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69

CPRT

🏭 Industrials

Copart, Inc.

Conservative #111Aggressive #255Moderate RiskHigh 87
$35.84+1.59%
Day High$36.09
Day Low$35.19
Volume11.9M
Mkt Cap$34.7B
52W Low $3452W High $64
Market Cap
$36.3B
P/E Ratio
23.0
Sector avg: 64.5
Rev Growth
9.7%
Sector avg: 18.9%
Earnings Growth
13.9%
Profit Margin
33.4%
Sector avg: -47.9%
Debt/Equity
0.01

Why This Score

CPRT scores 69.1 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 16.9% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • High net margin of 33.4%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.01) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • ML model assigns a high-conviction signal (91/100), indicating strong pattern recognition across 82 features.
  • High conviction (87/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.

Minor adjustments (-2.2 points) applied. CPRT's rank of #111 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score69.1
Fundamental Score61.4
ML Score91.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
61.6
6 Month
68.8
Primary
1 Year
72.5

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
40
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
99
Grade A
Base
67.3
SHAP
+1.6
Factors
+1.0
Conviction
+1.4
Divergence
-2.2
Final
69.1
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

74AVG
Value70
Quality95
Growth75
Stability90
Investment40

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)73.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)41.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)73.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-1.0% to +3.2%
Medium-term
-0.9% to +5.5%
Long-term
-0.8% to +7.8%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 91

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+34.0%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score40.3/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 — Declining
12M Momentum-0.3%
6M Momentum-0.2%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-8.4%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.73)
Relative Strength vs Sector-43.3%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (4.5)
Momentum Quality-0.194
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
13%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P66
Revenue growth vs Industrials peers
Sector PE Rank
P51
Valuation vs Industrials peers
Sector FCF Rank
P72
Free cash flow vs Industrials peers
Growth Deviation
+0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 83 relative to sector peers83/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 72th percentileP72
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +2.4pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (83.1) + 9% ML (71.8) + SHAP(+2.4) = 84.5
Factor quality: +1.4pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 7.1%. Max drawdown 39% (-12.0 pts). Price momentum -32% (-5.3 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: +2.0 points ($36.3B market cap)+2.0 pts
Conviction bonus: +2.0pt (conviction=87)
Risk Factors

No risk factors identified.

Sector Peer Comparison(Industrials — Rank #12 of 136 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
CPRT69.123.09.7%33.4%$36.3B
FER83.712.27.4%35.3%$51.9B
NDSN76.335.13.8%17.4%$16.6B
OMAB76.120.14.3%32.7%$6.2B
ODFL75.839.8-0.9%20.4%$40.6B
FAST72.742.68.7%15.3%$53.3B
WWD70.947.87.3%12.4%$22.8B
CSX70.926.5-3.1%20.5%$76.0B
LECO70.931.5-4.4%11.6%$16.2B
CTAS70.441.97.7%17.5%$77.7B
PCAR70.428.2-4.2%12.4%$66.7B
RYAAY69.713.03.8%11.6%$34.3B
FELE68.535.5-2.1%8.9%$4.8B
AEIS67.881.221.4%8.3%$11.9B
IESC67.730.916.9%9.1%$10.3B
GLDD65.614.329.4%9.7%$1.2B
Sector Average44.964.518.9%-47.9%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy19 analysts
Buy: 10Hold: 8Sell: 1
Price Target
$48consensus
Low $33Median $48High $62
+33.0% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Copart, Inc. provides online auctions and vehicle remarketing services in the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, Brazil, Canada, the United Arab Emirates, Spain, Finland, Oman, the Republic of Ireland, and Bahrain. It offers a range of services to process and sell vehicles over the internet through its virtual bidding third generation internet auction-style sales technology. The company's services include online seller access, salvage estimation, estimating, end-of-life vehicle processing, transportation, vehicle inspection stations, on-demand reporting, title processing and express, loan payoff, flexible vehicle processing programs, buy it now, sales process, and dealer services. Its services also comprise services to sell vehicles through BluCar, CashForCars.com, CashForCars.ca, CashForCars.de, CashForCars.co.uk, and Cash-for-cars.ie; Copart Recycling service, which allows the public to purchase parts from salvaged and end-of-life vehicles; and copart 360, a proprietary technology that captures clear 360-degree views of interiors and exteriors of cars, trucks, and vans. In addition, it provides IntelliSeller, an automated tool leveraging its vehicle and sales data to assist its sellers in making vital auction decisions; Purple Wave Inc., that offers wholesale construction, agriculture, and fleet remarketing services through no-reserve online auctions; wholesale powersport vehicle remarketing services through live and online auction platforms. The company sells its products to licensed vehicle dismantlers, rebuilders, repair licensees, used vehicle dealers, and exporters, as well as to the public. Copart, Inc. was incorporated in 1982 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas

CEO
Jeffrey Liaw
Employees
13,800
Beta
1.08
Industry
Specialty Business Services
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
24.8
Oversold
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-43.9%
High: $63.85
From 52W Low
+6%
Low: $33.81
Moving Averages
10-Day
$37.00
Below
20-Day
$38.50
Below
50-Day
$39.20
Below
200-Day
$44.90
Below
60-Day Support
$33.81
60-Day Resistance
$41.79
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 — DecliningScore: 0/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-20.2%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-10.73%
Falling
Volume Ratio
1.47x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%
Recent Gap Down

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ2 2026Q1 2025Q4 2025Q3 2025
Revenue$1.1B$1.2B$1.1B$1.2B
Gross Profit$493M$537M$510M$552M
Operating Income$389M$431M$413M$452M
Net Income$351M$404M$396M$407M
EPS (Diluted)$0.36$0.41$0.41$0.42
Gross Margin43.9%46.5%45.3%45.6%
Operating Margin34.7%37.3%36.7%37.3%
Net Margin31.3%35.0%35.2%33.6%

Why This Stock

IndustrialsP/E ratio of 23.0Profit margin 33.4%Earnings quality grade A

Tradability FilterGrade A — 99/100Score impact: -2.1pt

Volume
100
8.7M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$306M/day
Float
100
887M shares
Mkt Cap
92
$36.3B
Range
100
89% spread
Composite Liquidity Score99/100
FDCBA

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
91.6%
Outstanding Shares
968M
Bid-Ask Spread
89.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.