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40

ZEUS

⛏️ Basic Materials

Olympic Steel, Inc.

Conservative #874Aggressive #1287Low Risk
$47.86+0.00%
Day High$47.86
Day Low$47.86
Volume0.7M
Mkt Cap$539M
52W Low $2652W High $53
Market Cap
$539M
P/E Ratio
40.7
Sector avg: 37.5
Rev Growth
-10.0%
Sector avg: 40.4%
Earnings Growth
-48.4%
Profit Margin
0.7%
Sector avg: -552.9%
Debt/Equity
0.49

Why This Score

ZEUS scores 40.3 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High conviction (72/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 15-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Elevated valuation at 40.7x earnings — requires sustained growth to justify the premium.

Net penalties of -15.8 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, ZEUS would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score40.3
Fundamental Score56.1
ML Score36.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
67.7
6 Month
75.7
Primary
1 Year
79.7

Quality Assessment

D
Quality Grade
Below average quality — weak profitability or high leverage
1 quality flag detected — see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
High accrual ratio (-437.4%) — earnings quality concern

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
51
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
37
Grade Dlow volume, low float
Base
37.1
SHAP
+3.1
Factors
+0.9
Divergence
-0.8
Final
40.3
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

55AVG
Value59
Quality25
Growth10
Stability84
Investment95

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)24.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)91.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)50.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
+0.9% to +5.3%
Medium-term
+1.8% to +8.5%
Long-term
+2.7% to +11.8%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 36

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside-14.3%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score51.0/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+0.5%
6M Momentum+0.4%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+3.6%
Momentum ConsistencyStrong (0.92)
Relative Strength vs Sector-9.2%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+0.423
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
7%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P20
Revenue growth vs Basic Materials peers
Sector PE Rank
P10
Valuation vs Basic Materials peers
Sector FCF Rank
P87
Free cash flow vs Basic Materials peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 56 relative to sector peers56/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 36th percentileP36
Blended score: 80% fundamental (56) + 20% ML (36) = 52.152.1
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 10% → 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade D: weak earnings quality, multiple concerns. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade D
SHAP feature alignment: +3.1pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Divergence penalty: -0.8pt (ML 20pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors
Quality concern: High accrual ratio (-437.4%) — earnings quality concernFlag
Liquidity penalty: -15.0pt (grade D)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Basic Materials — Rank #18 of 31 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
ZEUS40.340.7-10.0%0.7%$539M
RGLD77.839.418.8%46.2%$19.5B
LIN71.932.90.5%19.9%$234.9B
BCPC71.339.63.4%13.5%$5.8B
STLD67.823.83.6%6.5%$28.0B
UFPI67.621.2-7.8%6.2%$6.0B
WDFC62.736.05.0%14.4%$3.2B
IOSP60.217.3-3.7%6.6%$1.9B
KALU58.018.611.5%3.3%$2.1B
SCZM53.813.15.3%25.1%$1.2B
ELE53.6105.829.9%15.4%$1.5B
HWKN52.336.96.0%7.8%$3.1B
MEOH51.917.9-0.1%6.0%$3.8B
AUGO51.313.842.5%-5.1%$7.0B
SSRM48.627.3-30.2%-26.2%$6.5B
ALM41.9N/AN/A-216.3%$3.8B
Sector Average41.737.540.4%-552.9%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy6 analysts
Buy: 3Hold: 3
Price Target
$41consensus
Low $41Median $41High $41
-14.3% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Olympic Steel, Inc. processes, distributes, and storage metal products in the United States and internationally. It operates in three segments: Carbon Flat Products; Specialty Metals Flat Products; and Tubular and Pipe Products. The Carbon Flat Products segment sells and distributes processed carbon and coated flat-rolled sheets, coil and plate products, and fabricated parts. The Specialty Metals Flat Products segment sells and distributes processed aluminum and stainless flat-rolled sheets and coil products, flat bar products, and fabricated parts, as well as stainless steel and aluminum plates, sheets, angles, rounds, flat bars, tubing and pipe, and prime tin mill products. The Tubular and Pipe Products segment distributes metal tubing products, pipes, bars, valves and fittings, and fabricated pressure parts. The company also provides various processing services comprising cutting-to-length, slitting, shearing, roll forming, shape correction, surface improvement, blanking, tempering, plate burning, and stamping as well as offers value-added processing of saw cutting, laser cutting, beveling, threading, and grooving services. In addition, the company provides shot blasting, grinding, edging, and polishing; bending, drilling, milling, tapping, boring, and sawing metal; machining, welding, assembly, and painting of component parts. Further, the company process metals to specified lengths, widths, shapes, and surface. It serves metal consuming industries, such as manufacturers and fabricators of transportation and material handling lift equipment, construction, mining and farm equipment, agriculture equipment, storage tanks, environmental and energy generation equipment, automobiles, food service, commercial appliances, and electrical equipment as well as military vehicles and equipment, general and plate fabricators, and metals service centers through direct sales force. Olympic Steel, Inc. was founded in 1954 and is based in Bedford Heights, Ohio.

CEO
Richard T. Marabito
Employees
2,187
Beta
1.72
Industry
Steel
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
49.0
Neutral
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-9.1%
High: $52.65
From 52W Low
+81.8%
Low: $26.32
Moving Averages
10-Day
$49.00
Below
20-Day
$49.20
Below
50-Day
$46.60
Above
200-Day
$36.10
Above
60-Day Support
$34.69
60-Day Resistance
$52.65
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 90/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+32.6%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+11.93%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.18x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
77
Confidence: 90%

Entry & Exit Zones

In Entry Zone
$34.32
Stop Entry Now Target
$59.14
Entry Zone
$46.13$48.00
SMA50 pullback zone ($46.13–$48)
Exit Target
$57.42
52-week high / +22% target ($57.42)
Stop Level
$35.38
Below SMA200 ($35.38)
Risk / Reward:1 : 0.89Tight

Stage 2 uptrend — institutional accumulation phase. SMA50 pullbacks are the highest-probability entry points. Stop below SMA200 preserves capital if trend breaks.

Technical zones only — derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$491M$496M$493M$419M
Gross Profit$486M$861M$118M$106M
Operating Income$7M$11M$8M$9M
Net Income$2M$5M$3M$4M
EPS (Diluted)$0.18$0.45$0.21$0.33
Gross Margin99.1%173.5%24.0%25.2%
Operating Margin1.5%2.3%1.6%2.1%
Net Margin0.4%1.1%0.5%0.9%

Why This Stock

Basic MaterialsValuation below sector median (P/E 40.7)

Tradability FilterGrade D — 37/100Score impact: -18.1pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor — it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
23
118K avg/day
Dollar Vol
51
$6M/day
Float
16
10M shares
Mkt Cap
31
$539M
Range
100
100% spread
Composite Liquidity Score37/100
FDCBA
low volumelow float

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$17.52$40.0078.2%Wide
2022$19.92$43.1873.7%Wide
2023$32.25$68.9172.5%Wide
2024$31.50$73.4980%Wide
2025$26.32$45.4153.2%Wide
3-Year Range
94.5%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.5x dampening
revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
87.2%
Outstanding Shares
11M
Bid-Ask Spread
100.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.