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62

MKTX

🏦 Financial Services

MarketAxess Holdings Inc.

Conservative #260Aggressive #739Moderate RiskModerate 70ML↑ 15pt
Market Cap
$6.8B
P/E Ratio
27.0
Sector avg: 49.4
Rev Growth
3.6%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
-10.0%
Profit Margin
29.2%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
0.25

Why This Score

MKTX scores 61.9 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 18.8% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • High net margin of 29.2%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.

No material penalties applied. MKTX ranks #260 based on its factor profile and ML signal alignment.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score61.9
Fundamental Score61.6
ML Score49.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
63.5
6 Month
71.0
Primary
1 Year
74.7

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
50
Basing
Sentiment (2.5%)
39
Negative
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
83
Grade A
Base
59.8
SHAP
+1.8
Factors
+1.0
Divergence
-0.7
Final
61.9
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)64.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)54.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)72.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-1.8% to +2.3%
Medium-term
-2.2% to +3.9%
Long-term
-2.7% to +5.5%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 49

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+4.9%
Coverage23 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score38.5/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage1 — Basing
12M Momentum-0.1%
6M Momentum-0.0%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-3.9%
Momentum ConsistencyWeak (0.29)
Relative Strength vs Sector-14.3%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.7)
Momentum Quality-0.039
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
3%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P48
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P19
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P34
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 59 relative to sector peers59/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 74th percentileP74
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +1.8pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (59.1) + 9% ML (74.1) + SHAP(+1.8) = 62.2—
Factor quality: +1.0pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 7.4%. Max drawdown 28% (-8.0 pts). Price momentum -5% (-0.1 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: +0.5 points ($6.8B market cap)+0.5 pts
Divergence penalty: -0.7pt (ML 15pt higher)—
Risk Factors

No risk factors identified.

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services — Rank #82 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
MKTX61.927.03.6%29.2%$6.8B
CME84.927.29.9%57.5%$109.0B
CINF82.310.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
ACT82.08.92.4%54.6%$6.0B
SEIC80.914.010.7%27.3%$9.6B
TROW79.310.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
FHB78.311.83.2%24.2%$3.3B
MCHB77.70.0123.7%23.2%$3.4B
TRMK75.611.934.8%19.3%$2.7B
BCAL74.39.926.2%27.1%$613M
NMIH73.97.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
FFIN73.218.811.7%30.7%$4.8B
TW73.130.018.9%39.6%$24.8B
VCTR73.118.38.8%32.3%$4.9B
VLY72.412.5-2.2%17.1%$7.5B
QQQX72.310.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
Sector Average45.849.413.4%-2.8%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

No analyst sentiment data available for MKTX.

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesProfit margin 29.2%

Tradability FilterGrade A — 83/100Score impact: +12.4pt

Volume
86
639K avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$116M/day
Float
66
36M shares
Mkt Cap
72
$6.8B
Range
85
49% spread
Composite Liquidity Score83/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$341.50$587.0552.9%Wide
2022$217.44$412.7962%Wide
2023$200.01$399.7866.6%Wide
2024$192.42$296.6842.6%Wide
2025$156.17$232.8439.4%Wide
3-Year Range
87.6%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
97.2%
Outstanding Shares
37M
Bid-Ask Spread
49.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.