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45

GLXY

🏦 Financial Services

Galaxy Digital

Conservative #710Aggressive #220Moderate RiskHigh 88
$22.83+5.99%
Day High$23.47
Day Low$22.01
Volume4.8M
Mkt Cap$7.6B
52W Low $1752W High $46
Market Cap
$7.0B
P/E Ratio
16.2
Sector avg: 49.4
Rev Growth
44.0%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
-406.1%
Profit Margin
0.4%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
2.77

Why This Score

GLXY scores 44.8 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • ML model assigns a high-conviction signal (99/100), indicating strong pattern recognition across 82 features.
  • High conviction (88/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (20.0%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 2.77) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Moderate penalties (-7.2 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score44.8
Fundamental Score36.1
ML Score99.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
46.0
6 Month
51.4
Primary
1 Year
54.1

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (2060.9%) — earnings quality concern

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
50
Basing
Sentiment (2.5%)
70
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
73
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
96
Grade A
Base
48.7
SHAP
+0.1
Factors
+1.0
Conviction
+2.2
Divergence
-7.2
Final
44.8
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)37.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)52.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)86.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage72%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-6.4% to -1.8%
Medium-term
-9.1% to -2.2%
Long-term
-11.7% to -2.7%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 99

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score72.5/100
Target Upside+120.8%
Coverage10 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score70.3/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage1 — Basing
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+0.0%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (0.00)
Relative Strength vs Sector-8.9%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.0)
Momentum Quality+0.000
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
1%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P92
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P36
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P32
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
+0.6σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 49 relative to sector peers49/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 55th percentileP55
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +0.1pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (48.7) + 9% ML (54.8) + SHAP(+0.1) = 49.3
Factor quality: +1.0pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 20.0%Moderate
Market cap adjustment: +0.5 points ($7.0B market cap)+0.5 pts
Conviction bonus: +2.2pt (conviction=88)
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -8 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (2060.9%) — earnings quality concern; High leverage: D/E ratio of 2.8x — elevated balance sheet riskFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services — Rank #206 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
GLXY44.816.244.0%0.4%$7.0B
CME84.927.29.9%57.5%$109.0B
CINF82.310.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
ACT82.08.92.4%54.6%$6.0B
SEIC80.914.010.7%27.3%$9.6B
TROW79.310.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
FHB78.311.83.2%24.2%$3.3B
MCHB77.70.0123.7%23.2%$3.4B
TRMK75.611.934.8%19.3%$2.7B
BCAL74.39.926.2%27.1%$613M
NMIH73.97.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
FFIN73.218.811.7%30.7%$4.8B
TW73.130.018.9%39.6%$24.8B
VCTR73.118.38.8%32.3%$4.9B
VLY72.412.5-2.2%17.1%$7.5B
QQQX72.310.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
Sector Average45.849.413.4%-2.8%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy10 analysts
Buy: 9Hold: 1
Price Target
$45consensus
Low $24Median $44High $60
+98.1% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Galaxy Digital Inc. engages in the digital asset and blockchain businesses. It operates through three segments: Global Markets, Asset Management, and Digital Infrastructure Solutions. The company provides various financial products and services to individuals and institutions, such as digital asset trading, derivatives, structured products, financing, capital markets, and merger and acquisition services, digital asset spot and derivatives trading, and bespoke lending and structured products. It offers GalaxyOne, a unified technology platform for institutional investors; and financial and strategic advisory services for the digital assets, Web3, and the blockchain technology sector. In addition, the company provides Galaxy Asset Management, a platform that provides access to the digital asset ecosystem; bitcoin mining and validator services; and quantitative, arbitrage, and macro trading strategies. Further, it develops, operates, and invests in technology that powers the digital assets ecosystem, such as bitcoin mining and hosting services, network validator services, and enterprise-grade self-custody technology. The company is headquartered in New York, New York.

CEO
Michael Edward Novogratz
Employees
528
Beta
3.76
Industry
Financial - Capital Markets
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
59.0
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-50.3%
High: $45.92
From 52W Low
+37%
Low: $16.67
Moving Averages
10-Day
$21.30
Above
20-Day
$22.50
Above
50-Day
$25.00
Below
200-Day
N/A
60-Day Support
$16.67
60-Day Resistance
$34.73

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$10.2B$28.4B$8.7B$13.0B
Gross Profit$-89M$37.0B$-45M$12.9B
Operating Income$-224M$817M$308M$-33M
Net Income$-195M$714M$26M$-295M
EPS (Diluted)$-1.08$1.01$0.08$-2.36
Gross Margin-0.9%130.1%-0.5%99.6%
Operating Margin-2.2%2.9%3.6%-0.3%
Net Margin-1.9%2.5%0.3%-2.3%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesP/E ratio of 16.2Revenue growth 44.0%Valuation below sector median (P/E 16.2)

Tradability FilterGrade A — 96/100Score impact: -26.6pt

Volume
100
7.6M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$154M/day
Float
100
109M shares
Mkt Cap
72
$7.0B
Range
100
175% spread
Composite Liquidity Score96/100
FDCBA

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
33.0%
Outstanding Shares
332M
Bid-Ask Spread
175.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.