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28

DRTS

๐Ÿฅ Healthcare

Alpha Tau Medical Ltd.

Conservative #1112Aggressive #1062Low RiskFโ†‘ 49pt
$7.93-5.82%
Day High$8.39
Day Low$7.70
Volume0.3M
Mkt Cap$676M
52W Low $252W High $8
Market Cap
$697M
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
0.0%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
-8.9%
Profit Margin
0.0%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.17

Why This Score

DRTS scores 28.6 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Risk Factors
  • Momentum reversion risk: Extreme momentum (139%) increases mean-reversion probability. 3-point penalty applied.
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 5-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (16.2%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -21.7 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, DRTS would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score28.6
Fundamental Score48.3
ML Score26.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
8.7
6 Month
9.8
Primary
1 Year
10.3

Quality Assessment

F
Quality Grade
Low quality โ€” significant fundamental weaknesses
1 quality flag detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
Pipeline concentration: $0.6B biotech/pharma โ€” likely single-product revenue with binary risk
Speculative Classification
Speculative micro-cap โ€” no earnings, sub-$2B market cap, momentum-driven. Position sizing should reflect elevated risk.
Conservative score reduced by 3 points.

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4.9%
Confidence
medium

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
77
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
75
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
54
Grade Clow dollar volume
Base
32.9
SHAP
+1.6
Factors
-0.3
Conviction
-4.5
Divergence
-1.1
Final
28.6
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

40AVG
Value50
Quality7
Growth33
Stability78
Investment30

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)47.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)89.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)88.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-14.1% to -7.0%
Medium-term
-18.8% to -8.8%
Long-term
-23.6% to -10.6%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 26

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score75.0/100
Target Upside+24.8%
Coverage4 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score76.8/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+1.4%
6M Momentum+1.1%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+27.9%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.80)
Relative Strength vs Sector+114.3%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+1.221
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
8%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P41
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P22
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P59
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 48 relative to sector peers48/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 26th percentileP26
Blended score: 80% fundamental (48) + 20% ML (26) = 43.843.8
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.2%; Drawdown 12% โ†’ 0.0pt; Positive momentum 139% โ†’ -3.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade F: quality flags triggered โ€” see details below. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade F
SHAP feature alignment: +1.6pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: -4.5pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Divergence penalty: -1.1pt (ML 22pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors
Quality concern: Pipeline concentration: $0.6B biotech/pharma โ€” likely single-product revenue with binary riskFlag
Speculative: SPEC_MICRO (3.0pt penalty)Speculative
Liquidity penalty: -5.0pt (grade C)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare โ€” Rank #214 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
DRTS28.6N/A0.0%0.0%$697M
INCY89.915.821.2%25.0%$19.6B
GMAB86.113.122.8%36.4%$17.9B
CPRX83.713.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
ASND78.316.698.0%-31.7%$13.8B
EXEL78.315.17.0%33.7%$11.9B
VRTX78.232.18.9%32.9%$121.8B
NBIX75.126.521.4%16.7%$13.1B
RPRX75.025.15.1%32.4%$19.3B
HOLX74.831.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
AMGN74.226.010.0%21.0%$204.8B
ARGX73.735.178.6%38.0%$47.4B
REGN73.019.41.0%31.4%$80.2B
ALKS72.916.5-6.4%23.9%$5.0B
ISRG72.761.720.5%28.4%$180.9B
KRYS71.541.4473.0%30.7%$7.9B
Sector Average36.641.9161.5%-3292.7%โ€”

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Company Overviewvia FMP

Alpha Tau Medical Ltd., a clinical-stage oncology therapeutics company, engages in research, development, and commercialization of diffusing alpha-emitters radiation therapy (Alpha DaRT) for the treatment of solid cancer In Israel and the United States. Its Alpha-DaRT technology used in clinical trials for skin, oral, pancreatic, and breast cancers; and preclinical studies for hepatic cell carcinoma, glioblastoma multiforme, lung cancer, and others. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Jerusalem, Israel.

CEO
Uzi Sofer
Employees
125
Beta
1.05
Industry
Biotechnology
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
64.5
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-7.8%
High: $8.6
From 52W Low
+244.8%
Low: $2.3
Moving Averages
10-Day
$7.50
Above
20-Day
$7.40
Above
50-Day
$6.60
Above
200-Day
$4.30
Above
60-Day Support
$3.67
60-Day Resistance
$8.6
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 90/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+84.4%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+32.46%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.91x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$0$0$0$0
Gross Profit$0$0$0$0
Operating Income$49M$-10M$-9M$-10M
Net Income$-12M$-10M$-9M$-9M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.14$-0.13$-0.12$-0.14
Gross MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Operating MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Net MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A

Why This Stock

HealthcareEarnings quality grade A

Tradability FilterGrade C โ€” 54/100Score impact: -26.8pt

Volume
62
324K avg/day
Dollar Vol
17
$2M/day
Float
83
57M shares
Mkt Cap
32
$697M
Range
100
243% spread
Composite Liquidity Score54/100
FDCBA
low dollar volume

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 6/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$9.57$10.105.3%Narrow
2022$3.00$20.65149.3%Wide
2023$2.70$5.9575.1%Wide
2024$1.75$3.4064.1%Wide
2025$2.30$5.2177.5%Wide
3-Year Range
109.1%
Narrow Years
1 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
67.3%
Outstanding Shares
85M
Bid-Ask Spread
243.0%
Institutional Tradable
Limited

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.