Encore Capital Group, Inc.
ECPG scores 46.9 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.
Moderate penalties (-8.0 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.
These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.
| Stock | Score | P/E | Rev Growth | Margin | Mkt Cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECPG | 46.9 | N/A | 7.7% | -2.9% | $1.5B |
| CME | 86.4 | 27.2 | 9.9% | 57.5% | $114.0B |
| FHB | 84.9 | 11.8 | 3.2% | 24.2% | $3.1B |
| ACT | 84.5 | 8.9 | 2.4% | 54.6% | $6.1B |
| CINF | 84.2 | 10.7 | 11.4% | 18.9% | $25.4B |
| SEIC | 82.2 | 14.0 | 10.7% | 27.3% | $9.9B |
| TROW | 79.9 | 10.1 | 3.1% | 28.5% | $20.5B |
| QQQX | 79.7 | 10.4 | 48.6% | 257.3% | $1.4B |
| IBOC | 78.2 | 10.6 | 7.5% | 40.1% | $4.2B |
| HWC | 77.8 | 12.2 | -1.5% | 24.1% | $5.6B |
| FFIN | 77.5 | 18.8 | 11.7% | 30.7% | $4.7B |
| TRMK | 77.1 | 11.9 | 34.8% | 19.3% | $2.6B |
| NMIH | 77.1 | 7.7 | 8.4% | 55.1% | $3.0B |
| EWBC | 76.7 | 12.7 | 4.6% | 28.3% | $15.3B |
| WSFS | 76.3 | 12.8 | -3.1% | 21.1% | $3.5B |
| MCHB | 76.1 | N/A | 123.7% | 23.2% | $3.1B |
| Sector Average | 47.5 | 26.8 | 13.4% | -2.8% | โ |
Encore Capital Group, Inc., a specialty finance company, provides debt recovery solutions and other related services for consumers across financial assets worldwide. The company purchases portfolios of defaulted consumer receivables at deep discounts to face value, as well as manages them by working with individuals as they repay their obligations and works toward financial recovery. It is also involved in the provision of early stage collection, business process outsourcing, and contingent collection services, as well as debt servicing and other portfolio management services to credit originator for non-performing loans. The company was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in San Diego, California.
Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.
Stage 2 uptrend โ institutional accumulation phase. SMA50 pullbacks are the highest-probability entry points. Stop below SMA200 preserves capital if trend breaks.
| Metric | Q4 2025 | Q3 2025 | Q2 2025 | Q1 2025 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $474M | $460M | $442M | $393M |
| Gross Profit | $443M | $257M | $324M | $287M |
| Operating Income | $173M | $173M | $151M | $129M |
| Net Income | $77M | $75M | $59M | $47M |
| EPS (Diluted) | $3.37 | $3.17 | $2.49 | $1.93 |
| Gross Margin | 93.5% | 55.7% | 73.4% | 73.0% |
| Operating Margin | 36.6% | 37.6% | 34.1% | 32.9% |
| Net Margin | 16.2% | 16.2% | 13.3% | 11.9% |
| Year | Low | High | Range | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $31.82 | $62.39 | 64.9% | Wide |
| 2022 | $44.06 | $72.73 | 49.1% | Wide |
| 2023 | $34.74 | $58.46 | 50.9% | Wide |
| 2024 | $39.64 | $54.55 | 31.7% | Moderate |
| 2025 | $26.45 | $56.67 | 72.7% | Wide |
Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.