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SSRM

⛏️ Basic Materials

SSR Mining Inc.

Conservative #653Aggressive #606Moderate Risk
$32.14+5.41%
Day High$32.36
Day Low$29.96
Volume3.0M
Mkt Cap$6.5B
52W Low $952W High $32
Market Cap
$6.2B
P/E Ratio
27.3
Sector avg: 37.5
Rev Growth
-30.2%
Sector avg: 40.4%
Earnings Growth
-166.6%
Profit Margin
-26.2%
Sector avg: -552.9%
Debt/Equity
0.11

Why This Score

SSRM scores 48.6 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • High conviction (75/100) — fundamental and ML signals agree on this stock.
Risk Factors
  • Momentum reversion risk: Extreme momentum (181%) increases mean-reversion probability. 3-point penalty applied.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (18.5%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.

Moderate penalties (-5.6 points) reflect identified risk factors. The overall score balances these against the stock's fundamental strengths.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score48.6
Fundamental Score43.7
ML Score76.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
41.1
6 Month
45.9
Primary
1 Year
48.4

Quality Assessment

C
Quality Grade
Average quality — moderate profitability or leverage
1 quality flag detected — see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
Commodity beta: Gold earnings driven by commodity prices — cyclical risk not captured by trailing fundamentals

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
4.3%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
100
Advancing
Sentiment (2.5%)
64
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
59
Neutral
Tradability (post-hoc)
96
Grade A
Base
47.2
SHAP
+3.4
Factors
+0.6
Divergence
-2.6
Final
48.6
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

60AVG
Value55
Quality40
Growth35
Stability90
Investment80

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)24.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)88.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)81.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage96%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-5.9% to +0.7%
Medium-term
-8.6% to +1.2%
Long-term
-11.3% to +1.7%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs → ML Score: 76

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score59.1/100
Target Upside+7.4%
Coverage11 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score63.9/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage2 — Advancing
12M Momentum+1.8%
6M Momentum+0.5%
Volatility+0.2%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+135.8%
Momentum ConsistencyWeak (0.25)
Relative Strength vs Sector+125.4%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Strong (5.0)
Momentum Quality+1.628
Momentum BreadthBroad ✓
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
18%
Moderate — watch growth
Sector RevGr Rank
P7
Revenue growth vs Basic Materials peers
Sector PE Rank
P30
Valuation vs Basic Materials peers
Sector FCF Rank
P63
Free cash flow vs Basic Materials peers
Growth Deviation
-0.2σ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 44 relative to sector peers44/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 76th percentileP76
Blended score: 80% fundamental (44) + 20% ML (76) = 50.250.2
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.2%; Drawdown 10% → 0.0pt; Positive momentum 181% → -3.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade C
SHAP feature alignment: +3.4pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Divergence penalty: -2.6pt (ML 32pt higher)Divergence
Risk Factors
Quality concern: Commodity beta: Gold earnings driven by commodity prices — cyclical risk not captured by trailing fundamentalsFlag

Sector Peer Comparison(Basic Materials — Rank #14 of 31 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
SSRM48.627.3-30.2%-26.2%$6.2B
RGLD77.839.418.8%46.2%$18.7B
LIN71.932.90.5%19.9%$236.7B
BCPC71.339.63.4%13.5%$5.8B
STLD67.823.83.6%6.5%$27.7B
UFPI67.621.2-7.8%6.2%$6.1B
WDFC62.736.05.0%14.4%$3.2B
IOSP60.217.3-3.7%6.6%$1.9B
KALU58.018.611.5%3.3%$2.1B
SCZM53.713.15.3%25.1%$1.1B
ELE53.6105.829.9%15.4%$1.4B
HWKN52.336.96.0%7.8%$3.1B
MEOH51.917.9-0.1%6.0%$3.7B
AUGO51.313.842.5%-5.1%$7.1B
ALM41.8N/AN/A-216.3%$3.8B
SOLS41.553.93.1%6.1%$12.7B
Sector Average41.637.540.4%-552.9%

Market Sentimentvia FMP

Analyst Consensus
Buy11 analysts
Buy: 5Hold: 5Sell: 1
Price Target
$33consensus
Low $29Median $33High $37
+1.9% to consensus target

Company Overviewvia FMP

SSR Mining Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of precious metal resource properties in Turkey and the Americas. The company explores for gold, silver, copper, lead, and zinc deposits. Its projects include the Çöpler Gold mine located in Erzincan, Turkey; the Marigold mine located in Humboldt County, Nevada, the United States; the Seabee Gold Operation located in Saskatchewan, Canada; and the Puna Operations in Jujuy, Argentina. The company was formerly known as Silver Standard Resources Inc. and changed its name to SSR Mining Inc. in August 2017. SSR Mining Inc. was incorporated in 1946 and is based in Denver, Colorado.

CEO
Rodney Antal Accountancy
Employees
2,300
Beta
0.54
Industry
Gold
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
76.9
Overbought
Trend
Bullish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-0.7%
High: $32.36
From 52W Low
+271.6%
Low: $8.65
Moving Averages
10-Day
$29.00
Above
20-Day
$26.90
Above
50-Day
$24.80
Above
200-Day
$19.40
Above
60-Day Support
$20.76
60-Day Resistance
$32.36
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 2 — AdvancingScore: 93/100

Stock is in an uptrend above the 200-day moving average. This is the stage where institutional accumulation typically occurs. The 50-day SMA provides support.

Favorable technical position; 50-day SMA acts as support
Price vs 200 SMA
+65.7%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+27.32%
Rising
Volume Ratio
1.39x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
100
Confidence: 90%
Breakout Volume Confirmed

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ4 2025Q3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025
Revenue$530M$386M$405M$317M
Gross Profit$245M$183M$216M$149M
Operating Income$225M$83M$109M$67M
Net Income$184M$65M$90M$59M
EPS (Diluted)$0.84$0.31$0.42$0.28
Gross Margin46.2%47.4%53.3%47.2%
Operating Margin42.5%21.6%26.9%21.1%
Net Margin34.8%17.0%22.2%18.6%

Why This Stock

Basic Materials

Tradability FilterGrade A — 96/100Score impact: -28.6pt

Volume
100
3.5M avg/day
Dollar Vol
100
$106M/day
Float
100
202M shares
Mkt Cap
70
$6.2B
Range
100
266% spread
Composite Liquidity Score96/100
FDCBA

Multi-Year Range Analysis

Sideways: 0/100
YearLowHighRangeStatus
2021$13.68$20.0637.8%Wide
2022$12.84$24.5862.7%Wide
2023$10.34$17.7452.7%Wide
2024$3.76$10.8196.8%Wide
2025$7.00$25.98115.1%Wide
3-Year Range
149.4%
Narrow Years
0 / 5
Sideways Penalty
None

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.3x dampening
severe revenue decline

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
99.3%
Outstanding Shares
203M
Bid-Ask Spread
266.0%
Institutional Tradable
Yes

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.