Back to Dashboard
35

HDSN

⛏️ Basic Materials

Hudson Technologies, Inc.

Conservative #967Aggressive #1349Moderate Risk
$7.11-0.56%
Day High$7.16
Day Low$6.97
Volume0.2M
Mkt Cap$310M
52W Low $552W High $11
Market Cap
$311M
P/E Ratio
14.2
Sector avg: 37.5
Rev Growth
-18.0%
Sector avg: 40.4%
Earnings Growth
-53.3%
Profit Margin
9.6%
Sector avg: -552.9%
Debt/Equity
0.01

Why This Score

HDSN scores 35.6 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Attractively valued at 14.2x earnings, below the market average.
  • Minimal leverage (D/E 0.01) provides financial flexibility and downside protection.
  • Positive but moderate momentum (28%) — steady appreciation without overheating.
  • High conviction (94/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 15-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Above-average volatility (10.5%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Net penalties of -18.5 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, HDSN would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score35.6
Fundamental Score51.0
ML Score47.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
69.8
6 Month
78.0
Primary
1 Year
82.1

Quality Assessment

C
Quality Grade
Average quality — moderate profitability or leverage

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
54
Neutral
Analyst (6.4%)
63
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
38
Grade Dlow dollar volume, small cap
Base
31.6
SHAP
+1.4
Factors
+0.8
Conviction
+1.7
Final
35.6
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

54AVG
Value82
Quality42
Growth2
Stability71
Investment74

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)40.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)47.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)67.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-5.2% to +1.2%
Medium-term
-7.8% to +1.8%
Long-term
-10.4% to +2.4%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 47

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score62.5/100
Target Upside+0.0%
Coverage8 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score54.4/100
News Volume0 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 — Declining
12M Momentum+0.3%
6M Momentum-0.3%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+55.6%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (-0.95)
Relative Strength vs Sector-27.5%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Moderate (2.7)
Momentum Quality+0.191
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
75%
High risk — cheap + stagnating
Sector RevGr Rank
P13
Revenue growth vs Basic Materials peers
Sector PE Rank
P90
Valuation vs Basic Materials peers
Sector FCF Rank
P97
Free cash flow vs Basic Materials peers
Growth Deviation
-0.1σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
YES
Below-sector growth + cheap PE
Value trap warning: This stock scores in the top quartile for value trap risk. The combination of below-sector-median revenue growth, low PE, and high free cash flow yield suggests the market is pricing in stagnation. The ML model's sector-relative features (trained on 30 years of data) reduce this stock's score accordingly.

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 51 relative to sector peers51/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 47th percentileP47
Blended score: 80% fundamental (51) + 20% ML (47) = 50.250.2
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 33% → 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade C
SHAP feature alignment: +1.4pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: +1.7pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Risk Factors
Value trap penalty: -3.5ptValue Trap
Liquidity penalty: -15.0pt (grade D)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Basic Materials — Rank #20 of 31 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
HDSN35.614.2-18.0%9.6%$311M
RGLD77.839.418.8%46.2%$19.5B
LIN71.932.90.5%19.9%$234.9B
BCPC71.339.63.4%13.5%$5.8B
STLD67.823.83.6%6.5%$28.0B
UFPI67.621.2-7.8%6.2%$6.0B
WDFC62.736.05.0%14.4%$3.2B
IOSP60.217.3-3.7%6.6%$1.9B
KALU58.018.611.5%3.3%$2.1B
SCZM53.813.15.3%25.1%$1.2B
ELE53.6105.829.9%15.4%$1.5B
HWKN52.336.96.0%7.8%$3.1B
MEOH51.917.9-0.1%6.0%$3.8B
AUGO51.313.842.5%-5.1%$7.0B
SSRM48.627.3-30.2%-26.2%$6.5B
ALM41.9N/AN/A-216.3%$3.8B
Sector Average41.737.540.4%-552.9%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy8 analysts
Buy: 4Hold: 4
Price Target
$10consensus
Low $9Median $10High $11
+36.0% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

Hudson Technologies, Inc. a refrigerant services company, provides solutions to recurring problems within the refrigeration industry primarily in the United States. The company's products and services include refrigerant and industrial gas sales; refrigerant management services consisting primarily of reclamation of refrigerants, re-usable cylinder refurbishment, and hydrostatic testing services; and RefrigerantSide services comprising system decontamination to remove moisture, oils, and other contaminants. It also offers SmartEnergy OPS service, a web-based real time continuous monitoring service for facility's refrigeration systems and other energy systems applications; and Chiller Chemistry and Chill Smart services. In addition, the company participates in the generation of carbon offset projects. It serves commercial, industrial, and governmental customers, as well as refrigerant wholesalers, distributors, contractors, and refrigeration equipment manufacturers. Hudson Technologies, Inc. was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Woodcliff Lake, New Jersey.

CEO
Kenneth Gaglione
Employees
238
Beta
0.91
Industry
Chemicals - Specialty
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
38.5
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-32.4%
High: $10.52
From 52W Low
+39.1%
Low: $5.11
Moving Averages
10-Day
$7.20
Below
20-Day
$7.30
Below
50-Day
$7.20
Below
200-Day
$8.20
Below
60-Day Support
$6.75
60-Day Resistance
$7.74
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 — DecliningScore: 20/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-13.3%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+4.67%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.15x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
77
Confidence: 40%

Entry & Exit Zones

Avoid
No Entry
No entry — active downtrend
Exit Target
Exit position if held
Stop Level
No stop — exit recommended

Stage 4 downtrend — price is below both SMA50 and SMA200 with a declining 200-day average. Capital preservation takes priority. Do not buy into a downtrend.

Technical zones only — derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$74M$73M$55M$35M
Gross Profit$24M$23M$12M$6M
Operating Income$14M$13M$3M$-3M
Net Income$12M$10M$3M$-3M
EPS (Diluted)$0.27$0.23$0.06$-0.06
Gross Margin32.0%31.3%21.8%16.7%
Operating Margin18.9%17.5%5.6%-9.4%
Net Margin16.7%14.0%5.0%-7.4%

Why This Stock

Basic MaterialsP/E ratio of 14.2Valuation below sector median (P/E 14.2)

Tradability FilterGrade D — 38/100Score impact: -17.4pt

Low Tradability Warning

This stock has limited trading volume and/or float. Institutional investors may face difficulty entering or exiting positions without significant price impact. A post-hoc penalty has been applied to the composite score (this is not a backtested model factor — it is a practical tradability overlay).

Volume
62
318K avg/day
Dollar Vol
16
$2M/day
Float
20
0K shares
Mkt Cap
11
$311M
Range
100
106% spread
Composite Liquidity Score38/100
FDCBA
low dollar volumesmall cap

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.05x dampening
weinstein decliningsevere revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
0.0%
Outstanding Shares
0M
Bid-Ask Spread
106.0%
Institutional Tradable
No

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.