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GEMI

๐Ÿฆ Financial Services

Gemini Space Station, Inc. Class A Common Stock

Conservative #1266Aggressive #268Moderate RiskMLโ†‘ 23pt
$6.03-1.63%
Day High$6.06
Day Low$5.76
Volume0.5M
Mkt Cap$709M
52W Low $652W High $46
Market Cap
$746M
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
44.9%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
50.4%
Profit Margin
-326.9%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
1.60

Why This Score

GEMI scores 20.8 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 295.5% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Above-average volatility (20.0%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 1.60) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Moderate penalties (-9.0 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score20.8
Fundamental Score26.1
ML Score27.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
38.0
6 Month
42.5
Primary
1 Year
44.8

Quality Assessment

D
Quality Grade
Below average quality โ€” weak profitability or high leverage
1 quality flag detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
Negative ROIC (-16.0%) with high ROE (295.5%) โ€” capital structure distortion (possibly negative equity or one-time gain)

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
50
Basing
Sentiment (2.5%)
61
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
71
Grade B
Base
24.3
SHAP
-0.8
Factors
-0.1
Conviction
-2.6
Final
20.8
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

49AVG
Value50
Quality33
Growth100
Stability50
Investment14

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)75.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)52.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)78.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage72%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-7.7% to -2.8%
Medium-term
-10.6% to -3.4%
Long-term
-13.5% to -4.0%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 27

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+166.3%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score61.3/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage1 โ€” Basing
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+0.0%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (0.00)
Relative Strength vs Sector-8.9%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.0)
Momentum Quality+0.000
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
0%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P92
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P26
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P8
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
+0.6ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 26 relative to sector peers26/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 27th percentileP27
Blended score: 80% fundamental (26) + 20% ML (27) = 26.326.3
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.2%Low
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade D
Conviction adj: -2.6pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Risk Factors
Quality concern: Negative ROIC (-16.0%) with high ROE (295.5%) โ€” capital structure distortion (possibly negative equity or one-time gain)Flag
Liquidity penalty: -2.0pt (grade B)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services โ€” Rank #302 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
GEMI20.8N/A44.9%-326.9%$746M
CME86.427.29.9%57.5%$114.0B
FHB84.911.83.2%24.2%$3.1B
ACT84.58.92.4%54.6%$6.1B
CINF84.210.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
SEIC82.214.010.7%27.3%$9.9B
TROW79.910.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
QQQX79.710.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
IBOC78.210.67.5%40.1%$4.2B
HWC77.812.2-1.5%24.1%$5.6B
FFIN77.518.811.7%30.7%$4.7B
TRMK77.111.934.8%19.3%$2.6B
NMIH77.17.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
EWBC76.712.74.6%28.3%$15.3B
WSFS76.312.8-3.1%21.1%$3.5B
MCHB76.1N/A123.7%23.2%$3.1B
Sector Average47.526.813.4%-2.8%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy9 analysts
Buy: 5Hold: 4
Price Target
$15consensus
Low $7Median $10High $41
+153.9% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Gemini Space Station, Inc. develops a crypto platform to buy, sell, and store crypto assets. The company's platform offers crypto assets, including bitcoin and ether; and services, such as derivatives exchange, staking services, an over-the-counter trading desk, institutional-grade custody, stablecoin, a U.S. credit card, and a Web3 studio for NFTs (non-fungible tokens). It serves individual retail users; and institutional investors, including asset managers, hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, and corporations. The company was founded in 2014 and is based in New York, New York.

CEO
Tyler Winklevoss
Employees
700
Beta
1.78
Industry
Financial - Capital Markets
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
32.0
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-86.9%
High: $45.89
From 52W Low
+8.3%
Low: $5.57
Moving Averages
10-Day
$6.30
Below
20-Day
$6.80
Below
50-Day
$9.00
Below
200-Day
N/A
60-Day Support
$5.57
60-Day Resistance
$15.27

Entry & Exit Zones

Avoid
No Entry
โ€”
Insufficient technical data
Exit Target
โ€”
โ€”
Stop Level
โ€”
โ€”

Not enough price history to compute reliable entry and exit zones for this stock.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$51M$34M$34M$34M
Gross Profit$-52M$-1M$-1M$2M
Operating Income$-121M$-57M$-57M$-41M
Net Income$-160M$-141M$-141M$-59M
EPS (Diluted)$-6.67$-0.88$-0.88$-0.36
Gross Margin-103.2%-3.6%-3.6%7.1%
Operating Margin-238.6%-165.4%-165.4%-119.4%
Net Margin-315.1%-411.7%-411.7%-172.7%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesRevenue growth 44.9%

Tradability FilterGrade B โ€” 71/100Score impact: -27.1pt

Volume
100
1.9M avg/day
Dollar Vol
62
$11M/day
Float
54
24M shares
Mkt Cap
34
$746M
Range
100
724% spread
Composite Liquidity Score71/100
FDCBA

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
weinstein basing

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
56.1%
Outstanding Shares
43M
Bid-Ask Spread
724.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.