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69

CTAS

🏭 Industrials

Cintas Corporation

Conservative #95Aggressive #211Low RiskMixed 44ML↑ 28pt
$196.78-0.89%
Day High$199.21
Day Low$196.31
Volume1.1M
Mkt Cap$79.1B
52W Low $18052W High $229
Market Cap
$77.7B
P/E Ratio
41.9
Sector avg: 64.5
Rev Growth
7.7%
Sector avg: 19.0%
Earnings Growth
15.3%
Profit Margin
17.5%
Sector avg: -48.2%
Debt/Equity
0.57

Why This Score

CTAS scores 70.4 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 38.7% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • Low volatility (4.3% annualized) — well-suited for risk-averse portfolios.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Elevated valuation at 41.9x earnings — requires sustained growth to justify the premium.

Minor adjustments (-1.8 points) applied. CTAS's rank of #95 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score70.4
Fundamental Score62.8
ML Score90.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
83.2
6 Month
93.0
Primary
1 Year
97.9

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
43
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
58
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
93
Grade A
Base
68.2
SHAP
+2.5
Factors
+1.5
Divergence
-1.8
Final
70.4
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

69AVG
Value55
Quality85
Growth75
Stability75
Investment55

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)66.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)58.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)75.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+6.7% to +12.1%
Medium-term
+10.0% to +18.1%
Long-term
+15.0% to +26.1%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 90

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score57.5/100
Target Upside+9.1%
Coverage30 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score43.0/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 — Declining
12M Momentum-0.1%
6M Momentum-0.1%
Volatility+0.0%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+1.5%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.80)
Relative Strength vs Sector-17.5%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (1.4)
Momentum Quality-0.047
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
5%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P61
Revenue growth vs Industrials peers
Sector PE Rank
P28
Valuation vs Industrials peers
Sector FCF Rank
P51
Free cash flow vs Industrials peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 64 relative to sector peers64/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 92th percentileP92
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +3.1pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (63.8) + 9% ML (92.0) + SHAP(+3.1) = 69.4—
Factor quality: +1.9pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 4.3%. Stability bonus of +12.0 points. Max drawdown 19% (-4.3 pts). Price momentum -6% (-0.2 pts)Low
Market cap adjustment: +3.5 points ($77.7B market cap)+3.5 pts
Conviction penalty: -0.6pt (conviction=44)—
Divergence penalty: -2.7pt (ML 28pt higher)—
Risk Factors

No risk factors identified.

Sector Peer Comparison(Industrials — Rank #9 of 135 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
CTAS70.441.97.7%17.5%$77.7B
FER83.712.27.4%35.3%$51.9B
NDSN76.335.13.8%17.4%$16.6B
OMAB76.120.14.3%32.7%$6.2B
ODFL75.839.8-0.9%20.4%$40.6B
FAST72.742.68.7%15.3%$53.3B
WWD70.947.87.3%12.4%$22.8B
CSX70.926.5-3.1%20.5%$76.0B
LECO70.931.5-4.4%11.6%$16.2B
PCAR70.428.2-4.2%12.4%$66.7B
RYAAY69.713.03.8%11.6%$34.3B
CPRT69.123.09.7%33.4%$36.3B
FELE68.535.5-2.1%8.9%$4.8B
AEIS67.881.221.4%8.3%$11.9B
IESC67.730.916.9%9.1%$10.3B
GLDD65.614.329.4%9.7%$1.2B
Sector Average45.264.519.0%-48.2%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Hold30 analysts
Buy: 11Hold: 17Sell: 2
Price Target
$218consensus
Low $184Median $218High $245
+10.5% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Cintas Corporation provides corporate identity uniforms and related business services primarily in the United States, Canada, and Latin America. It operates through Uniform Rental and Facility Services, First Aid and Safety Services, and All Other segments. The company rents and services uniforms and other garments, including flame resistant clothing, mats, mops and shop towels, and other ancillary items; and provides restroom cleaning services and supplies, as well as sells uniforms. It also offers first aid and safety services, and fire protection products and services. The company provides its products and services through its distribution network and local delivery routes, or local representatives to small service and manufacturing companies, as well as major corporations. Cintas Corporation was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio.

CEO
Todd Schneider
Employees
46,500
Beta
0.95
Industry
Specialty Business Services
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
57.7
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-14.2%
High: $229.24
From 52W Low
+9.1%
Low: $180.39
Moving Averages
10-Day
$197.30
Below
20-Day
$195.10
Above
50-Day
$192.50
Above
200-Day
$203.30
Below
60-Day Support
$182.69
60-Day Resistance
$202.5
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 — DecliningScore: 25/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-3.2%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-1.76%
Flattening
Volume Ratio
0.85x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2025Q3 2025
Revenue$2.8B$2.7B$2.7B$2.6B
Gross Profit$1.4B$1.4B$1.3B$1.3B
Operating Income$656M$618M$597M$610M
Net Income$495M$491M$448M$463M
EPS (Diluted)$1.21$1.20$1.09$1.13
Gross Margin50.4%50.3%49.7%50.6%
Operating Margin23.4%22.7%22.4%23.4%
Net Margin17.7%18.1%16.8%17.8%

Why This Stock

IndustrialsProfit margin 17.5%Earnings quality grade A

Tradability FilterGrade A — 93/100Score impact: +5.5pt

Volume
100
2.0M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$390M/day
Float
100
342M shares
Mkt Cap
100
$77.7B
Range
28
27% spread
Composite Liquidity Score93/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 12/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$80.35$115.3635.8%Wide
2022$85.97$117.5631%Moderate
2023$105.77$151.9535.8%Wide
2024$143.64$228.1245.4%Wide
2025$180.39$229.2423.9%Narrow
3-Year Range
73.7%
Narrow Years
1 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
85.1%
Outstanding Shares
402M
Bid-Ask Spread
27.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.