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DBVT

πŸ₯ Healthcare

DBV Technologies S.A.

Conservative #1413Aggressive #1431Moderate RiskF↑ 36pt
$21.40-3.73%
Day High$22.13
Day Low$21.24
Volume0.1M
Mkt Cap$512M
52W Low $452W High $26
Market Cap
$513M
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
-100.0%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
-56.4%
Profit Margin
-9888.1%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
N/A

Why This Score

DBVT scores 2.9 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.00) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Momentum reversion risk: Extreme momentum (370%) increases mean-reversion probability. 5-point penalty applied.
  • Procyclicality: Late-cycle macro signals reduce confidence in extreme-momentum names. 2-point additional penalty.
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (22.1%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -36.1 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, DBVT would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score2.9
Fundamental Score38.6
ML Score0.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
0.6
6 Month
0.7
Primary
1 Year
0.7

Quality Assessment

F
Earnings Grade
Quality flags triggered β€” see details below
Quality Flags
Pipeline concentration: $0.5B biotech/pharma β€” likely single-product revenue with binary risk
Speculative Classification
Speculative growth β€” negative margins and ROE with momentum-driven price action. High risk of mean reversion.
Anomalous margin data β€” extreme values suggest one-time events or accounting irregularities.
Speculative micro-cap β€” no earnings, sub-$2B market cap, momentum-driven. Position sizing should reflect elevated risk.
Conservative score reduced by 10 points.

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
3.6%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
86
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
65
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
62
Grade B
Base
11.8
SHAP
+1.4
Factors
-2.0
Conviction
-4.8
Divergence
-3.5
Final
2.9
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)33.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)87.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)88.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-39.1% to -27.1%
Medium-term
-54.2% to -38.2%
Long-term
-69.8% to -45.8%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs β†’ ML Score: 0

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score65.0/100
Target Upside+118.1%
Coverage15 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score86.0/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 β€” Advancing
12M Momentum+3.7%
6M Momentum+1.2%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+253.1%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.32)
Relative Strength vs Sector+345.3%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+3.305
Momentum BreadthBroad βœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
3%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P2
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P22
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P15
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1Οƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 39 relative to sector peers39/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 0th percentileP0
Blended score: 80% fundamental (39) + 20% ML (0) = 30.930.9
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.2%; Drawdown 11% β†’ 0.0pt; Positive momentum 370% β†’ -5.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade F: quality flags triggered β€” see details below. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade F
SHAP feature alignment: +1.4pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: -4.8pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Divergence penalty: -3.5pt (ML 39pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors
Quality concern: Pipeline concentration: $0.5B biotech/pharma β€” likely single-product revenue with binary riskFlag
Speculative: SPEC_GROWTH, ANOMALY_MARGIN, SPEC_MICRO (10.0pt penalty)Speculative
Liquidity penalty: -2.0pt (grade B)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare β€” Rank #338 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
DBVT2.9N/A-100.0%-9888.1%$513M
INCY89.915.821.2%25.0%$19.6B
GMAB86.113.122.8%36.4%$17.9B
CPRX83.713.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
ASND78.316.698.0%-31.7%$13.8B
EXEL78.315.17.0%33.7%$11.9B
VRTX78.232.18.9%32.9%$121.8B
NBIX75.126.521.4%16.7%$13.1B
RPRX75.025.15.1%32.4%$19.3B
HOLX74.831.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
AMGN74.226.010.0%21.0%$204.8B
ARGX73.735.178.6%38.0%$47.4B
REGN73.019.41.0%31.4%$80.2B
ALKS72.916.5-6.4%23.9%$5.0B
ISRG72.761.720.5%28.4%$180.9B
KRYS71.541.4473.0%30.7%$7.9B
Sector Average36.441.9161.5%-3292.7%β€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy15 analysts
Buy: 10Hold: 4Sell: 1
Price Target
$46consensus
Low $40Median $48High $51
+116.5% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

DBV Technologies S.A., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, engages in the research and development of epicutaneous immunotherapy products. Its lead product candidate is Viaskin Peanut, an immunotherapy product, which has completed Phase III clinical trial for the treatment of peanut allergies in 4 to 11 years of age children, adolescents, and adults. The milk-induced company is also developing Viaskin Milk that is in Phase I/II clinical trial for the treatment of Immunoglobulin E (IgE) mediated cow's milk protein allergy (CMPA); Viaskin Egg, a pre-clinical stage product for the treatment of hen's egg allergy; and booster vaccine for Bordetella pertussis. Its other earlier stage research programs include a vaccine for the respiratory syncytial virus, as well as treatments for Crohn's disease, celiac disease, and type I diabetes. The company has a collaboration with NestlΓ© Health Science to develop MAG1C, a ready-to-use atopy patch test for the diagnosis of non-IgE mediated CMPA in infants and toddlers. DBV Technologies S.A. was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Montrouge, France.

CEO
Daniel TassΓ©
Employees
106
Beta
-0.19
Industry
Biotechnology
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
49.7
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-18.3%
High: $26.19
From 52W Low
+460.2%
Low: $3.82
Moving Averages
10-Day
$21.40
Below
20-Day
$21.80
Below
50-Day
$20.70
Above
200-Day
$13.70
Above
60-Day Support
$12.75
60-Day Resistance
$26.19
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 β€” AdvancingScore: 90/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+56.2%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+42.3%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.28x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$0$0$0$511,000
Gross Profit$-4M$-5M$-4M$511,000
Operating Income$-37M$-43M$-27M$-24M
Net Income$-33M$-42M$-27M$-23M
EPS (Diluted)$-1.60$-1.70$-1.30$-1.20
Gross MarginN/AN/AN/A100.0%
Operating MarginN/AN/AN/A-4669.5%
Net MarginN/AN/AN/A-4503.9%

Why This Stock

Healthcare

Tradability FilterGrade B β€” 62/100Score impact: -29.5pt

Volume
81
522K avg/day
Dollar Vol
62
$11M/day
Float
40
0K shares
Mkt Cap
30
$513M
Range
100
585% spread
Composite Liquidity Score62/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$13.50$68.80134.4%Wide
2022$10.80$34.30104.2%Wide
2023$6.50$23.70113.9%Wide
2024$2.74$9.90113.3%Wide
2025$3.15$26.19157.1%Wide
3-Year Range
162.1%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.3x dampening
severe revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
585.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.