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CCIX

๐Ÿฆ Financial Services

Churchill Capital Corp IX Ordinary Shares

Conservative #944Aggressive #1352Low Risk
$10.64+0.09%
Day High$10.64
Day Low$10.63
Volume0.0M
Mkt Cap$390M
52W Low $1052W High $12
Market Cap
$390M
P/E Ratio
45.5
Sector avg: 26.8
Rev Growth
0.0%
Sector avg: 13.4%
Earnings Growth
-2.7%
Profit Margin
0.0%
Sector avg: -2.8%
Debt/Equity
N/A

Why This Score

CCIX scores 36.8 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Low volatility (1.9% annualized) โ€” well-suited for risk-averse portfolios.
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.00) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 5-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Elevated valuation at 45.5x earnings โ€” requires sustained growth to justify the premium.

Net penalties of -15.2 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, CCIX would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score36.8
Fundamental Score58.9
ML Score13.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
1.8
6 Month
2.0
Primary
1 Year
2.1

Quality Assessment

D
Quality Grade
Below average quality โ€” weak profitability or high leverage
1 quality flag detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
False stability: 0.019 vol with only 0.0% revenue growth โ€” stagnation, not safety

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
20
Topping
Sentiment (2.5%)
39
Negative
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
40
Grade Clow dollar volume, small cap
Base
39.7
SHAP
+2.0
Factors
-0.3
Divergence
-4.6
Final
36.8
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

47AVG
Value54
Quality26
Growth38
Stability91
Investment27

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)36.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)77.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)60.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-16.4% to -4.4%
Medium-term
-21.1% to -5.1%
Long-term
-27.0% to -4.7%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 13

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score39.2/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage3 โ€” Topping
12M Momentum+0.0%
6M Momentum+0.0%
Volatility+0.0%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+0.2%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.84)
Relative Strength vs Sector-7.6%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.6)
Momentum Quality+0.012
Momentum BreadthBroad โœ“
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
1%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P40
Revenue growth vs Financial Services peers
Sector PE Rank
P10
Valuation vs Financial Services peers
Sector FCF Rank
P10
Free cash flow vs Financial Services peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 59 relative to sector peers59/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 13th percentileP13
Blended score: 80% fundamental (59) + 20% ML (13) = 49.749.7
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.0%; Drawdown 6% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade D
SHAP feature alignment: +2.0pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Divergence penalty: -4.6pt (ML 46pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors
Quality concern: False stability: 0.019 vol with only 0.0% revenue growth โ€” stagnation, not safetyFlag
Liquidity penalty: -5.0pt (grade C)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Financial Services โ€” Rank #256 of 356 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
CCIX36.845.50.0%0.0%$390M
CME86.427.29.9%57.5%$114.0B
FHB84.911.83.2%24.2%$3.1B
ACT84.58.92.4%54.6%$6.1B
CINF84.210.711.4%18.9%$25.4B
SEIC82.214.010.7%27.3%$9.9B
TROW79.910.13.1%28.5%$20.5B
QQQX79.710.448.6%257.3%$1.4B
IBOC78.210.67.5%40.1%$4.2B
HWC77.812.2-1.5%24.1%$5.6B
FFIN77.518.811.7%30.7%$4.7B
TRMK77.111.934.8%19.3%$2.6B
NMIH77.17.78.4%55.1%$3.0B
EWBC76.712.74.6%28.3%$15.3B
WSFS76.312.8-3.1%21.1%$3.5B
MCHB76.1N/A123.7%23.2%$3.1B
Sector Average47.526.813.4%-2.8%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

Churchill Capital Corp IX does not have significant operations. It focuses on effecting a merger, amalgamation, share exchange, asset acquisition, share purchase, reorganization, or similar business combination with one or more businesses. Churchill Capital Corp IX was incorporated in 2023 and is based in New York, New York.

CEO
Michael S. Klein
Employees
2
Beta
-1.88
Industry
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
44.4
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-8.7%
High: $11.66
From 52W Low
+1.8%
Low: $10.45
Moving Averages
10-Day
$10.60
Above
20-Day
$10.60
Above
50-Day
$10.60
Above
200-Day
$10.60
Above
60-Day Support
$10.55
60-Day Resistance
$10.85
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 3 โ€” ToppingScore: 28/100

Stock is losing momentum near highs. The 200-day SMA is flattening or beginning to turn. Historically, this stage precedes distribution.

Exercise caution; tighten risk management
Transition signal: 3โ†’4
Price vs 200 SMA
+0.4%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
-0.3%
Flattening
Volume Ratio
0.07x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
0
Confidence: 80%

Entry & Exit Zones

Avoid
$10.08
Stop Entry Now Target
$10.96
No Entry
โ€”
No new entry โ€” distribution phase
Exit Target
$10.64
Reduce at current price ($10.64)
Stop Level
$10.39
Below SMA50 ($10.39)

Stage 3 distribution โ€” institutional selling pressure is building. Avoid new positions. If already holding, consider reducing and tightening stops below SMA50.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$0$0$0$0
Gross Profit$0$0$0$0
Operating Income$-400,021$-915,912$-2M$-283,455
Net Income$3M$2M$842,372$3M
EPS (Diluted)$0.07$0.06$0.02$0.07
Gross MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Operating MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A
Net MarginN/AN/AN/AN/A

Why This Stock

Financial Services

Tradability FilterGrade C โ€” 40/100Score impact: +9.2pt

Volume
59
290K avg/day
Dollar Vol
26
$3M/day
Float
66
36M shares
Mkt Cap
19
$390M
Range
0
12% spread
Composite Liquidity Score40/100
FDCBA
low dollar volumesmall caprange bound

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Range-BoundSideways: 100/100
Range-Bound Stock

This stock has traded in a compressed range for 2 of the last 2 years (3-year range: 15.4%). Range-bound stocks may indicate limited upside potential. A -5pt penalty has been applied.

YearLowHighRangeStatus
2024$9.99$11.1711.2%Narrow
2025$10.30$11.6612.4%Narrow
3-Year Range
15.4%
Narrow Years
2 / 2
Sideways Penalty
-5pt

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.49x dampening
stagnation flagrange bound

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
97.5%
Outstanding Shares
37M
Bid-Ask Spread
12.0%
Institutional Tradable
Limited

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.