Back to Dashboard
71

WWD

🏭 Industrials

Woodward, Inc.

Conservative #88Aggressive #66Low RiskMixed 45ML↑ 28pt
$393.58-0.30%
Day High$399.08
Day Low$389.56
Volume0.5M
Mkt Cap$23.6B
52W Low $14752W High $403
Market Cap
$22.8B
P/E Ratio
47.8
Sector avg: 64.5
Rev Growth
7.3%
Sector avg: 18.9%
Earnings Growth
18.5%
Profit Margin
12.4%
Sector avg: -47.9%
Debt/Equity
0.28

Why This Score

WWD scores 70.9 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 17.2% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
Risk Factors
  • Elevated valuation at 47.8x earnings — requires sustained growth to justify the premium.

Minor adjustments (-0.8 points) applied. WWD's rank of #88 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score70.9
Fundamental Score63.6
ML Score84.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
71.7
6 Month
80.2
Primary
1 Year
84.4

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
63
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
63
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
91
Grade A
Base
67.7
SHAP
+3.1
Factors
+0.9
Divergence
-0.8
Final
70.9
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

69AVG
Value55
Quality70
Growth75
Stability90
Investment55

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)49.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)95.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)81.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+2.0% to +6.6%
Medium-term
+3.9% to +11.0%
Long-term
+5.8% to +15.4%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 84

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score62.5/100
Target Upside+1.1%
Coverage20 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score62.9/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+1.0%
6M Momentum+0.5%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+47.7%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.53)
Relative Strength vs Sector+90.1%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+0.977
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
4%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P57
Revenue growth vs Industrials peers
Sector PE Rank
P20
Valuation vs Industrials peers
Sector FCF Rank
P43
Free cash flow vs Industrials peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 58 relative to sector peers58/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 86th percentileP86
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +4.4pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (57.8) + 9% ML (85.5) + SHAP(+4.4) = 64.7—
Factor quality: +1.3pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 7.3%Low
Momentum mean-reversion: -1.1pt (102% 12m momentum)—
Market cap adjustment: +2.0 points ($22.8B market cap)+2.0 pts
Divergence penalty: -2.6pt (ML 28pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -7 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: Elevated non-operating income: 12pp gap between net and operating marginFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Industrials — Rank #6 of 136 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
WWD70.947.87.3%12.4%$22.8B
FER83.712.27.4%35.3%$51.9B
NDSN76.335.13.8%17.4%$16.6B
OMAB76.120.14.3%32.7%$6.2B
ODFL75.839.8-0.9%20.4%$40.6B
FAST72.742.68.7%15.3%$53.3B
CSX70.926.5-3.1%20.5%$76.0B
LECO70.931.5-4.4%11.6%$16.2B
CTAS70.441.97.7%17.5%$77.7B
PCAR70.428.2-4.2%12.4%$66.7B
RYAAY69.713.03.8%11.6%$34.3B
CPRT69.123.09.7%33.4%$36.3B
FELE68.535.5-2.1%8.9%$4.8B
AEIS67.881.221.4%8.3%$11.9B
IESC67.730.916.9%9.1%$10.3B
GLDD65.614.329.4%9.7%$1.2B
Sector Average44.964.518.9%-47.9%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy20 analysts
Buy: 11Hold: 8Sell: 1
Price Target
$397consensus
Low $300Median $406High $450
+0.7% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Woodward, Inc. designs, manufactures, and services control solutions for the aerospace and industrial markets worldwide. The company operates through two segments: Aerospace and Industrial. The Aerospace segment provides fuel pumps, metering units, actuators, air valves, specialty valves, fuel nozzles, and thrust reverser actuation systems for turbine engines and nacelles, and flight deck controls, actuators, servocontrols, motors, and sensors for aircraft. These products are used on commercial and private aircraft and rotorcraft, as well as on military fixed-wing aircraft and rotorcraft, guided weapons, and other defense systems. It also provides aftermarket maintenance, repair and overhaul, and other services to commercial airlines, repair facilities, military depots, third party repair shops, and other end users. This segment sells its products to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), tier-one suppliers, and various contractors, as well as through aftermarket sales of components, such as provisioning spares or replacements, and spare parts. The Industrial segment offers actuators, valves, pumps, fuel injection systems, solenoids, ignition systems, speed controls, electronics and software, and sensors. These products are used on industrial gas turbines, steam turbines, compressors, and reciprocating engines. This segment sells its aftermarket products, and other related services to OEMs through an independent network of distributors, as well as directly to end users. The company was founded in 1870 and is headquartered in Fort Collins, Colorado.

CEO
Charles Blankenship Jr.
Employees
9,300
Beta
1.00
Industry
Aerospace & Defense
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
68.5
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-2.4%
High: $403.31
From 52W Low
+168.1%
Low: $146.82
Moving Averages
10-Day
$389.50
Above
20-Day
$374.00
Above
50-Day
$339.80
Above
200-Day
$272.20
Above
60-Day Support
$286.36
60-Day Resistance
$403.31
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 90/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+44.6%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+19.98%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.86x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ1 2025Q4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025
Revenue$996M$995M$915M$884M
Gross Profit$292M$277M$249M$240M
Operating Income$159M$151M$120M$124M
Net Income$134M$138M$108M$109M
EPS (Diluted)$2.17$2.23$1.76$1.78
Gross Margin29.3%27.9%27.2%27.2%
Operating Margin16.0%15.1%13.1%14.0%
Net Margin13.4%13.8%11.8%12.3%

Why This Stock

IndustrialsProfit margin 12.4%

Tradability FilterGrade A — 91/100Score impact: -2.8pt

Volume
86
662K avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$260M/day
Float
84
59M shares
Mkt Cap
87
$22.8B
Range
100
175% spread
Composite Liquidity Score91/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 6/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$101.28$130.7525.4%Moderate
2022$79.26$129.1247.9%Wide
2023$88.30$140.7345.8%Wide
2024$131.12$201.6442.4%Wide
2025$146.82$317.5673.5%Wide
3-Year Range
113%
Narrow Years
1 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
99.0%
Outstanding Shares
60M
Bid-Ask Spread
175.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.