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32

CGEM

๐Ÿฅ Healthcare

Cullinan Therapeutics, Inc.

Conservative #1022Aggressive #716Moderate RiskFโ†‘ 32pt
$15.21+5.92%
Day High$15.23
Day Low$14.00
Volume0.8M
Mkt Cap$899M
52W Low $652W High $15
Market Cap
$806M
P/E Ratio
N/A
Rev Growth
0.0%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
-9.3%
Profit Margin
0.0%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
0.00

Why This Score

CGEM scores 32.9 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.00) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • Positive but moderate momentum (37%) โ€” steady appreciation without overheating.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Above-average volatility (18.5%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-5.9 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score32.9
Fundamental Score36.8
ML Score36.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
14.2
6 Month
15.8
Primary
1 Year
16.7

Quality Assessment

F
Quality Grade
Low quality โ€” significant fundamental weaknesses
1 quality flag detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
Pipeline concentration: $0.8B biotech/pharma โ€” likely single-product revenue with binary risk

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4.3%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
62
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
75
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
77
Grade B
Base
34.6
SHAP
+0.2
Factors
-0.6
Conviction
-1.3
Final
32.9
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

33AVG
Value50
Quality7
Growth33
Stability67
Investment10

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)48.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)77.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)72.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-9.9% to -4.0%
Medium-term
-13.0% to -4.6%
Long-term
-16.1% to -5.2%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 36

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score75.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage8 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score62.4/100
News Volume0 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 โ€” Advancing
12M Momentum+0.4%
6M Momentum+0.5%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-17.2%
Momentum ConsistencyModerate (0.68)
Relative Strength vs Sector+12.1%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (2.0)
Momentum Quality+0.250
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
1%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P41
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P22
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P10
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
-0.0ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 37 relative to sector peers37/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 36th percentileP36
Blended score: 80% fundamental (37) + 20% ML (36) = 36.636.6
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.2%; Drawdown 31% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade F: quality flags triggered โ€” see details below. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade F
SHAP feature alignment: +0.2pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: -1.3pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Risk Factors
Quality concern: Pipeline concentration: $0.8B biotech/pharma โ€” likely single-product revenue with binary riskFlag
Liquidity penalty: -2.0pt (grade B)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare โ€” Rank #176 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
CGEM32.9N/A0.0%0.0%$806M
INCY89.915.821.2%25.0%$19.6B
GMAB86.113.122.8%36.4%$17.9B
CPRX83.713.723.5%37.6%$3.0B
ASND78.316.698.0%-31.7%$13.8B
EXEL78.315.17.0%33.7%$11.9B
VRTX78.232.18.9%32.9%$121.8B
NBIX75.126.521.4%16.7%$13.1B
RPRX75.025.15.1%32.4%$19.3B
HOLX74.831.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
AMGN74.226.010.0%21.0%$204.8B
ARGX73.735.178.6%38.0%$47.4B
REGN73.019.41.0%31.4%$80.2B
ALKS72.916.5-6.4%23.9%$5.0B
ISRG72.761.720.5%28.4%$180.9B
KRYS71.541.4473.0%30.7%$7.9B
Sector Average36.641.9161.5%-3292.7%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

Cullinan Therapeutics, Inc. is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, which engages in the developing of oncology and immuno-oncology therapies. Its pipeline includes CLN-978, CLN-619, Zipalertinib CLN-081/TAS6417, CLN-049, and CLN-617. The company was founded by Patrick A. Baeuerle on September 15, 2016 and is headquartered in Cambridge, MA.

CEO
Nadim Ahmed
Employees
111
Beta
-0.10
Industry
Medical - Pharmaceuticals
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
78.9
Overbought
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-0.1%
High: $15.23
From 52W Low
+167.8%
Low: $5.68
Moving Averages
10-Day
$13.30
Above
20-Day
$12.80
Above
50-Day
$11.60
Above
200-Day
$8.90
Above
60-Day Support
$9.41
60-Day Resistance
$15.23
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 โ€” AdvancingScore: 90/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+70.9%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+12.27%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.03x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
72
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$0$0$0$0
Gross Profit$0$0$0$0
Operating Income$-56M$-76M$-55M$-55M
Net Income$-51M$-70M$-49M$-48M
EPS (Diluted)$-0.86$-1.19$-0.82$-0.81
Gross MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Operating MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Net MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A

Why This Stock

Healthcare

Tradability FilterGrade B โ€” 77/100Score impact: -27.3pt

Volume
100
1.0M avg/day
Dollar Vol
68
$14M/day
Float
72
42M shares
Mkt Cap
37
$806M
Range
100
155% spread
Composite Liquidity Score77/100
FDCBA
Free Float
71.0%
Outstanding Shares
59M
Bid-Ask Spread
155.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.