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24

ADSE

🏭 Industrials

ADS-TEC Energy PLC

Conservative #1254Aggressive #1385Moderate RiskMixed 44
$11.60-4.29%
Day High$11.60
Day Low$11.60
Volume0.0M
Mkt Cap$697M
52W Low $852W High $15
Market Cap
$667M
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
2.4%
Sector avg: 19.0%
Earnings Growth
-77.8%
Profit Margin
-148.9%
Sector avg: -48.2%
Debt/Equity
N/A

Why This Score

ADSE scores 23.5 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 234.1% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • Minimal leverage (D/E -2.47) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 25-point penalty for execution risk.

Net penalties of -26.6 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, ADSE would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score23.5
Fundamental Score44.8
ML Score63.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
38.8
6 Month
43.3
Primary
1 Year
45.6

Quality Assessment

F
Earnings Grade
Weak fundamentals or significant quality concerns
Quality Flags
Negative ROIC (-32.4%) with high ROE (234.1%) — capital structure distortion (possibly negative equity or one-time gain)

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
29
Negative
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
0
Grade Fvery low volume, very low dollar volume
Base
23.5
SHAP
+0.7
Factors
+0.4
Conviction
-0.6
Divergence
-0.5
Final
23.5
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)59.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)45.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)70.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-6.8% to -2.0%
Medium-term
-9.5% to -2.4%
Long-term
-12.3% to -2.9%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 63

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+3.9%
Coverage3 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score29.0/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum-0.3%
6M Momentum-0.2%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-10.9%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.63)
Relative Strength vs Sector-41.6%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (4.3)
Momentum Quality-0.209
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
4%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P40
Revenue growth vs Industrials peers
Sector PE Rank
P72
Valuation vs Industrials peers
Sector FCF Rank
P9
Free cash flow vs Industrials peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 35 relative to sector peers35/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 48th percentileP48
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +0.7pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (35.0) + 9% ML (45.3) + SHAP(+0.7) = 36.6
Factor quality: +0.4pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 7.0%. Max drawdown 30% (-8.7 pts). Price momentum -30% (-5.0 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: -15.0 points ($0.7B market cap)-15.0 pts
Conviction penalty: -0.6pt (conviction=44)
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade F: assessed. Score adjusted by -29 pointsGrade F
Quality concern: Non-operating loss: operating margin (-74.2%) exceeds net margin (-148.9%) by 75pp — possible write-down; Negative ROIC (-32.4%) with high ROE (234.1%) — capital structure distortion (possibly negative equity or one-time gain); High accrual ratio (37.5%) — earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Industrials — Rank #122 of 135 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
ADSE23.5N/A2.4%-148.9%$667M
FER83.712.27.4%35.3%$51.9B
NDSN76.335.13.8%17.4%$16.6B
OMAB76.120.14.3%32.7%$6.2B
ODFL75.839.8-0.9%20.4%$40.6B
FAST72.742.68.7%15.3%$53.3B
WWD70.947.87.3%12.4%$22.8B
CSX70.926.5-3.1%20.5%$76.0B
LECO70.931.5-4.4%11.6%$16.2B
CTAS70.441.97.7%17.5%$77.7B
PCAR70.428.2-4.2%12.4%$66.7B
RYAAY69.713.03.8%11.6%$34.3B
CPRT69.123.09.7%33.4%$36.3B
FELE68.535.5-2.1%8.9%$4.8B
AEIS67.881.221.4%8.3%$11.9B
IESC67.730.916.9%9.1%$10.3B
Sector Average45.264.519.0%-48.2%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Hold3 analysts
Hold: 3
Price Target
$12consensus
Low $12Median $12High $12
+3.4% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

ADS-TEC Energy PLC, a B2B technology company, develops, manufactures, and services intelligent battery buffered energy systems. The company supplies integrated technology platforms that enable customers to run their electric vehicle (EV) charging and energy business models in decentralized platforms. Its portfolio of ecosystem platforms provides DC-based ultra-fast chargers for EVs on power limited grids, energy storage and management solutions for commercial and industrial applications, and energy storage and management solutions for residential sector coupling applications. The company offers ChargeBox, which contains the battery and power inverters; and ChargeTrailer, a mobile high power charging system in the form of a standard truck trailer, that has a variety of integrated inverters, air-conditioners, an energy management unit, and security firewall, as well as a communication unit through mobile radio and DC-charging technology. It also provides PowerBooster, a battery energy system that boosts capacity for the charging process; Container-Systems, a custom battery system for large-scale applications as 20- or 40-foot container solutions; and rack systems. In addition, the company is developing MyPowerplant platform for residential applications. Its products are used in private homes, public buildings, commercial enterprises, industrial and infrastructure solutions, and self-sufficient energy supply systems. The company operates in Germany, Spain, Ireland, Switzerland, Austria, and other European countries. ADS-TEC Energy PLC was founded in 1980 and is based in Dublin, Ireland.

CEO
Thomas Gerhart Speidel
Employees
302
Beta
0.35
Industry
Electrical Equipment & Parts
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
68.5
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-20.2%
High: $15.18
From 52W Low
+53.6%
Low: $7.89
Moving Averages
10-Day
$11.10
Above
20-Day
$11.10
Above
50-Day
$11.80
Above
200-Day
$11.40
Above
60-Day Support
$10.01
60-Day Resistance
$13.5
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 63/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+6.3%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-4.86%
Falling
Volume Ratio
0.25x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
3
Confidence: 40%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ2 2025Q4 2024Q2 2024Q4 2023
Revenue$15M$31M$79M$69M
Gross Profit$-7M$4M$16M$-2M
Operating Income$-30M$-4M$-5M$-26M
Net Income$-15M$-53M$-45M$-26M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.27$-1.02$-0.89$-0.54
Gross Margin-45.6%12.2%19.8%-3.4%
Operating Margin-205.4%-11.9%-6.3%-37.1%
Net Margin-101.0%-171.7%-57.0%-38.0%

Why This Stock

Industrials

Tradability FilterGrade F — 0/100Score impact: -25.6pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor — it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
0
22K avg/day
Dollar Vol
0
$272K/day
Float
0
32M shares
Mkt Cap
0
$667M
Range
0
92% spread
Composite Liquidity Score0/100
FDCBA
very low volumevery low dollar volume

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 6/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$8.52$10.8824.3%Narrow
2022$2.78$9.81111.7%Wide
2023$1.91$7.99123%Wide
2024$6.25$15.6085.6%Wide
2025$7.89$16.3569.8%Wide
3-Year Range
158.3%
Narrow Years
1 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
53.1%
Outstanding Shares
60M
Bid-Ask Spread
92.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.