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CVBF

🏦 Financial Services

CVB Financial Corp.

Conservative #203Aggressive #721Low RiskLow 25ML↑ 38pt
$20.01+1.99%
Day High$20.05
Day Low$19.66
Volume1.1M
Mkt Cap$2.7B
52W Low $1652W High $21
Market Cap
$2.8B
P/E Ratio
13.5
Sector avg: 49.4
Rev Growth
-2.3%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
4.3%
Profit Margin
32.5%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
0.43

Why This Score

CVBF scores 64.8 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High net margin of 32.5%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
  • Attractively valued at 13.5x earnings, below the market average.
  • Low volatility (5.9% annualized) — well-suited for risk-averse portfolios.

No material penalties applied. CVBF ranks #203 based on its factor profile and ML signal alignment.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score64.8
Fundamental Score65.8
ML Score45.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
74.4
6 Month
83.1
Primary
1 Year
87.5

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
50
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
56
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
86
Grade A
Base
61.7
SHAP
+3.2
Factors
+0.8
Divergence
-0.9
Final
64.8
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)65.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)76.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)76.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+0.5% to +4.9%
Medium-term
+1.3% to +8.0%
Long-term
+2.2% to +11.2%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 45

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score56.3/100
Target Upside+15.8%
Coverage16 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score49.5/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.1%
6M Momentum+0.0%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+2.0%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.68)
Relative Strength vs Sector-2.7%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (1.0)
Momentum Quality+0.057
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
21%
Moderate — watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P15
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P48
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P51
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 51 relative to sector peers51/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 89th percentileP89
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +4.3pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (51.3) + 9% ML (88.9) + SHAP(+4.3) = 59.0—
Factor quality: +1.1pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 5.9%. Stability bonus of +10.1 points. Max drawdown 9% (-0.3 pts)Low
Market cap adjustment: -4.0 points ($2.8B market cap)-4.0 pts
Conviction penalty: -2.4pt (conviction=25)—
Divergence penalty: -4.2pt (ML 38pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade A: strong earnings quality and financial health. Score adjusted by -5 pointsGrade A
Quality concern: CRE concentration risk: regional bank with likely elevated commercial real estate exposure — forward-looking impairment risk not captured by trailing fundamentalsFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services — Rank #64 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
CVBF64.813.5-2.3%32.5%$2.8B
CME84.927.29.9%57.5%$109.0B
CINF82.310.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
ACT82.08.92.4%54.6%$6.0B
SEIC80.914.010.7%27.3%$9.6B
TROW79.310.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
FHB78.311.83.2%24.2%$3.3B
MCHB77.70.0123.7%23.2%$3.4B
TRMK75.611.934.8%19.3%$2.7B
BCAL74.39.926.2%27.1%$613M
NMIH73.97.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
FFIN73.218.811.7%30.7%$4.8B
TW73.130.018.9%39.6%$24.8B
VCTR73.118.38.8%32.3%$4.9B
VLY72.412.5-2.2%17.1%$7.5B
QQQX72.310.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
Sector Average45.849.413.4%-2.8%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Hold16 analysts
Buy: 4Hold: 12
Price Target
$23consensus
Low $23Median $23High $23
+12.4% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

CVB Financial Corp. operates as a bank holding company for Citizens Business Bank, a state-chartered bank that provides banking and financial services to small to mid-sized businesses and individuals. It offers checking, savings, money market, and time certificates of deposit products for business and personal accounts; and serves as a federal tax depository for business customers. The company also provides commercial lending products comprising lines of credit and other working capital financing, accounts receivable lending, and letters of credit; agriculture loans to finance the operating needs of wholesale dairy farm operations, cattle feeders, livestock raisers, and farmers; lease financing services for municipal governments; commercial real estate and construction loans; and consumer financing products, including automobile leasing and financing, lines of credit, credit cards, home mortgages, and home equity loans and lines of credit. In addition, it offers various specialized services, such as treasury management systems for monitoring cash flow, merchant card processing program, armored pick-up and delivery, payroll services, remote deposit capture, electronic funds transfers, wires and automated clearinghouse, and online account access. Further, the company provides trust services through its CitizensTrust Division, such as fiduciary services, mutual funds, annuities, 401(k) plans, and individual investment accounts. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 58 banking centers located in the Inland Empire, Los Angeles County, Orange County, San Diego County, Ventura County, Santa Barbara County, and the Central Valley area of California; and three trust offices located in Ontario, Newport Beach, and Pasadena, as well as two loan production offices in California's Central Valley and the Sacramento area. The company was founded in 1974 and is headquartered in Ontario, California.

CEO
David A. Brager
Employees
1,089
Beta
0.68
Industry
Banks - Regional
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
40.3
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-6.8%
High: $21.48
From 52W Low
+25%
Low: $16.01
Moving Averages
10-Day
$20.30
Below
20-Day
$20.40
Below
50-Day
$19.90
Above
200-Day
$19.50
Above
60-Day Support
$18.26
60-Day Resistance
$21.48
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 59/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+2.6%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+1.8%
Flattening
Volume Ratio
0.79x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
2
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$163M$163M$159M$159M
Gross Profit$132M$127M$126M$128M
Operating Income$74M$69M$69M$70M
Net Income$55M$53M$51M$51M
EPS (Diluted)$0.40$0.38$0.36$0.36
Gross Margin81.1%77.9%79.5%80.5%
Operating Margin45.6%42.3%43.3%43.7%
Net Margin33.8%32.2%31.8%32.1%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesP/E ratio of 13.5Profit margin 32.5%

Tradability FilterGrade A — 86/100Score impact: +9.3pt

Volume
100
1.4M avg/day
Dollar Vol
84
$26M/day
Float
100
127M shares
Mkt Cap
62
$2.8B
Range
57
34% spread
Composite Liquidity Score86/100
FDCBA

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
slight revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
93.4%
Outstanding Shares
136M
Bid-Ask Spread
34.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.