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52

HWKN

⛏️ Basic Materials

Hawkins, Inc.

Conservative #570Aggressive #418Moderate RiskML↑ 16pt
$149.49+1.95%
Day High$150.12
Day Low$145.74
Volume0.1M
Mkt Cap$3.1B
52W Low $9852W High $186
Market Cap
$3.1B
P/E Ratio
36.9
Sector avg: 37.5
Rev Growth
6.0%
Sector avg: 40.4%
Earnings Growth
11.9%
Profit Margin
7.8%
Sector avg: -552.9%
Debt/Equity
0.54

Why This Score

HWKN scores 52.3 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 16.7% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 2-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Above-average volatility (10.9%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Minor adjustments (-2.4 points) applied. HWKN's rank of #570 primarily reflects its factor profile relative to the conservative weight vector.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score52.3
Fundamental Score47.1
ML Score65.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
71.4
6 Month
79.8
Primary
1 Year
84.0

Quality Assessment

C
Quality Grade
Average quality — moderate profitability or leverage

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
64
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
75
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
61
Grade Blow volume, low float
Base
48.7
SHAP
+2.7
Factors
+1.3
Divergence
-0.4
Final
52.3
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

56AVG
Value43
Quality50
Growth55
Stability67
Investment63

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)53.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)54.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)72.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-5.2% to +1.2%
Medium-term
-7.8% to +1.8%
Long-term
-10.4% to +2.4%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 65

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score75.0/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage1 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score64.0/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 — Declining
12M Momentum+0.4%
6M Momentum-0.1%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+52.6%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (-0.30)
Relative Strength vs Sector-15.4%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (3.7)
Momentum Quality+0.289
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
3%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P73
Revenue growth vs Basic Materials peers
Sector PE Rank
P20
Valuation vs Basic Materials peers
Sector FCF Rank
P60
Free cash flow vs Basic Materials peers
Growth Deviation
+0.0σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 47 relative to sector peers47/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 65th percentileP65
Blended score: 80% fundamental (47) + 20% ML (65) = 50.750.7
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 29% → 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade C
SHAP feature alignment: +2.7pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Divergence penalty: -0.4pt (ML 18pt higher)Divergence
Risk Factors
Liquidity penalty: -2.0pt (grade B)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Basic Materials — Rank #11 of 31 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
HWKN52.336.96.0%7.8%$3.1B
RGLD77.839.418.8%46.2%$18.7B
LIN71.932.90.5%19.9%$236.7B
BCPC71.339.63.4%13.5%$5.8B
STLD67.823.83.6%6.5%$27.7B
UFPI67.621.2-7.8%6.2%$6.1B
WDFC62.736.05.0%14.4%$3.2B
IOSP60.217.3-3.7%6.6%$1.9B
KALU58.018.611.5%3.3%$2.1B
SCZM53.713.15.3%25.1%$1.1B
ELE53.6105.829.9%15.4%$1.4B
MEOH51.917.9-0.1%6.0%$3.7B
AUGO51.313.842.5%-5.1%$7.1B
SSRM48.627.3-30.2%-26.2%$6.2B
ALM41.8N/AN/A-216.3%$3.8B
SOLS41.553.93.1%6.1%$12.7B
Sector Average41.637.540.4%-552.9%

Company Overviewvia FMP

Hawkins, Inc. blends, manufactures, and distributes chemicals and other specialty ingredients in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: Industrial, Water Treatment, and Health and Nutrition. The Industrial segment offers industrial chemicals, products, and services to agriculture, chemical processing, electronics, energy, food, pharmaceutical, and plating industries. This segment primarily provides acids, alkalis, and food-grade and pharmaceutical salts and ingredients. It also receives, stores, and distributes various chemicals, such as liquid caustic soda, sulfuric acid, hydrochloric acid, urea, phosphoric acid, aqua ammonia, and potassium hydroxide. In addition, this segment manufactures sodium hypochlorite and agricultural products, as well as various food-grade and pharmaceutical products that include liquid phosphates, lactates, and other blended products; repackages water treatment chemicals and bulk industrial chemicals; and performs custom blending of chemicals, and contract and private label bleach packaging. The Water Treatment segment offers chemicals, equipment, and solutions for potable water, municipal and industrial wastewater, industrial process water, and non-residential swimming pool and agriculture water. The Health and Nutrition segment offers ingredient distribution, processing, and formulation solutions to manufacturers of nutraceutical, functional food and beverage, personal care, dietary supplement and other nutritional food, and health and wellness products. Its products portfolio includes minerals, botanicals and herbs, vitamins and amino acids, excipients, joint products, sweeteners, and enzymes. The company was founded in 1938 and is headquartered in Roseville, Minnesota.

CEO
Patrick H. Hawkins
Employees
928
Beta
0.84
Industry
Chemicals - Specialty
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
75.0
Overbought
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-19.7%
High: $186.15
From 52W Low
+52.1%
Low: $98.3
Moving Averages
10-Day
$145.90
Above
20-Day
$140.40
Above
50-Day
$146.00
Above
200-Day
$150.90
Below
60-Day Support
$122.73
60-Day Resistance
$160.71
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 — DecliningScore: 30/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-0.9%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+7.05%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.62x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
20
Confidence: 40%

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2025
Revenue$244M$280M$293M$245M
Gross Profit$51M$68M$72M$52M
Operating Income$23M$34M$41M$25M
Net Income$14M$23M$29M$16M
EPS (Diluted)$0.69$1.08$1.40$0.78
Gross Margin20.8%24.1%24.7%21.3%
Operating Margin9.2%12.1%14.1%10.0%
Net Margin5.9%8.1%9.9%6.7%

Why This Stock

Basic Materials

Tradability FilterGrade B — 61/100Score impact: -0.8pt

Volume
38
163K avg/day
Dollar Vol
82
$23M/day
Float
47
19M shares
Mkt Cap
63
$3.1B
Range
100
89% spread
Composite Liquidity Score61/100
FDCBA
low volumelow float

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 6/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$29.93$40.4029.8%Moderate
2022$33.31$48.1236.4%Wide
2023$36.62$73.4766.9%Wide
2024$54.44$139.5587.7%Wide
2025$98.30$186.1561.8%Wide
3-Year Range
134.2%
Narrow Years
1 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.15x dampening
weinstein declining

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
91.6%
Outstanding Shares
21M
Bid-Ask Spread
89.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.