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67

TOWN

🏦 Financial Services

TowneBank

Conservative #143Aggressive #600Low RiskModerate 60ML↑ 20pt
$35.06+1.68%
Day High$35.19
Day Low$34.49
Volume0.3M
Mkt Cap$2.7B
52W Low $2952W High $38
Market Cap
$2.7B
P/E Ratio
16.9
Sector avg: 49.4
Rev Growth
-1.6%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
4.8%
Profit Margin
15.6%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
0.15

Why This Score

TOWN scores 67.3 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Low volatility (4.4% annualized) — well-suited for risk-averse portfolios.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.

Minor adjustments (-2.0 points) applied. TOWN's rank of #143 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score67.3
Fundamental Score65.9
ML Score63.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
65.1
6 Month
72.8
Primary
1 Year
76.6

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality
Quality Flags
False stability: 0.044 vol with only -1.6% revenue growth — stagnation, not safety (declining revenue overrides sector exemption)

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
20
Topping
Sentiment (2.5%)
44
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
63
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
70
Grade B
Base
64.7
SHAP
+3.4
Factors
+0.6
Divergence
-1.4
Final
67.3
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)56.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)74.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)64.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-3.0% to +3.0%
Medium-term
-4.2% to +4.8%
Long-term
-5.5% to +6.6%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 63

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score62.5/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage6 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score44.2/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage3 — Topping
12M Momentum+0.0%
6M Momentum+0.0%
Volatility+0.0%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+1.0%
Momentum ConsistencyWeak (0.19)
Relative Strength vs Sector-7.6%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.3)
Momentum Quality+0.011
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
12%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P16
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P35
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P40
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 56 relative to sector peers56/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 76th percentileP76
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +4.3pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (55.9) + 9% ML (76.0) + SHAP(+4.3) = 62.0—
Factor quality: +0.8pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 4.4%. Stability bonus of +12.0 points. Max drawdown 11% (-1.1 pts)Low
Market cap adjustment: -4.0 points ($2.7B market cap)-4.0 pts
Divergence penalty: -1.4pt (ML 20pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade A: strong earnings quality and financial health. Score adjusted by -23 pointsGrade A
Quality concern: False stability: 0.0 vol with only -1.6% revenue growth — stagnation, not safety (declining revenue overrides sector exemption); CRE concentration risk: regional bank with likely elevated commercial real estate exposure — forward-looking impairment risk not captured by trailing fundamentalsFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services — Rank #42 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
TOWN67.316.9-1.6%15.6%$2.7B
CME84.927.29.9%57.5%$109.0B
CINF82.310.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
ACT82.08.92.4%54.6%$6.0B
SEIC80.914.010.7%27.3%$9.6B
TROW79.310.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
FHB78.311.83.2%24.2%$3.3B
MCHB77.70.0123.7%23.2%$3.4B
TRMK75.611.934.8%19.3%$2.7B
BCAL74.39.926.2%27.1%$613M
NMIH73.97.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
FFIN73.218.811.7%30.7%$4.8B
TW73.130.018.9%39.6%$24.8B
VCTR73.118.38.8%32.3%$4.9B
VLY72.412.5-2.2%17.1%$7.5B
QQQX72.310.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
Sector Average45.849.413.4%-2.8%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy6 analysts
Buy: 3Hold: 3

Company Overviewvia FMP

TowneBank provides retail and commercial banking services for individuals, commercial enterprises, and professionals. The company operates through three segments: Banking, Realty, and Insurance. It accepts various deposits, including demand deposits, savings accounts, money rate savings, certificates of deposit, and individual retirement accounts. The company also offers secured and unsecured personal loans for financing automobiles, home improvements, education, and personal investments; commercial loans for working capital, business expansion, and equipment and machinery purchases; and mortgage loans, as well as real estate acquisition, development, and construction loans. In addition, it provides other services, such as safe deposit boxes, treasury management services, direct deposit of payroll and social security checks, and automatic drafts for various accounts, as well as online, mobile, and on-call banking services. Further, the company offers documentation services to accomplish tax deferral to investors; investment and asset management services; commercial mortgage brokerage services; and other financial services, such as financial, retirement, and estate planning services, as well as assistance on various investment options comprising alternative investments, annuities, margin accounts, convertible bonds, and pension and profit-sharing plans. Additionally, it provides residential real estate, relocation, property management, vacations rental, and title and settlement services; and originates residential mortgage loans. The company also offers life, property, casualty, and vehicle insurance services; and employee benefit programs, such as health, dental, vision, and disability insurance. It operates in Richmond, Virginia, the Greater Hampton Roads region in southeastern Virginia, northeastern North Carolina, Raleigh, Charlotte, Greensboro, and Greenville, North Carolina. TowneBank was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Portsmouth, Virginia.

CEO
William I. Foster
Employees
2,704
Beta
0.76
Industry
Banks - Regional
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
32.9
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-7.4%
High: $37.86
From 52W Low
+19.1%
Low: $29.43
Moving Averages
10-Day
$35.60
Below
20-Day
$36.00
Below
50-Day
$35.30
Below
200-Day
$34.80
Above
60-Day Support
$32.82
60-Day Resistance
$37.86
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 3 — ToppingScore: 22/100

Stock is losing momentum near highs. The 200-day SMA is flattening or beginning to turn. Historically, this stage precedes distribution.

Exercise caution; tighten risk management
Price vs 200 SMA
+0.7%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+0.98%
Flattening
Volume Ratio
0.79x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
1
Confidence: 70%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$255M$287M$278M$261M
Gross Profit$184M$200M$201M$190M
Operating Income$53M$47M$50M$59M
Net Income$41M$39M$39M$51M
EPS (Diluted)$0.51$0.51$0.52$0.67
Gross Margin72.0%69.8%72.3%72.6%
Operating Margin21.0%16.3%18.1%22.6%
Net Margin15.9%13.6%14.0%19.4%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesP/E ratio of 16.9Profit margin 15.6%Valuation below sector median (P/E 16.9)

Tradability FilterGrade B — 70/100Score impact: +2.0pt

Volume
73
431K avg/day
Dollar Vol
70
$15M/day
Float
89
72M shares
Mkt Cap
62
$2.7B
Range
35
29% spread
Composite Liquidity Score70/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 32/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$27.93$34.3220.5%Narrow
2022$26.18$34.7928.2%Moderate
2023$21.22$31.7639.8%Wide
2024$25.70$38.2839.3%Wide
2025$29.43$38.0125.4%Moderate
3-Year Range
57.3%
Narrow Years
3 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.49x dampening
slight revenue declinestagnation flag

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
94.5%
Outstanding Shares
76M
Bid-Ask Spread
29.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.