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68

SBCF

🏦 Financial Services

Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida

Conservative #125Aggressive #212Low RiskLow 31ML↑ 35pt
$32.89+1.61%
Day High$33.10
Day Low$32.56
Volume0.6M
Mkt Cap$3.2B
52W Low $2152W High $36
Market Cap
$3.3B
P/E Ratio
22.6
Sector avg: 49.4
Rev Growth
7.5%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
19.7%
Profit Margin
16.1%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
0.44

Why This Score

SBCF scores 68.3 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Low volatility (5.9% annualized) — well-suited for risk-averse portfolios.
  • Positive but moderate momentum (21%) — steady appreciation without overheating.

No material penalties applied. SBCF ranks #125 based on its factor profile and ML signal alignment.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score68.3
Fundamental Score62.9
ML Score70.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
60.6
6 Month
67.8
Primary
1 Year
71.3

Quality Assessment

A
Earnings Grade
Strong fundamentals, high earnings quality

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
52
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
61
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
85
Grade A
Base
68.0
SHAP
+3.4
Factors
+0.6
Divergence
-3.7
Final
68.3
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)59.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)81.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)78.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-2.1% to +2.0%
Medium-term
-2.6% to +3.4%
Long-term
-3.2% to +4.9%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 70

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score60.9/100
Target Upside+3.4%
Coverage16 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score52.1/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.2%
6M Momentum+0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+12.5%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.39)
Relative Strength vs Sector+11.7%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (3.5)
Momentum Quality+0.191
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
4%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P60
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P25
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P39
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 36 relative to sector peers36/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 70th percentileP70
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +4.3pt (features align with model priorities)—
Blend: 91% fund (35.9) + 9% ML (70.5) + SHAP(+4.3) = 43.3—
Factor quality: +0.7pt (multi-factor composite)—
Risk assessment: low. Annualized volatility 5.9%. Stability bonus of +10.3 pointsLow
Market cap adjustment: +0.5 points ($3.3B market cap)+0.5 pts
Conviction penalty: -1.8pt (conviction=31)—
Divergence penalty: -3.7pt (ML 35pt higher)—
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade A: strong earnings quality and financial health. Score adjusted by -5 pointsGrade A
Quality concern: CRE concentration risk: regional bank with likely elevated commercial real estate exposure — forward-looking impairment risk not captured by trailing fundamentalsFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services — Rank #34 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
SBCF68.322.67.5%16.1%$3.3B
CME84.927.29.9%57.5%$109.0B
CINF82.310.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
ACT82.08.92.4%54.6%$6.0B
SEIC80.914.010.7%27.3%$9.6B
TROW79.310.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
FHB78.311.83.2%24.2%$3.3B
MCHB77.70.0123.7%23.2%$3.4B
TRMK75.611.934.8%19.3%$2.7B
BCAL74.39.926.2%27.1%$613M
NMIH73.97.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
FFIN73.218.811.7%30.7%$4.8B
TW73.130.018.9%39.6%$24.8B
VCTR73.118.38.8%32.3%$4.9B
VLY72.412.5-2.2%17.1%$7.5B
QQQX72.310.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
Sector Average45.849.413.4%-2.8%—

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Hold16 analysts
Buy: 7Hold: 9
Price Target
$33consensus
Low $33Median $33High $34
+1.1% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida operates as the bank holding company for Seacoast National Bank that provides financial services to retail and commercial customers in Florida. It offers commercial and retail banking, wealth management, and mortgage services; and brokerage and annuity services. The company offers noninterest and interest-bearing demand deposit, money market, savings, and customer sweep accounts; time certificates of deposit; construction and land development, commercial and residential real estate, and commercial and financial loans; and consumer loans, including installment loans and revolving lines, as well as loans for automobiles, boats, and personal or family purposes. As of December 31, 2021, it had 54 branch and commercial lending offices. The company was founded in 1926 and is headquartered in Stuart, Florida.

CEO
Charles Shaffer
Employees
1,518
Beta
0.92
Industry
Banks - Regional
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
35.8
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-7.5%
High: $35.55
From 52W Low
+54%
Low: $21.36
Moving Averages
10-Day
$33.20
Below
20-Day
$33.70
Below
50-Day
$33.10
Below
200-Day
$30.10
Above
60-Day Support
$30.79
60-Day Resistance
$35.55
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 73/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+9.3%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+8.06%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.86x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$248M$227M$218M$206M
Gross Profit$137M$149M$147M$131M
Operating Income$43M$47M$55M$41M
Net Income$34M$36M$43M$31M
EPS (Diluted)$0.29$0.42$0.50$0.37
Gross Margin55.3%65.7%67.4%63.6%
Operating Margin17.5%20.7%25.4%19.8%
Net Margin13.8%16.1%19.6%15.2%

Why This Stock

Financial ServicesP/E ratio of 22.6Profit margin 16.1%

Tradability FilterGrade A — 85/100Score impact: +6.3pt

Volume
90
743K avg/day
Dollar Vol
83
$24M/day
Float
96
90M shares
Mkt Cap
63
$3.3B
Range
93
66% spread
Composite Liquidity Score85/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 1/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$29.28$40.9333.2%Moderate
2022$29.05$39.3130%Moderate
2023$17.93$34.0362%Wide
2024$21.90$31.6836.5%Wide
2025$21.36$33.2343.5%Wide
3-Year Range
62%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None
Free Float
91.5%
Outstanding Shares
98M
Bid-Ask Spread
66.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.