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54

SCZM

⛏️ Basic Materials

Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd. Common Shares

Conservative #520Aggressive #96Moderate RiskF↑ 23pt
$12.26-0.49%
Day High$12.37
Day Low$11.61
Volume0.3M
Mkt Cap$1.1B
52W Low $152W High $18
Market Cap
$1.1B
P/E Ratio
13.1
Sector avg: 37.5
Rev Growth
5.3%
Sector avg: 40.4%
Earnings Growth
1496.9%
Profit Margin
25.1%
Sector avg: -552.9%
Debt/Equity
0.19

Why This Score

SCZM scores 53.7 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 49.5% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • High net margin of 25.1%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
  • Attractively valued at 13.1x earnings, below the market average.
Risk Factors
  • Momentum reversion risk: Extreme momentum (825%) increases mean-reversion probability. 5-point penalty applied.
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Above-average volatility (26.0%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -12.7 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, SCZM would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score53.7
Fundamental Score56.8
ML Score75.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
55.9
6 Month
62.5
Primary
1 Year
65.8

Quality Assessment

A
Quality Grade
Excellent quality — strong profitability, low leverage, no flags

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
3.1%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
58
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
50
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
68
Grade B
Base
53.3
SHAP
+2.4
Factors
+1.1
Conviction
-2.6
Divergence
-0.5
Final
53.7
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

73AVG
Value66
Quality89
Growth75
Stability64
Investment71

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)82.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)79.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)64.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-3.6% to +0.7%
Medium-term
-5.2% to +1.1%
Long-term
-6.8% to +1.6%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 75

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score50.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage0 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score57.5/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+8.2%
6M Momentum+0.9%
Volatility+0.3%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+730.4%
Momentum ConsistencyWeak (0.11)
Relative Strength vs Sector+768.7%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+6.009
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
22%
Moderate — watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P70
Revenue growth vs Basic Materials peers
Sector PE Rank
P97
Valuation vs Basic Materials peers
Sector FCF Rank
P77
Free cash flow vs Basic Materials peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 57 relative to sector peers57/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 75th percentileP75
Blended score: 80% fundamental (57) + 20% ML (75) = 60.460.4
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.3%; Drawdown 27% → 0.0pt; Positive momentum 825% → -5.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade A: strong earnings quality and financial health. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade A
SHAP feature alignment: +2.4pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: -2.6pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Divergence penalty: -0.5pt (ML 18pt higher)Divergence
Risk Factors
Liquidity penalty: -2.0pt (grade B)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Basic Materials — Rank #9 of 31 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
SCZM53.713.15.3%25.1%$1.1B
RGLD77.839.418.8%46.2%$18.7B
LIN71.932.90.5%19.9%$236.7B
BCPC71.339.63.4%13.5%$5.8B
STLD67.823.83.6%6.5%$27.7B
UFPI67.621.2-7.8%6.2%$6.1B
WDFC62.736.05.0%14.4%$3.2B
IOSP60.217.3-3.7%6.6%$1.9B
KALU58.018.611.5%3.3%$2.1B
ELE53.6105.829.9%15.4%$1.4B
HWKN52.336.96.0%7.8%$3.1B
MEOH51.917.9-0.1%6.0%$3.7B
AUGO51.313.842.5%-5.1%$7.1B
SSRM48.627.3-30.2%-26.2%$6.2B
ALM41.8N/AN/A-216.3%$3.8B
SOLS41.553.93.1%6.1%$12.7B
Sector Average41.637.540.4%-552.9%

Company Overviewvia FMP

Santacruz Silver Mining Ltd. engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of mineral properties. It operates through the following segments: Bolivar, Porco, Caballo Blanco Group, San Lucas Group, Zimapan, and Corporate and Other. The Bolivar segment focuses on mine and processing plants. The Porco segment is invovled in mine and processing plants. The Caballo Blanco Group segment includes the Tres Amigos, Colquechaquita mines and the Don Diego processing plant. The San Lucas Group segment refers to Reserva mine and San Lucas feed sourcing business. The Zimapan segment consists of mine and processing plant. The company was founded on January 24, 2011 and is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

CEO
Arturo Prestamo Elizondo
Beta
2.82
Industry
Other Precious Metals

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
60.9
Neutral
Trend
N/A
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-30.5%
High: $17.65
From 52W Low
+39.3%
Low: $8.8
Moving Averages
10-Day
$10.90
Above
20-Day
$11.40
Above
50-Day
N/A
200-Day
N/A
60-Day Support
$8.8
60-Day Resistance
$17.65

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$79M$75M$70M$79M
Gross Profit$19M$26M$27M$25M
Operating Income$12M$20M$23M$21M
Net Income$16M$21M$9M$29M
EPS (Diluted)$0.17$0.23$0.11$0.33
Gross Margin24.4%34.5%39.1%31.7%
Operating Margin15.8%27.2%32.5%26.4%
Net Margin20.4%28.6%13.4%36.6%

Why This Stock

Basic MaterialsP/E ratio of 13.1Profit margin 25.1%Valuation below sector median (P/E 13.1)

Tradability FilterGrade B — 68/100Score impact: -29.1pt

Volume
72
421K avg/day
Dollar Vol
50
$5M/day
Float
89
71M shares
Mkt Cap
42
$1.1B
Range
100
1743% spread
Composite Liquidity Score68/100
FDCBA
Free Float
78.1%
Outstanding Shares
91M
Bid-Ask Spread
1743.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.