services, as well as offers physical gold and other precious metals in various forms and denominations through coininvest.com and silver-to-go.com. Its Global Payments segment provides foreign exchange and treasury services to banks and commercial businesses, charities, and non-governmental and government organizations; and payments services. The company was formerly known as INTL FCStone Inc. and changed its name to StoneX Group Inc. in July 2020. StoneX Group Inc. was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

CEO
Philip Andrew Smith
Employees
4,709
Beta
0.44
Industry
Financial - Capital Markets
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
63.5
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-1.7%
High: $130.35
From 52W Low
+97.1%
Low: $65
Moving Averages
10-Day
$126.80
Above
20-Day
$121.50
Above
50-Day
$109.50
Above
200-Day
$96.90
Above
60-Day Support
$86.01
60-Day Resistance
$130.35
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 89/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+32.2%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+9.01%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.99x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
57
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ1 2025Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025
Revenue$39.0B$32.7B$34.8B$36.9B
Gross Profit$895M$741M$650M$591M
Operating Income$677M$548M$480M$431M
Net Income$139M$86M$63M$72M
EPS (Diluted)$2.50$1.57$1.22$1.41
Gross Margin2.3%2.3%1.9%1.6%
Operating Margin1.7%1.7%1.4%1.2%
Net Margin0.4%0.3%0.2%0.2%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesP/E ratio of 19.0Revenue growth 32.5%Valuation below sector median (P/E 19.0)

Tradability FilterGrade A — 80/100Score impact: -16.7pt

Volume
67
366K avg/day
Dollar Vol
97
$46M/day
Float
76
46M shares
Mkt Cap
71
$6.7B
Range
100
101% spread
Composite Liquidity Score80/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$23.25$32.1532.1%Moderate
2022$27.00$45.7851.6%Wide
2023$33.08$49.3339.4%Wide
2024$41.12$71.1853.5%Wide
2025$64.42$106.9849.7%Wide
3-Year Range
105.5%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
87.3%
Outstanding Shares
52M
Bid-Ask Spread
101.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.