Back to Dashboard
32

LTBR

🏭 Industrials

Lightbridge Corporation

Conservative #1068Aggressive #768High RiskModerate 61F↑ 20pt
$13.78+5.84%
Day High$13.93
Day Low$12.98
Volume0.7M
Mkt Cap$357M
52W Low $652W High $31
Market Cap
$334M
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
0.0%
Sector avg: 19.0%
Earnings Growth
-49.0%
Profit Margin
0.0%
Sector avg: -48.2%
Debt/Equity
N/A

Why This Score

LTBR scores 31.7 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.00) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • Positive but moderate momentum (20%) — steady appreciation without overheating.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (30.2%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-8.1 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score31.7
Fundamental Score29.8
ML Score75.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
11.9
6 Month
13.3
Primary
1 Year
13.9

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
2.7%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
46
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
69
Grade Bsmall cap
Base
36.8
SHAP
+0.2
Factors
-0.8
Divergence
-4.5
Final
31.7
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)42.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)33.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)62.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-26.2% to -14.2%
Medium-term
-34.6% to -18.6%
Long-term
-45.0% to -21.0%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 75

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score46.3/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 — Declining
12M Momentum+0.2%
6M Momentum-0.1%
Volatility+0.3%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+34.0%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (-0.68)
Relative Strength vs Sector+8.5%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.7)
Momentum Quality+0.095
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
7%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P34
Revenue growth vs Industrials peers
Sector PE Rank
P72
Valuation vs Industrials peers
Sector FCF Rank
P15
Free cash flow vs Industrials peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 48 relative to sector peers48/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 28th percentileP28
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +0.2pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (47.7) + 9% ML (25.7) + SHAP(+0.2) = 45.9—
Factor quality: -0.8pt (multi-factor composite)—
Market cap adjustment: -20.0 points ($0.3B market cap)-20.0 pts
Divergence penalty: -1.4pt (fund 20pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Risk assessment: high. Annualized volatility 30.2%. Max drawdown 53% (-12.0 pts)High
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -5 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (26.9%) — earnings quality concernFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Industrials — Rank #108 of 135 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
LTBR31.7N/A0.0%0.0%$334M
FER83.712.27.4%35.3%$51.9B
NDSN76.335.13.8%17.4%$16.6B
OMAB76.120.14.3%32.7%$6.2B
ODFL75.839.8-0.9%20.4%$40.6B
FAST72.742.68.7%15.3%$53.3B
WWD70.947.87.3%12.4%$22.8B
CSX70.926.5-3.1%20.5%$76.0B
LECO70.931.5-4.4%11.6%$16.2B
CTAS70.441.97.7%17.5%$77.7B
PCAR70.428.2-4.2%12.4%$66.7B
RYAAY69.713.03.8%11.6%$34.3B
CPRT69.123.09.7%33.4%$36.3B
FELE68.535.5-2.1%8.9%$4.8B
AEIS67.881.221.4%8.3%$11.9B
IESC67.730.916.9%9.1%$10.3B
Sector Average45.264.519.0%-48.2%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

No analyst sentiment data available for LTBR.

Company Overviewvia FMP

Lightbridge Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design and development of nuclear fuel technology under the Lightbridge Fuel name. It focuses on developing and commercializing metallic nuclear fuels that could enhance resistance of nuclear fuel in existing and new nuclear reactors with a meaningful impact on addressing climate change and air pollution. The company was formerly known as Thorium Power, Ltd. and changed its name to Lightbridge Corporation in September 2009. Lightbridge Corporation is headquartered in Reston, Virginia.

CEO
Seth Grae
Employees
10
Beta
1.97
Industry
Electrical Equipment & Parts
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
46.6
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-56%
High: $31.34
From 52W Low
+125.9%
Low: $6.1
Moving Averages
10-Day
$13.10
Above
20-Day
$14.20
Below
50-Day
$15.00
Below
200-Day
$16.10
Below
60-Day Support
$12.06
60-Day Resistance
$18.91
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 — DecliningScore: 28/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-14.4%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+12.75%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.69x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
15
Confidence: 40%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$0$0$0$0
Gross Profit$0$0$0$0
Operating Income$-5M$-4M$-5M$-4M
Net Income$-4M$-4M$-5M$-4M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.16$-0.16$-0.24$-0.27
Gross MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Operating MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Net MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A

Why This Stock

Industrials

Tradability FilterGrade B — 69/100Score impact: -11.0pt

Volume
100
990K avg/day
Dollar Vol
65
$12M/day
Float
54
24M shares
Mkt Cap
12
$334M
Range
100
414% spread
Composite Liquidity Score69/100
FDCBA
small cap

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$4.15$14.60111.5%Wide
2022$3.62$12.56110.5%Wide
2023$3.06$6.7074.6%Wide
2024$2.21$14.20146.1%Wide
2025$4.81$31.34146.8%Wide
3-Year Range
173.7%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.15x dampening
weinstein declining

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
93.3%
Outstanding Shares
26M
Bid-Ask Spread
414.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.