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XOMA

๐Ÿฅ Healthcare

XOMA Royalty Corp.

Conservative #1026Aggressive #811Moderate RiskFโ†‘ 20pt
$25.53-4.60%
Day High$26.94
Day Low$25.28
Volume0.1M
Mkt Cap$316M
52W Low $1852W High $40
Market Cap
$331M
P/E Ratio
16.2
Sector avg: 41.9
Rev Growth
498.7%
Sector avg: 161.5%
Earnings Growth
66.2%
Profit Margin
41.1%
Sector avg: -3292.7%
Debt/Equity
1.22

Why This Score

XOMA scores 32.7 on the Conservative profile, blending a fundamental score (80% weight, emphasizing quality and stability (84% of fundamental weight)) with a machine-learning signal (20% weight) trained on 82 features across 30 years of data.

Strengths
  • Strong profitability: ROE of 21.1% exceeds the 15% quality threshold.
  • High net margin of 41.1%, indicating pricing power and operational efficiency.
Risk Factors
  • Liquidity concern: Limited trading volume or float results in a 5-point penalty for execution risk.
  • Signal divergence: Fundamental and ML signals disagree by a significant margin, reducing confidence.
  • Above-average volatility (14.2%) may not suit conservative risk tolerance.
  • Elevated leverage (D/E 1.22) increases financial risk in a rising-rate environment.

Net penalties of -10.7 points significantly impact the ranking. Without these adjustments, XOMA would rank considerably higher.

Score Breakdown

Overall Score32.7
Fundamental Score44.2
ML Score17.0

Score by Horizon

3 Month
33.5
6 Month
37.5
Primary
1 Year
39.5

Quality Assessment

C
Quality Grade
Average quality โ€” moderate profitability or leverage
1 quality flag detected โ€” see details below. These penalties are already factored into the final score.
Quality Flags
Pipeline concentration: $0.3B biotech/pharma โ€” likely single-product revenue with binary risk

Position Sizing

Suggested Allocation
5%
Confidence
high

Score Composition Waterfall

How each component affects the final score
Backtested Scoring Levers (IC-calibrated from 30y ElasticNet)
Weinstein (12.1%)
0
Declining
Sentiment (2.5%)
69
Positive
Analyst (6.4%)
65
Favorable
Tradability (post-hoc)
52
Grade Clow float, small cap
Base
33.8
SHAP
+2.4
Factors
+0.3
Conviction
-1.9
Divergence
-1.8
Final
32.7
Positive adjustment
Negative adjustment
Base blend
Final score

Factor Breakdown

63AVG
Value74
Quality47
Growth100
Stability52
Investment40

Signal SegmentsComputed from ML features

Fundamental (Valuation, Quality, Growth)67.0
Technical (Momentum, Weinstein, Volatility)39.0
External (Sentiment, Analyst, Macro)84.0
Scores below 50 indicate weakness in that segment relative to the universe.

Data Quality

Score
Features
Confidence
Feature Coverage89%

Growth Estimates

Short-term
-14.8% to -6.4%
Medium-term
-19.6% to -7.6%
Long-term
-24.5% to -8.7%

ML Model Core Features100 trained inputs โ†’ ML Score: 17

These features are direct inputs to the machine learning model. The model was trained on these signals alongside 100 features (including 12 momentum/technical indicators) to produce the ML percentile score.

Analyst Intelligence
Consensus Score65.0/100
Target Upside+164.5%
Coverage10 analysts
Market Sentiment
Sentiment Score69.4/100
News Volume1 articles
Technical Stage
Weinstein Stage4 โ€” Declining
12M Momentum+0.1%
6M Momentum-0.3%
Volatility+0.1%
Momentum & Technical
Momentum Acceleration+31.8%
Momentum ConsistencyDivergent (-0.22)
Relative Strength vs Sector-18.6%
Trend Strength (ADX Proxy)Weak (0.4)
Momentum Quality+0.036
Momentum BreadthNarrow
Macro Regime
Bull RegimeYes
High Vol RegimeNo
S&P 500 Return+25.0%
Yield Curve-0.1bp

Sector-Relative AnalysisIn-model features

Value Trap Signal
2%
Low risk
Sector RevGr Rank
P97
Revenue growth vs Healthcare peers
Sector PE Rank
P90
Valuation vs Healthcare peers
Sector FCF Rank
P67
Free cash flow vs Healthcare peers
Growth Deviation
+0.4ฯƒ
Z-score vs sector median
Stagnation Flag
NO
Not flagged

Analysis Signals

Scoring Factors
Fundamental score of 44 relative to sector peers44/100
Machine learning ensemble ranks this stock at the 17th percentileP17
Blended score: 80% fundamental (44) + 20% ML (17) = 38.838.8
Risk assessment: low. Low vol 0.1%; Drawdown 38% โ†’ 0.0ptLow
Earnings quality grade C: mixed earnings quality, some red flags. Score adjusted by 0 pointsGrade C
SHAP feature alignment: +2.4pt (features align with model priorities)SHAP
Conviction adj: -1.9pt (conviction=N/A)Conviction
Divergence penalty: -1.8pt (ML 27pt lower)Divergence
Risk Factors
Quality concern: Pipeline concentration: $0.3B biotech/pharma โ€” likely single-product revenue with binary riskFlag
Liquidity penalty: -5.0pt (grade C)Liquidity

