Heartland Express, Inc.
HTLD scores 40.6 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.
Minor adjustments (-2.0 points) applied. HTLD's rank of #863 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.
These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.
| Stock | Score | P/E | Rev Growth | Margin | Mkt Cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HTLD | 40.6 | N/A | -23.1% | -6.5% | $911M |
| FER | 84.1 | 12.2 | 7.4% | 35.3% | $52.6B |
| NDSN | 77.2 | 35.1 | 3.8% | 17.4% | $16.2B |
| OMAB | 76.4 | 20.1 | 4.3% | 32.7% | $6.1B |
| ODFL | 76.3 | 39.8 | -0.9% | 20.4% | $40.8B |
| FAST | 73.1 | 42.6 | 8.7% | 15.3% | $51.7B |
| CSX | 71.5 | 26.5 | -3.1% | 20.5% | $78.9B |
| WWD | 71.3 | 47.8 | 7.3% | 12.4% | $23.0B |
| LECO | 71.3 | 31.5 | -4.4% | 11.6% | $15.6B |
| PCAR | 71.0 | 28.2 | -4.2% | 12.4% | $65.1B |
| CTAS | 70.8 | 41.9 | 7.7% | 17.5% | $80.3B |
| RYAAY | 69.9 | 13.0 | 3.8% | 11.6% | $36.1B |
| CPRT | 69.5 | 23.0 | 9.7% | 33.4% | $35.6B |
| FELE | 69.3 | 35.5 | -2.1% | 8.9% | $4.3B |
| NSSC | 68.9 | 34.5 | -3.8% | 24.7% | $1.7B |
| AEIS | 68.0 | 81.2 | 21.4% | 8.3% | $12.3B |
| Sector Average | 45.8 | 49.9 | 19.0% | -48.2% | — |
Heartland Express, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a short-to-medium haul truckload carrier in the United States and Canada. It primarily provides nationwide asset-based dry van truckload service for shippers from Washington to Florida and New England to California; and temperature-controlled truckload services. The company offers its services under the Heartland Express and Millis Transfer brand names. It primarily serves retailers and manufacturers in consumer goods, appliances, food products, and automotive industries. The company was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in North Liberty, Iowa.
Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.
| Metric | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $179M | $197M | $210M | $219M |
| Gross Profit | $-4M | $-781,999 | $-1M | $-2M |
| Operating Income | $-16M | $-14M | $-15M | $-17M |
| Net Income | $-19M | $-8M | $-11M | $-14M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $-0.25 | $-0.11 | $-0.14 | $-0.18 |
| Gross Margin | -2.2% | -0.4% | -0.6% | -0.7% |
| Operating Margin | -8.9% | -7.1% | -7.2% | -7.6% |
| Net Margin | -10.8% | -4.2% | -5.2% | -6.3% |
| Year | Low | High | Range | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $15.71 | $20.07 | 24.4% | Narrow |
| 2022 | $12.78 | $17.32 | 30.2% | Moderate |
| 2023 | $11.44 | $18.17 | 45.5% | Wide |
| 2024 | $9.63 | $14.30 | 39% | Wide |
| 2025 | $7.00 | $12.19 | 54.1% | Wide |
Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.
Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.