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DMAC

๐Ÿฅ Healthcare

DiaMedica Therapeutics Inc.

Conservative #1079Aggressive #1167Low RiskFโ†‘ 33pt
$8.23-3.18%
Day High$8.59
Day Low$8.03
Volume0.3M
Mkt Cap$429M
52W Low $352W High $10
Market Cap
$441M
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
0.0%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
-26.1%
Profit Margin
0.0%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.01

Why This Score

DMAC scores 30.2 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.01) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • Positive but moderate momentum (31%) โ€” steady appreciation without overheating.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 5-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (18.3%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -11.4 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, DMAC would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score30.2
Fundamental Score44.8
ML Score14.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
16.4
6 Month
18.3
Primary
1 Year
19.3

Quality Assessment

F
Quality Grade
Low quality โ€” significant fundamental weaknesses
1 quality flag detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
Pipeline concentration: $0.4B biotech/pharma โ€” likely single-product revenue with binary risk

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4.4%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
51
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
43
Grade Clow dollar volume, small cap
Base
33.7
SHAP
+0.9
Factors
-0.4
Conviction
-1.6
Divergence
-2.4
Final
30.2
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

33AVG
Value50
Quality7
Growth20
Stability79
Investment10

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)43.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)86.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)75.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-8.3% to -2.8%
Medium-term
-11.1% to -3.2%
Long-term
-13.9% to -3.5%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 14

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+1.0%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score50.6/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+0.3%
6M Momentum+0.5%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-18.8%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.62)
Relative Strength vs Sector+6.2%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (1.7)
Momentum Quality+0.283
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
4%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P41
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P22
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P32
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 45 relative to sector peers45/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 14th percentileP14
Blended score: 80% fundamental (45) + 20% ML (14) = 38.638.6
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.2%; Drawdown 8% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade F: quality flags triggered โ€” see details below. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade F
SHAP feature alignment: +0.9pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: -1.6pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Divergence penalty: -2.4pt (ML 31pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors
Quality concern: Pipeline concentration: $0.4B biotech/pharma โ€” likely single-product revenue with binary riskFlag
Liquidity penalty: -5.0pt (grade C)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare โ€” Rank #197 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
DMAC30.2N/A0.0%0.0%$441M
INCY89.915.821.2%25.0%$19.6B
GMAB86.113.122.8%36.4%$17.9B
CPRX83.713.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
ASND78.316.698.0%-31.7%$13.8B
EXEL78.315.17.0%33.7%$11.9B
VRTX78.232.18.9%32.9%$121.8B
NBIX75.126.521.4%16.7%$13.1B
RPRX75.025.15.1%32.4%$19.3B
HOLX74.831.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
AMGN74.226.010.0%21.0%$204.8B
ARGX73.735.178.6%38.0%$47.4B
REGN73.019.41.0%31.4%$80.2B
ALKS72.916.5-6.4%23.9%$5.0B
ISRG72.761.720.5%28.4%$180.9B
KRYS71.541.4473.0%30.7%$7.9B
Sector Average36.641.9161.5%-3292.7%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy6 analysts
Buy: 6
Price Target
$8consensus
Low $7Median $8High $10
+1.2% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

DiaMedica Therapeutics Inc., a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, develops treatments for neurological and kidney diseases. The company's lead drug candidate is DM199, a recombinant human tissue kallikrein-1 protein, which is in Phase 2 REDUX trial for the treatment of patients with moderate or severe chronic kidney disease caused by Type I or Type II diabetes; and Phase 2/3 REMEDY2 trials for the treatment of patients with acute ischemic stroke. It is also developing DM300 that is in pre-clinical stage for the treatment of inflammatory diseases. The company was formerly known as DiaMedica Inc. and changed its name to DiaMedica Therapeutics Inc. in December 2016. DiaMedica Therapeutics Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.

CEO
Dietrich John Pauls
Employees
27
Beta
1.08
Industry
Biotechnology
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
64.2
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-21%
High: $10.42
From 52W Low
+158%
Low: $3.19
Moving Averages
10-Day
$8.50
Below
20-Day
$8.30
Below
50-Day
$8.30
Below
200-Day
$6.40
Above
60-Day Support
$7.17
60-Day Resistance
$10.42
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 89/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+28.6%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+20.49%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.68x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$0$0$0$0
Gross Profit$-18,000$0$0$-11,000
Operating Income$-9M$-8M$-8M$-8M
Net Income$-9M$-8M$-8M$-8M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.17$-0.18$-0.18$-0.18
Gross MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Operating MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Net MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A

Why This Stock

Healthcare

Tradability FilterGrade C โ€” 43/100Score impact: -12.9pt

Volume
65
350K avg/day
Dollar Vol
24
$3M/day
Float
20
0K shares
Mkt Cap
23
$441M
Range
100
227% spread
Composite Liquidity Score43/100
FDCBA
low dollar volumesmall cap

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$3.00$10.71112.5%Wide
2022$1.12$3.94111.5%Wide
2023$1.27$4.75115.6%Wide
2024$2.14$6.4199.9%Wide
2025$3.19$10.42106.2%Wide
3-Year Range
156.5%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
227.0%
Institutional Tradable
Limited

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.