Sector Peer Comparison(Healthcare โ€” Rank #177 of 344 stocks)

StockScoreP/ERev GrowthMarginMkt Cap
XOMA32.716.2498.7%41.1%$331M
INCY89.915.821.2%25.0%$20.2B
GMAB86.113.122.8%36.4%$18.1B
CPRX83.713.723.5%37.6%$2.9B
ASND78.316.698.0%-31.7%$14.0B
EXEL78.315.17.0%33.7%$11.9B
VRTX78.232.18.9%32.9%$125.2B
NBIX75.126.521.4%16.7%$13.3B
RPRX75.025.15.1%32.4%$19.8B
HOLX74.831.11.7%13.8%$16.8B
AMGN74.226.010.0%21.0%$210.2B
ARGX73.735.178.6%38.0%$48.0B
REGN73.019.41.0%31.4%$81.3B
ALKS72.916.5-6.4%23.9%$5.0B
ISRG72.761.720.5%28.4%$177.8B
KRYS71.541.4473.0%30.7%$8.0B
Sector Average36.641.9161.5%-3292.7%โ€”

Company Overviewvia FMP

XOMA Royalty Corp. operates as a biotechnology royalty aggregator in Europe, the United States, and the Asia Pacific. The company engages in helping biotech companies for enhancing human health. It acquires the potential future economics associated with pre-commercial therapeutic candidates that have been licensed to pharmaceutical or biotechnology companies. The company focuses on early to mid-stage clinical assets primarily in Phase 1 and 2 with commercial sales potential that are licensed to partners. It has a portfolio with approximately 70 assets. XOMA Corporation was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Emeryville, California.

CEO
Owen Hughes Jr.
Employees
13
Beta
0.86
Industry
Biotechnology
FMP-Identified Peers

Technical Picturecomputed from daily prices

RSI (14)
53.8
Neutral
Trend
Bearish
10-day vs 50-day MA
From 52W High
-36%
High: $39.92
From 52W Low
+39.1%
Low: $18.35
Moving Averages
10-Day
$25.40
Above
20-Day
$25.20
Above
50-Day
$26.00
Below
200-Day
$29.50
Below
60-Day Support
$22.29
60-Day Resistance
$34.79
Weinstein Stage Analysisbased on 200-day SMA framework
Stage 4 โ€” DecliningScore: 21/100

Stock is in a downtrend below the 200-day moving average. Price is below both the 50-day and 200-day SMAs, indicating sustained selling pressure.

Unfavorable technical position; wait for Stage 1 basing
Price vs 200 SMA
-13.5%
200 SMA Slope (60d)
+4.89%
Rising
Volume Ratio
0.28x
10d avg vs 50d avg
Days in Stage
30
Confidence: 40%

Entry & Exit Zones

Avoid
No Entry
โ€”
No entry โ€” active downtrend
Exit Target
โ€”
Exit position if held
Stop Level
โ€”
No stop โ€” exit recommended

Stage 4 downtrend โ€” price is below both SMA50 and SMA200 with a declining 200-day average. Capital preservation takes priority. Do not buy into a downtrend.

Technical zones only โ€” derived from moving averages and price structure. Not financial advice. Past technical patterns do not guarantee future performance.

Financial Statementslast 4 quarters via FMP

MetricQ3 2025Q2 2025Q1 2025Q4 2024
Revenue$9M$13M$16M$9M
Gross Profit$8M$12M$15M$8M
Operating Income$-1M$5M$6M$-7M
Net Income$14M$7M$2M$-4M
EPS (Diluted)$0.70$0.44$0.07$-0.45
Gross Margin90.6%95.0%96.6%90.1%
Operating Margin-14.2%35.1%37.3%-83.2%
Net Margin150.3%52.5%14.9%-45.5%

Why This Stock

HealthcareP/E ratio of 16.2Revenue growth 498.7%Profit margin 41.1%

Tradability FilterGrade C โ€” 52/100Score impact: -1.0pt

Volume
69
393K avg/day
Dollar Vol
60
$10M/day
Float
24
12M shares
Mkt Cap
11
$331M
Range
100
118% spread
Composite Liquidity Score52/100
FDCBA
low floatsmall cap

Growth Projection Adjustment

0.15x dampening
weinstein declining

Growth estimates have been dampened based on technical and fundamental signals. This is a post-hoc adjustment to prevent overly optimistic projections for stocks showing declining momentum or deteriorating fundamentals.

Free Float
98.1%
Outstanding Shares
12M
Bid-Ask Spread
118.0%
Institutional Tradable
Limited

Scores are generated by a multi-stage ML pipeline combining fundamental analysis, ensemble predictions, and structural risk signals. All data is for research purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results.