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51

ADEA

💻 Technology

Adeia Inc.

Conservative #512Aggressive #820Moderate RiskModerate 75
$20.67+4.66%
Day High$20.75
Day Low$19.71
Volume1.9M
Mkt Cap$2.3B
52W Low $1152W High $21
Market Cap
$2.1B
P/E Ratio
28.6
Sector avg: 87.8
Rev Growth
-3.3%
Sector avg: 14.8%
Earnings Growth
-4.1%
Profit Margin
19.3%
Sector avg: -110.0%
Debt/Equity
1.08

Why This Score

ADEA scores 51.8 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 18.3% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • Positive but moderate momentum (21%) — steady appreciation without overheating.
  • High conviction (75/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Above-average volatility (16.3%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 1.08) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Minor adjustments (-0.7 points) applied. ADEA's rank of #512 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score51.8
Fundamental Score52.4
ML Score33.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
77.7
6 Month
86.8
Primary
1 Year
91.4

Quality Assessment

B
Earnings Grade
Solid fundamentals with minor quality concerns

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4.9%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
47
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
85
Grade A
Base
48.6
SHAP
+2.5
Factors
+1.4
Divergence
-0.7
Final
51.8
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)58.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)72.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)62.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+3.3% to +8.1%
Medium-term
+5.6% to +13.0%
Long-term
+8.6% to +18.6%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 33

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score46.8/100
News Volume0 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.2%
6M Momentum+0.3%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration-4.6%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.82)
Relative Strength vs Sector+17.8%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (1.3)
Momentum Quality+0.155
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
30%
Moderate — watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P13
Revenue growth vs Technology peers
Sector PE Rank
P42
Valuation vs Technology peers
Sector FCF Rank
P81
Free cash flow vs Technology peers
Growth Deviation
-0.3σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged
Value trap warning: This stock scores in the top quartile for value trap risk. The combination of below-sector-median revenue growth, low PE, and high free cash flow yield suggests the market is pricing in stagnation. The ML model's sector-relative features (trained on 30 years of data) reduce this stock's score accordingly.

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 70 relative to sector peers70/100
Machine learning model ranks this stock at the 82th percentileP82
ML model weight reduced to 9% due to macro conditions: market in extended rally phase; yield curve inverted (recession indicator); late-cycle economic indicators detected9% ML weight
SHAP feature alignment: +2.5pt (features align with model priorities)
Blend: 91% fund (69.6) + 9% ML (82.2) + SHAP(+2.5) = 73.2
Factor quality: +1.4pt (multi-factor composite)
Risk assessment: moderate. Annualized volatility 16.3%. Max drawdown 27% (-7.8 pts)Moderate
Market cap adjustment: -4.0 points ($2.1B market cap)-4.0 pts
Risk Factors
Earnings quality grade B: adequate earnings quality with minor concerns. Score adjusted by -5 pointsGrade B
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (-180.1%) — earnings quality concern; R&D-adjusted ROIC: 10.9% (original: 12.3%). Software - Application has ~20% R&D intensity. Capitalizing R&D over 5 years increases invested capital by ~50%.Flag

Sector Peer Comparison(Technology — Rank #118 of 289 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
ADEA51.828.6-3.3%19.3%$2.1B
MPWR84.891.721.2%81.0%$57.1B
ZM84.218.03.1%21.7%$27.7B
NVDA80.645.2114.2%55.8%$4.5T
CRUS79.719.16.0%17.5%$7.4B
ASML77.848.115.6%29.4%$546.0B
IDCC77.431.8-4.0%48.8%$9.7B
CSCO77.127.65.3%18.0%$303.6B
RMBS75.548.320.7%32.3%$11.0B
DBX75.313.91.9%17.7%$6.4B
FSLR75.017.326.7%30.7%$24.2B
SIMO74.79.210.2%13.8%$4.5B
ADI74.374.116.9%20.6%$165.1B
AAPL72.533.16.4%27.0%$3.9T
OLED72.527.012.4%34.3%$5.9B
AMAT72.336.44.4%24.7%$281.7B
Sector Average47.487.814.8%-110.0%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy4 analysts
Buy: 4
Price Target
$20consensus
Low $20Median $20High $20
-3.2% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Adeia Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a consumer and entertainment product/solutions licensing company worldwide. It licenses its innovations to companies in the entertainment industry under the Adeia brand. The company licenses its patent portfolios across various markets, including multichannel video programming distributors comprising cable, satellite, and telecommunications television providers that aggregate and distribute linear content over networks, as well as television providers that aggregate and stream linear content over broadband networks; over-the-top video service providers, social media, and other new media companies, such as subscription video-on-demand service providers and social media companies; consumer electronics manufacturers, which includes smart televisions, streaming media devices, video game consoles, mobile devices, DVRs, and other connected media devices; and semiconductors, including sensors, radio frequency components, memory, and logic devices. The company was incorporated in 2019 and is headquartered in San Jose, California.

CEO
Paul E. Davis
Employees
150
Beta
0.97
Industry
Software - Application
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
72.7
Overbought
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-0.4%
High: $20.75
From 52W Low
+95.2%
Low: $10.59
Moving Averages
10-Day
$19.00
Above
20-Day
$18.60
Above
50-Day
$17.80
Above
200-Day
$15.30
Above
60-Day Support
$12.13
60-Day Resistance
$20.75
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 86/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+35.1%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+7.19%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.1x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
44
Confidence: 90%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$183M$87M$86M$88M
Gross Profit$168M$73M$71M$73M
Operating Income$117M$32M$24M$29M
Net Income$74M$9M$17M$12M
EPS (Diluted)$0.65$0.08$0.15$0.10
Gross Margin92.2%83.2%82.9%83.4%
Operating Margin63.9%36.9%27.5%32.7%
Net Margin40.4%10.1%19.5%13.5%

Why This Stock

TechnologyProfit margin 19.3%

Tradability FilterGrade A — 85/100Score impact: -6.9pt

Volume
95
863K avg/day
Dollar Vol
72
$16M/day
Float
100
107M shares
Mkt Cap
60
$2.1B
Range
100
92% spread
Composite Liquidity Score85/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$4.55$6.6237.1%Wide
2022$3.54$11.85108%Wide
2023$7.12$12.7256.5%Wide
2024$9.68$14.7541.5%Wide
2025$10.59$18.2553.1%Wide
3-Year Range
87.7%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.7x dampening
slight revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
97.9%
Outstanding Shares
110M
Bid-Ask Spread
92.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.