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19

FIP

🏭 Industrials

FTAI Infrastructure Inc.

Conservative #1321Aggressive #1219Moderate RiskLow 38ML↑ 23pt
$6.43+0.47%
Day High$6.43
Day Low$6.38
Volume0.0M
Mkt Cap$748M
52W Low $352W High $8
Market Cap
$691M
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
3.4%
Sector avg: 19.0%
Earnings Growth
-84.3%
Profit Margin
-30.6%
Sector avg: -48.2%
Debt/Equity
11.38

Why This Score

FIP scores 18.6 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Above-average volatility (19.3%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 11.38) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Net penalties of -10.3 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, FIP would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score18.6
Fundamental Score25.2
ML Score23.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
41.1
6 Month
46.0
Primary
1 Year
48.4

Quality Assessment

D
Earnings Grade
Weak fundamentals or significant quality concerns
Quality Flags
Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 11.4x — balance sheet risk

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4.1%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
73
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
75
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
78
Grade B
Base
24.7
SHAP
-2.8
Factors
-0.2
Conviction
-1.1
Divergence
-2.0
Final
18.6
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)28.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)66.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)87.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-5.2% to -0.7%
Medium-term
-7.4% to -0.8%
Long-term
-9.7% to -0.8%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 23

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score75.0/100
Target Upside+97.1%
Coverage4 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score73.2/100
News Volume0 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.1%
6M Momentum+0.3%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-21.3%
Momentum ConsistencyWeak (0.20)
Relative Strength vs Sector-6.4%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.3)
Momentum Quality+0.036
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
2%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P44
Revenue growth vs Industrials peers
Sector PE Rank
P72
Valuation vs Industrials peers
Sector FCF Rank
P5
Free cash flow vs Industrials peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 27 relative to sector peers27/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 50th percentileP50
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: -2.8pt (features diverge from model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (26.8) + 9% ML (48.9) + SHAP(-2.8) = 26.0—
Factor quality: -0.2pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 19.3%. Max drawdown 31% (-9.3 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: -15.0 points ($0.7B market cap)-15.0 pts
Conviction penalty: -1.2pt (conviction=38)—
Divergence penalty: -2.0pt (ML 23pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by -24 pointsGrade D
Quality concern: Non-operating loss: operating margin (5.0%) exceeds net margin (-30.6%) by 36pp — possible write-down; High accrual ratio (31.1%) — earnings quality concern; Extreme leverage: D/E ratio of 11.4x — balance sheet riskFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Industrials — Rank #129 of 135 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
FIP18.6N/A3.4%-30.6%$691M
FER83.712.27.4%35.3%$51.9B
NDSN76.335.13.8%17.4%$16.6B
OMAB76.120.14.3%32.7%$6.2B
ODFL75.839.8-0.9%20.4%$40.6B
FAST72.742.68.7%15.3%$53.3B
WWD70.947.87.3%12.4%$22.8B
CSX70.926.5-3.1%20.5%$76.0B
LECO70.931.5-4.4%11.6%$16.2B
CTAS70.441.97.7%17.5%$77.7B
PCAR70.428.2-4.2%12.4%$66.7B
RYAAY69.713.03.8%11.6%$34.3B
CPRT69.123.09.7%33.4%$36.3B
FELE68.535.5-2.1%8.9%$4.8B
AEIS67.881.221.4%8.3%$11.9B
IESC67.730.916.9%9.1%$10.3B
Sector Average45.264.519.0%-48.2%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy4 analysts
Buy: 4
Price Target
$12consensus
Low $10Median $12High $13
+81.5% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

FTAI Infrastructure Inc. focuses on acquiring, developing, and operating assets and businesses that represent infrastructure for customers in the transportation and energy industries. It operates a multi-modal crude oil and refined products terminal, and other related assets. The company also has a 1,630-acre deep-water port located along the Delaware River with an underground storage cavern, a multipurpose dock, a rail-to-ship transloading system, and multiple industrial development opportunities; and a 1,660-acre multi-modal port located along the Ohio River with rail, dock, and multiple industrial development opportunities, including a power plant under construction. In addition, it operates five freight railroads and one switching facility. FTAI Infrastructure Inc. was incorporated in 2021 and is based in New York, New York. FTAI Infrastructure Inc. (NasdaqGS : FIP) operates independently of Fortress Transportation and Infrastructure Investors LLC as of August 1, 2022.

CEO
Kenneth J. Nicholson
Employees
670
Beta
1.99
Industry
Conglomerates
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
74.4
Overbought
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-18.8%
High: $7.94
From 52W Low
+108.1%
Low: $3.1
Moving Averages
10-Day
$6.10
Above
20-Day
$6.00
Above
50-Day
$5.50
Above
200-Day
$5.40
Above
60-Day Support
$4.21
60-Day Resistance
$6.45
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 74/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+19.4%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+3.92%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.74x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
31
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$141M$122M$96M$81M
Gross Profit$27M$10M$2M$81M
Operating Income$24M$6M$-4M$-4M
Net Income$-93M$-59M$132M$-114M
EPS (Diluted)$-1.38$-0.69$0.89$-1.24
Gross Margin19.2%8.3%1.6%100.0%
Operating Margin16.9%5.2%-3.7%-5.5%
Net Margin-66.2%-48.1%136.8%-141.5%

Why This Stock

Industrials

Tradability FilterGrade B — 78/100Score impact: -30.5pt

Volume
100
1.2M avg/day
Dollar Vol
54
$7M/day
Float
100
107M shares
Mkt Cap
34
$691M
Range
100
156% spread
Composite Liquidity Score78/100
FDCBA
Free Float
92.4%
Outstanding Shares
116M
Bid-Ask Spread
156.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.